Bundesliga Gameweek 31 Sun, Apr 26 2026 · 14:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.81 – 1.00
  • E. Demirović 61’
  • 18’ J. Stage
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen share the points

VfB Stuttgart entered as clear favourites, yet Werder Bremen led 1–0 at half-time through a Stage goal. But Demirović scored to rescue a draw for VfB Stuttgart. VfB Stuttgart finished with the higher xG (1.81 vs 1.00). On the chances created, VfB Stuttgart deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.

VfB Stuttgart68%
Draw ✓18%
Werder Bremen15%

Model vs reality

VfB Stuttgart goals
1
Model 2.56 · xG 1.81
Werder Bremen goals
1
Model 1.14 · xG 1.00
Total goals
2
Model 3.70 · xG 2.81
Score 1–1
8%
Most likely 2–1 (9%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 71%
Both scored
Yes
Model 63%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. StageWerder Bremen · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeChristian Dingert
  • VenueMHPArena
  • Table before kick-offVfB Stuttgart 5th · Werder Bremen 15th

Timeline

  1. J. Stage 0–1Assist Y. Sugawara
    18’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ R. HendriksFor D. Zagadou
    46’
  4. ⇄ C. FührichFor L. Assignon
    57’
  5. ⇄ E. DemirovićFor Tiago Tomás
    57’
  6. E. Demirović 1–1Assist B. El Khannouss
    61’
  7. ⇄ M. WöberFor N. Stark
    65’
  8. ⇄ J. NjinmahFor J. Milošević
    65’
  9. ⇄ B. BouananiFor J. Leweling
    78’
  10. M. BackhausYellow card · Delay of game
    78’
  11. ⇄ S. MbangulaFor J. Stage
    83’
  12. ⇄ N. NarteyFor Chema Andrés
    89’
  13. ⇄ Salim MusahFor R. Schmid
    90+4’
  14. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

VfB Stuttgart20 shots · 9 in box, 11 outside
Werder Bremen9 shots · 9 in box
VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
68% Possession 32%
1.81 Expected goals (xG) 1.00
1.92 Expected points (xPts) 0.85
20 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
8 Shots off target 4
8 Blocked shots 2
9 Shots inside the box 9
11 Shots outside the box 0
654 Passes 313
89% Pass accuracy 76%
14 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.69 Team rating 7.00

Line-ups

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

336.2 A. Nübel(G)
76.6 M. Mittelstädt 236.7 D. Zagadou ↓46’ 146.7 L. Jaquez 226.6 L. Assignon ↓57’
67.9 A. Stiller 306.3 Chema Andrés ↓89’
186.0 J. Leweling ↓78’ 117.0 B. El Khannouss A 86.3 Tiago Tomás ↓57’
266.5 D. Undav
  • 33A. Nübel (G)6.2
  • 7M. Mittelstädt6.6
  • 23D. Zagadou↓46’6.7
  • 14L. Jaquez6.7
  • 22L. Assignon↓57’6.6
  • 6A. Stiller7.9
  • 30Chema Andrés↓89’6.3
  • 18J. Leweling↓78’6.0
  • 11B. El KhannoussA7.0
  • 8Tiago Tomás↓57’6.3
  • 26D. Undav6.5

Substitutes used

  • 3R. Hendriks↑46’6.6
  • 10C. Führich↑57’7.7
  • 9E. Demirović↑57’7.3
  • 27B. Bouanani↑78’6.3
  • 28N. Nartey↑89’

Unused: F. Bredlow, J. Chabot, J. Vagnoman, A. Karazor

Werder Bremen 3-4-2-1

307.3 M. Backhaus(G)
316.7 Karim Coulibaly 46.9 N. Stark ↓65’ 57.2 A. Pieper
26.6 O. Deman 146.7 S. Lynen 186.2 Cameron Puertas 37.2 Y. Sugawara A
207.7 R. Schmid ↓90’ 68.0★ J. Stage ↓83’
196.6 J. Milošević ↓65’
  • 30M. Backhaus (G)7.3
  • 31Karim Coulibaly6.7
  • 4N. Stark↓65’6.9
  • 5A. Pieper7.2
  • 2O. Deman6.6
  • 14S. Lynen6.7
  • 18Cameron Puertas6.2
  • 3Y. SugawaraA7.2
  • 20R. Schmid↓90’7.7
  • 6J. Stage ★↓83’8.0
  • 19J. Milošević↓65’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 39M. Wöber↑65’6.9
  • 7S. Mbangula↑83’6.5
  • 29Salim Musah↑90’
  • 11J. Njinmah↑65’6.7

Unused: M. Kolke, I. Schmidt, Mick Schmetgens, Patrice Čović, V. Boniface

Player stats

Top rated
J. StageWerder Bremen8.0
2nd
A. StillerVfB Stuttgart7.9
3rd
C. FührichVfB Stuttgart7.7

VfB Stuttgart

Werder Bremen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.