UEFA Europa League Round of 16 Thu, Mar 12 2026 · 17:45 Stuttgart Arena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
1–2 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 0.63 – 0.93
FC Porto
  • D. Undav 40’
  • 21’ T. Moffi
  • 27’ Rodrigo Mora
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FC Porto beat VfB Stuttgart

FC Porto won 2–1 through goals from Moffi and Mora. VfB Stuttgart replied through a Undav goal. FC Porto finished with the higher xG (0.93 vs 0.63). On the chances created, VfB Stuttgart deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfB Stuttgart37%
Draw26%
FC Porto ✓37%

Model vs reality

VfB Stuttgart goals
1
Model 1.48 · xG 0.63
FC Porto goals
2
Model 1.49 · xG 0.93
Total goals
3
Model 2.98 · xG 1.56
Score 1–2
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 57%
Both scored
Yes
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRodrigo MoraFC Porto · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeDonatas Rumsas
  • VenueStuttgart Arena

Timeline

  1. T. Moffi 0–1Assist Borja Sainz
    21’
  2. Rodrigo Mora 0–2Assist Z. Sanusi
    27’
  3. D. Undav 1–2Assist B. El Khannouss
    40’
  4. William GomesYellow card · Delay of game
    45+2’
  5. Half time · 1–2
  6. Finn JeltschYellow card · Tripping
    48’
  7. ⇄ V. FroholdtFor Rodrigo Mora
    59’
  8. ⇄ PepêFor Borja Sainz
    59’
  9. ⇄ D. GülFor T. Moffi
    59’
  10. ⇄ Tiago TomásFor E. Demirović
    63’
  11. Thiago SilvaYellow card · Tripping
    65’
  12. ⇄ Gabri VeigaFor William Gomes
    70’
  13. ⇄ C. FührichFor N. Nartey
    70’
  14. ⇄ L. JaquezFor Finn Jeltsch
    70’
  15. VAR A. StillerGoal Disallowed - offside
    70’
  16. ⇄ A. VarelaFor S. Fofana
    80’
  17. ⇄ M. MittelstädtFor A. Karazor
    84’
  18. A. VarelaYellow card · Delay of game
    86’
  19. B. El KhannoussYellow card · Foul
    90+3’
  20. Z. SanusiYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+4’
  21. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

VfB Stuttgart14 shots · 4 in box, 10 outside
FC Porto13 shots · 8 in box, 5 outside
VfB StuttgartFC Porto
60% Possession 40%
0.63 Expected goals (xG) 0.93
1.06 Expected points (xPts) 1.58
14 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
7 Shots off target 6
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Shots inside the box 8
10 Shots outside the box 5
519 Passes 344
85% Pass accuracy 75%
1 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
17 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.64 Team rating 6.92

Line-ups

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

337.2 A. Nübel(G)
36.7 R. Hendriks 246.2 J. Chabot 296.3 Finn Jeltsch ↓70’ 286.3 N. Nartey ↓70’
67.3 A. Stiller 166.7 A. Karazor ↓84’
186.2 J. Leweling 267.3 D. Undav 116.3 B. El Khannouss A
96.3 E. Demirović ↓63’
  • 33A. Nübel (G)7.2
  • 3R. Hendriks6.7
  • 24J. Chabot6.2
  • 29Finn Jeltsch↓70’6.3
  • 28N. Nartey↓70’6.3
  • 6A. Stiller7.3
  • 16A. Karazor↓84’6.7
  • 18J. Leweling6.2
  • 26D. Undav7.3
  • 11B. El KhannoussA6.3
  • 9E. Demirović↓63’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 8Tiago Tomás↑63’7.0
  • 14L. Jaquez↑70’6.6
  • 10C. Führich↑70’6.2
  • 7M. Mittelstädt↑84’6.7

Unused: F. Bredlow, Florian Hellstern, A. Al Dakhil, L. Assignon, B. Bouanani, Chema Andrés

FC Porto 4-3-3

997.6 Diogo Costa(G)
127.2 Z. Sanusi A 56.2 J. Bednarek 36.5 Thiago Silva 206.3 Alberto Baio
868.0★ Rodrigo Mora ↓59’ 137.5 P. Rosario 426.9 S. Fofana ↓80’
176.2 Borja Sainz A↓59’ 297.9 T. Moffi ↓59’ 76.9 William Gomes ↓70’
  • 99Diogo Costa (G)7.6
  • 12Z. SanusiA7.2
  • 5J. Bednarek6.2
  • 3Thiago Silva6.5
  • 20Alberto Baio6.3
  • 86Rodrigo Mora ★↓59’8.0
  • 13P. Rosario7.5
  • 42S. Fofana↓80’6.9
  • 17Borja SainzA↓59’6.2
  • 29T. Moffi↓59’7.9
  • 7William Gomes↓70’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 8V. Froholdt↑59’6.2
  • 11Pepê↑59’6.7
  • 27D. Gül↑59’6.7
  • 10Gabri Veiga↑70’6.2
  • 22A. Varela↑80’6.3

Unused: Cláudio Ramos, Andorinha, J. Kiwior, D. Prpić, Martim Fernandes, Francisco Moura, Tiago Andrade

Player stats

Top rated
Rodrigo MoraFC Porto8.0
2nd
T. MoffiFC Porto7.9
3rd
Diogo CostaFC Porto7.6

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Nübel G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 72% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
R. Hendriks D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 48 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Chabot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 71 2 2 0/0 1/1 6.2
Finn Jeltsch D 70 0 0 2 (1) 0 89% 38 0 0 0/0 4/0 6.3
N. Nartey M 70 0 0 1 (1) 1 86% 29 1 0 0/2 1/0 6.3
A. Stiller M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 91% 90 3 1 0/1 0/2 7.3
A. Karazor M 84 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 39 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
J. Leweling F 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 82% 38 1 1 0/3 3/2 6.2
D. Undav F 90 1 0 2 (2) 2 85% 26 1 0 1/1 0/0 7.3
B. El Khannouss M 90 0 1 5 (1) 1 81% 48 1 1 0/1 3/1 6.3
E. Demirović F 63 0 0 1 (0) 1 91% 11 1 0 0/0 3/0 6.3
Tiago Tomás F 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 1/1 1/2 7.0
L. Jaquez D 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
C. Führich M 20 0 0 2 (1) 0 67% 12 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
M. Mittelstädt D 6 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

FC Porto

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Diogo Costa G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 67% 48 0 0 1/1 0/1 7.6
Z. Sanusi D 90 0 1 2 (1) 1 77% 39 0 1 0/2 0/4 7.2
J. Bednarek D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 34 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
Thiago Silva D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 41 1 2 0/0 2/0 6.5
Alberto Baio D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 69% 26 4 0 0/1 1/1 6.3
Rodrigo Mora M 59 1 0 1 (1) 1 76% 17 1 0 0/0 0/2 8.0
P. Rosario M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 30 2 1 1/1 1/2 7.5
S. Fofana M 80 0 0 1 (0) 3 94% 34 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
Borja Sainz F 59 0 1 1 (0) 2 82% 11 0 0 0/1 1/2 6.2
T. Moffi F 59 1 0 2 (2) 0 59% 17 0 0 1/2 1/0 7.9
William Gomes F 70 0 0 2 (1) 1 67% 18 2 1 0/0 1/1 6.9
V. Froholdt M 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
Pepê F 31 0 0 1 (0) 0 43% 7 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.7
D. Gül F 31 0 0 0 (0) 2 60% 5 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.7
Gabri Veiga M 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
A. Varela M 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.