Bundesliga Gameweek 18 Sun, Jan 18 2026 · 14:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.83 – 1.75
  • C. Führich 59’
  • 83’ W. Jeong
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

VfB Stuttgart and Union Berlin share the points

VfB Stuttgart entered as clear favourites and led 1–0 after 59 minutes through a Führich goal. But Jeong scored to rescue a draw for Union Berlin. The chances were even, with xG of 1.83 and 1.75.

VfB Stuttgart62%
Draw ✓21%
Union Berlin16%

Model vs reality

VfB Stuttgart goals
1
Model 2.11 · xG 1.83
Union Berlin goals
1
Model 1.00 · xG 1.75
Total goals
2
Model 3.10 · xG 3.58
Score 1–1
10%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 60%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. FührichVfB Stuttgart · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeDeniz Aytekin
  • VenueMHPArena
  • Table before kick-offVfB Stuttgart 5th · Union Berlin 9th

Timeline

  1. Livan BurcuYellow card · Roughing
    1’
  2. J. VagnomanYellow card · Foul
    41’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. C. Führich 1–0Assist R. Hendriks
    59’
  5. ⇄ Ilyas AnsahFor Livan Burcu
    69’
  6. ⇄ S. NsokiFor J. Juranović
    69’
  7. ⇄ W. JeongFor A. Schäfer
    75’
  8. ⇄ E. DemirovićFor N. Nartey
    75’
  9. ⇄ Finn JeltschFor C. Führich
    75’
  10. W. Jeong 1–1Assist S. Nsoki
    83’
  11. ⇄ Chema AndrésFor A. Stiller
    90’
  12. ⇄ L. AssignonFor R. Hendriks
    90’
  13. ⇄ Jeremy ArevaloFor J. Vagnoman
    90’
  14. ⇄ O. BurkeFor A. Ilić
    90+2’
  15. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

VfB Stuttgart13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
Union Berlin19 shots · 16 in box, 3 outside
VfB StuttgartUnion Berlin
57% Possession 43%
1.83 Expected goals (xG) 1.75
1.44 Expected points (xPts) 1.34
13 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 6
2 Blocked shots 10
9 Shots inside the box 16
4 Shots outside the box 3
504 Passes 369
85% Pass accuracy 73%
3 Corners 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.06 Team rating 6.75

Line-ups

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

336.7 A. Nübel(G)
77.2 M. Mittelstädt 247.9 J. Chabot 37.9 R. Hendriks A↓90’ 46.3 J. Vagnoman ↓90’
66.6 A. Stiller ↓90’ 167.5 A. Karazor
108.2★ C. Führich ↓75’ 286.3 N. Nartey ↓75’ 186.3 J. Leweling
267.0 D. Undav
  • 33A. Nübel (G)6.7
  • 7M. Mittelstädt7.2
  • 24J. Chabot7.9
  • 3R. HendriksA↓90’7.9
  • 4J. Vagnoman↓90’6.3
  • 6A. Stiller↓90’6.6
  • 16A. Karazor7.5
  • 10C. Führich ★↓75’8.2
  • 28N. Nartey↓75’6.3
  • 18J. Leweling6.3
  • 26D. Undav7.0

Substitutes used

  • 29Finn Jeltsch↑75’
  • 22L. Assignon↑90’
  • 30Chema Andrés↑90’
  • 9E. Demirović↑75’6.3
  • 25Jeremy Arevalo↑90’

Unused: F. Bredlow, P. Stenzel, A. Al Dakhil, B. Bouanani

Union Berlin 3-5-2

17.2 F. Rønnow(G)
46.7 Diogo Leite 146.9 L. Querfeld 56.3 D. Doekhi
188.2 J. Juranović ↓69’ 67.0 A. Kemlein 86.5 R. Khedira 136.2 A. Schäfer ↓75’ 197.3 J. Haberer
96.3 Livan Burcu ↓69’ 235.9 A. Ilić ↓90’
  • 1F. Rønnow (G)7.2
  • 4Diogo Leite6.7
  • 14L. Querfeld6.9
  • 5D. Doekhi6.3
  • 18J. Juranović↓69’8.2
  • 6A. Kemlein7.0
  • 8R. Khedira6.5
  • 13A. Schäfer↓75’6.2
  • 19J. Haberer7.3
  • 9Livan Burcu↓69’6.3
  • 23A. Ilić↓90’5.9

Substitutes used

  • 34S. NsokiA↑69’6.7
  • 11W. Jeong↑75’6.7
  • 10Ilyas Ansah↑69’6.3
  • 7O. Burke↑90’

Unused: Matheo Raab, A. Král, C. Trimmel, M. Ljubičić, D. Preu

Player stats

Top rated
C. FührichVfB Stuttgart8.2
2nd
J. JuranovićUnion Berlin8.2
3rd
J. ChabotVfB Stuttgart7.9

VfB Stuttgart

Union Berlin

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.