Bundesliga Gameweek 17 Wed, Jan 14 2026 · 17:30 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
2–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.66 – 0.89
FC St. Pauli
  • C. Eriksen 25’ (P)
  • D. Pejčinović 88’
  • 40’ E. Smith
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Pejčinović’s late goal settles it for VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg entered as favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Eriksen and Pejčinović. FC St. Pauli replied through a Smith goal. VfL Wolfsburg finished with the higher xG (1.66 vs 0.89). On the chances created, FC St. Pauli deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

VfL Wolfsburg ✓56%
Draw24%
FC St. Pauli20%

Model vs reality

VfL Wolfsburg goals
2
Model 1.87 · xG 1.66
FC St. Pauli goals
1
Model 1.04 · xG 0.89
Total goals
3
Model 2.91 · xG 2.55
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. SmithFC St. Pauli · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeFrank Willenborg
  • CoachesD. Bauer · A. Blessin
  • VenueVolkswagen Arena
  • Table before kick-offVfL Wolfsburg 14th · FC St. Pauli 17th

Timeline

  1. C. Eriksen (pen) 1–0
    25’
  2. E. Smith 1–1Assist A. Dźwigała
    40’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. L. RitzkaYellow card · Foul
    53’
  5. M. JenzYellow card · Holding
    55’
  6. ⇄ M. AmouraFor L. Majer
    61’
  7. ⇄ Louis OppieFor L. Ritzka
    68’
  8. ⇄ M. KaarsFor R. Jones
    68’
  9. ⇄ K. FischerFor S. Kumbedi
    73’
  10. ⇄ A. DaghimFor P. Wimmer
    73’
  11. ⇄ M. SvanbergFor Y. Gerhardt
    83’
  12. ⇄ K. ParedesFor A. Zehnter
    83’
  13. A. DźwigałaYellow card · Roughing
    84’
  14. D. Pejčinović 2–1Assist A. Daghim
    88’
  15. ⇄ A. CeesayFor M. Pereira Lage
    90’
  16. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

VfL Wolfsburg12 shots · 10 in box, 2 outside
FC St. Pauli9 shots · 4 in box, 5 outside
VfL WolfsburgFC St. Pauli
61% Possession 39%
1.66 Expected goals (xG) 0.89
1.91 Expected points (xPts) 0.85
12 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
4 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
10 Shots inside the box 4
2 Shots outside the box 5
603 Passes 384
87% Pass accuracy 78%
6 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Fouls 8
4 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.10 Team rating 6.90

Line-ups

VfL Wolfsburg 4-2-3-1

18.0 K. Grabara(G)
257.0 A. Zehnter ↓83’ 47.5 K. Koulierakis 156.9 M. Jenz 266.5 S. Kumbedi ↓73’
277.3 M. Arnold 316.7 Y. Gerhardt ↓83’
397.0 P. Wimmer ↓73’ 107.2 L. Majer ↓61’ 246.9 C. Eriksen
177.5 D. Pejčinović
  • 1K. Grabara (G)8.0
  • 25A. Zehnter↓83’7.0
  • 4K. Koulierakis7.5
  • 15M. Jenz6.9
  • 26S. Kumbedi↓73’6.5
  • 27M. Arnold7.3
  • 31Y. Gerhardt↓83’6.7
  • 39P. Wimmer↓73’7.0
  • 10L. Majer↓61’7.2
  • 24C. Eriksen6.9
  • 17D. Pejčinović7.5

Substitutes used

  • 9M. Amoura↑61’6.3
  • 2K. Fischer↑73’6.2
  • 32M. Svanberg↑83’6.2
  • 40K. Paredes↑83’6.7
  • 11A. DaghimA↑73’7.3

Unused: P. Pervan, D. Vavro, Pharell Hensel, Vinicius Souza

Coach: D. Bauer

FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2

227.3 N. Vasilj(G)
36.6 K. Mets 56.3 H. Wahl 256.7 A. Dźwigała A
216.2 L. Ritzka ↓68’ 88.2★ E. Smith 66.2 J. Sands 117.5 Arkadiusz Pyrka
167.0 J. Fujita
287.3 M. Pereira Lage ↓90’ 266.6 R. Jones ↓68’
  • 22N. Vasilj (G)7.3
  • 3K. Mets6.6
  • 5H. Wahl6.3
  • 25A. DźwigałaA6.7
  • 21L. Ritzka↓68’6.2
  • 8E. Smith ★8.2
  • 6J. Sands6.2
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka7.5
  • 16J. Fujita7.0
  • 28M. Pereira Lage↓90’7.3
  • 26R. Jones↓68’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 23Louis Oppie↑68’6.5
  • 19M. Kaars↑68’6.3
  • 9A. Ceesay↑90’

Unused: B. Voll, F. Stevens, Jannik Thomas Robatsch, Tomoya Ando, E. Saliakas, O. Afolayan

Coach: A. Blessin

Player stats

Top rated
E. SmithFC St. Pauli8.2
2nd
K. GrabaraVfL Wolfsburg8.0
3rd
K. KoulierakisVfL Wolfsburg7.5

VfL Wolfsburg

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
K. Grabara G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 94% 33 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.0
A. Zehnter M 83 0 0 0 (0) 2 87% 53 1 0 1/1 0/0 7.0
K. Koulierakis D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 98 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
M. Jenz D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 106 2 0 0/0 4/0 6.9
S. Kumbedi D 73 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 37 1 0 0/4 0/2 6.5
M. Arnold M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 89% 85 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Y. Gerhardt M 83 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 42 0 1 0/0 1/2 6.7
P. Wimmer M 73 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 29 2 0 1/2 0/1 7.0
L. Majer M 61 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 23 2 1 2/2 2/0 7.2
C. Eriksen M 90 1 0 3 (2) 2 75% 52 0 3 0/1 1/0 6.9
D. Pejčinović F 90 1 0 3 (2) 0 53% 15 1 0 0/2 0/0 7.5
M. Amoura F 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 0 0 1/3 1/0 6.3
K. Fischer D 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
M. Svanberg M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
K. Paredes M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
A. Daghim F 17 0 1 1 (1) 1 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3

FC St. Pauli

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Vasilj G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 75% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
K. Mets D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 54 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
H. Wahl D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 41 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
A. Dźwigała D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 84% 32 4 0 0/0 2/0 6.7
L. Ritzka D 68 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 24 1 1 0/0 2/0 6.2
E. Smith M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 80% 55 2 0 1/1 0/2 8.2
J. Sands M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 36 0 3 0/0 0/0 6.2
Arkadiusz Pyrka M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 26 2 0 0/1 0/1 7.5
J. Fujita M 90 0 0 3 (1) 1 69% 36 1 0 5/6 0/0 7.0
M. Pereira Lage M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 68% 22 1 0 0/0 1/3 7.3
R. Jones F 68 0 0 2 (1) 2 55% 11 1 0 1/3 2/2 6.6
Louis Oppie D 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 10 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
M. Kaars F 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
A. Ceesay F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.