Bundesliga Gameweek 4 Sat, Sep 19 2026 · 17:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.87 – 1.34
Borussia Dortmund
  • 70’ M. Beier
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Beier goal decides it for Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Beier goal. Borussia Dortmund finished with the higher xG (1.34 vs 0.87). On the chances created, VfB Stuttgart deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfB Stuttgart33%
Draw23%
Borussia Dortmund ✓44%

Model vs reality

VfB Stuttgart goals
0
Model 1.45 · xG 0.87
Borussia Dortmund goals
1
Model 1.71 · xG 1.34
Total goals
1
Model 3.15 · xG 2.21
Score 0–1
7%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 61%
Both scored
No
Model 63%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. MittelstädtVfB Stuttgart
7.9
  • RefereeTobias Stieler
  • CoachesS. Hoeneb · N. Kovač
  • VenueMHPArena
  • Table before kick-offVfB Stuttgart 14th · Borussia Dortmund 3rd
  • Weather at kick-off23°C · Overcast · wind 5 km/h

Timeline

  1. E. DemirovićYellow card · Argument
    13’
  2. A. StillerYellow card · Foul
    17’
  3. N. SchlotterbeckYellow card · Foul
    32’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. J. VeermanYellow card · Foul
    46’
  6. J. GadouYellow card · Foul
    57’
  7. ⇄ J. BellinghamFor J. Veerman
    62’
  8. ⇄ K. KaretsasFor E. Nwaneri
    62’
  9. ⇄ J. LewelingFor C. Führich
    64’
  10. ⇄ D. PejčinovićFor D. Undav
    64’
  11. M. Beier 0–1Assist J. Bellingham
    70’
  12. ⇄ Fábio SilvaFor S. Guirassy
    74’
  13. J. BellinghamYellow card · Foul
    81’
  14. J. RyersonYellow card · Argument
    82’
  15. ⇄ A. BensebainiFor J. Ryerson
    82’
  16. ⇄ M. SabitzerFor M. Beier
    82’
  17. ⇄ N. NarteyFor G. Prömel
    84’
  18. ⇄ L. SauerFor B. El Khannouss
    84’
  19. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

VfB Stuttgart12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
Borussia Dortmund13 shots · 10 in box, 3 outside
VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund
56% Possession 44%
0.87 Expected goals (xG) 1.34
1.01 Expected points (xPts) 1.71
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 2
6 Shots off target 6
1 Blocked shots 5
8 Shots inside the box 10
4 Shots outside the box 3
544 Passes 432
87% Pass accuracy 78%
6 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Fouls 14
4 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.77 Team rating 7.05

Line-ups

VfB Stuttgart 3-4-2-1

16.5 F. Bredlow(G)
77.9★ M. Mittelstädt 247.2 J. Chabot 296.3 Finn Jeltsch
107.0 C. Führich ↓64’ 67.3 A. Stiller 216.3 G. Prömel ↓84’ 46.9 J. Vagnoman
266.2 D. Undav ↓64’ 116.9 B. El Khannouss ↓84’
96.0 E. Demirović
  • 1F. Bredlow (G)6.5
  • 7M. Mittelstädt ★7.9
  • 24J. Chabot7.2
  • 29Finn Jeltsch6.3
  • 10C. Führich↓64’7.0
  • 6A. Stiller7.3
  • 21G. Prömel↓84’6.3
  • 4J. Vagnoman6.9
  • 26D. Undav↓64’6.2
  • 11B. El Khannouss↓84’6.9
  • 9E. Demirović6.0

Substitutes used

  • 28N. Nartey↑84’6.6
  • 18J. Leweling↑64’6.9
  • 44L. Sauer↑84’6.3
  • 17D. Pejčinović↑64’6.2

Unused: M. Funk, R. Hendriks, A. Al Dakhil, A. Karazor, Yanik Spalt

Coach: S. Hoeneb

Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1

17.6 G. Kobel(G)
47.5 N. Schlotterbeck 37.3 W. Anton 226.6 J. Gadou
246.7 D. Svensson 87.9 F. Nmecha 257.3 J. Veerman ↓62’ 266.7 J. Ryerson ↓82’
147.2 M. Beier ↓82’ 186.7 E. Nwaneri ↓62’
96.0 S. Guirassy ↓74’
  • 1G. Kobel (G)7.6
  • 4N. Schlotterbeck7.5
  • 3W. Anton7.3
  • 22J. Gadou6.6
  • 24D. Svensson6.7
  • 8F. Nmecha7.9
  • 25J. Veerman↓62’7.3
  • 26J. Ryerson↓82’6.7
  • 14M. Beier↓82’7.2
  • 18E. Nwaneri↓62’6.7
  • 9S. Guirassy↓74’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 5A. Bensebaini↑82’6.9
  • 20M. Sabitzer↑82’6.2
  • 7J. BellinghamA↑62’7.3
  • 19K. Karetsas↑62’6.7
  • 21Fábio Silva↑74’6.5

Unused: A. Meyer, Luca Reggiani, Samuele Inacio, C. Chukwuemeka

Coach: N. Kovač

Player stats

Top rated
M. MittelstädtVfB Stuttgart7.9
2nd
F. NmechaBorussia Dortmund7.9
3rd
G. KobelBorussia Dortmund7.6

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
F. Bredlow G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 81% 43 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
M. Mittelstädt D 90 0 0 2 (0) 3 90% 68 0 3 3/4 0/4 7.9
J. Chabot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 44 2 0 0/0 2/1 7.2
Finn Jeltsch D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 61 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
C. Führich M 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 34 3 0 0/1 0/0 7.0
A. Stiller M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 82 0 1 0/0 1/2 7.3
G. Prömel M 84 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 52 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.3
J. Vagnoman D 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 83% 54 0 0 0/1 0/2 6.9
D. Undav F 64 0 0 1 (1) 0 76% 21 0 0 1/1 2/1 6.2
B. El Khannouss M 84 0 0 3 (1) 1 94% 32 1 0 1/4 0/1 6.9
E. Demirović F 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 79% 14 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.0
N. Nartey M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 11 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.6
J. Leweling F 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 11 0 0 3/4 0/1 6.9
L. Sauer F 6 0 0 1 (1) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
D. Pejčinović F 26 0 0 0 (0) 2 60% 15 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2

Borussia Dortmund

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Kobel G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 49% 39 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
N. Schlotterbeck D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 76% 59 1 4 2/2 1/1 7.5
W. Anton D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 46 1 0 1/1 3/1 7.3
J. Gadou D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 38 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.6
D. Svensson D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 33 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
F. Nmecha M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 93% 42 4 3 1/1 0/3 7.9
J. Veerman M 62 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 55 2 0 0/0 2/1 7.3
J. Ryerson D 82 0 0 0 (0) 2 70% 30 0 1 0/2 2/0 6.7
M. Beier F 82 1 0 2 (1) 0 74% 19 3 1 0/3 0/2 7.2
E. Nwaneri M 62 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 23 0 0 2/2 0/0 6.7
S. Guirassy F 74 0 0 1 (0) 1 75% 20 0 0 0/0 2/1 6.0
A. Bensebaini D 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 25% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
M. Sabitzer M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
J. Bellingham M 28 0 1 0 (0) 1 50% 8 1 1 1/1 1/0 7.3
K. Karetsas M 28 0 0 2 (1) 1 83% 6 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
Fábio Silva F 16 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.