La Liga Gameweek 27 Sun, Mar 8 2026 · 13:00 Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
2–1 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 1.62 – 1.29
  • T. Buchanan 31’
  • S. Mouriño 41’
  • 83’ André Silva
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Villarreal beat Elche

Villarreal entered as clear favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Buchanan and Mouriño. Elche replied through a Silva goal. Villarreal finished with the higher xG (1.62 vs 1.29). On the chances created, Elche deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Villarreal ✓61%
Draw22%
Elche17%

Model vs reality

Villarreal goals
2
Model 1.97 · xG 1.62
Elche goals
1
Model 0.93 · xG 1.29
Total goals
3
Model 2.91 · xG 2.91
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchLuíz JúniorVillarreal
7.9
  • RefereeVictor Garcia Verdura
  • VenueEstadio de la Cerámica
  • Table before kick-offVillarreal 4th · Elche 17th

Timeline

  1. T. Buchanan 1–0Assist P. Gueye
    31’
  2. S. Mouriño 2–0Assist Santi Comesaña
    41’
  3. Alberto MoleiroYellow card · Tripping
    43’
  4. Half time · 2–0
  5. ⇄ Martim NetoFor G. Diangana
    59’
  6. ⇄ Alfon GonzálezFor T. Buchanan
    65’
  7. ⇄ Gerard MorenoFor Alberto Moleiro
    65’
  8. ⇄ JosanFor Buba Sangaré
    68’
  9. ⇄ Gonzalo VillarFor Aleix Febas
    68’
  10. ⇄ F. RedondoFor Marc Aguado
    68’
  11. Martim NetoYellow card · Roughing
    74’
  12. ⇄ Dani ParejoFor Santi Comesaña
    75’
  13. ⇄ T. ParteyFor P. Gueye
    75’
  14. ⇄ Renato VeigaFor Pau Navarro
    76’
  15. ⇄ André SilvaFor Rafa Mir
    77’
  16. André Silva 2–1Assist Martim Neto
    83’
  17. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Villarreal16 shots · 12 in box, 4 outside
Elche13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
VillarrealElche
37% Possession 63%
1.62 Expected goals (xG) 1.29
1.60 Expected points (xPts) 1.16
16 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 6
6 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
12 Shots inside the box 9
4 Shots outside the box 4
350 Passes 591
79% Pass accuracy 87%
4 Corners 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.15 Team rating 6.74

Line-ups

Villarreal 4-4-2

17.9★ Luíz Júnior(G)
236.7 Sergi Cardona 47.0 Rafa Marín 67.3 Pau Navarro ↓76’ 157.9 S. Mouriño
206.7 Alberto Moleiro ↓65’ 187.3 P. Gueye A↓75’ 147.0 Santi Comesaña A↓75’ 177.9 T. Buchanan ↓65’
96.6 G. Mikautadze 197.2 N. Pépé
  • 1Luíz Júnior (G) ★7.9
  • 23Sergi Cardona6.7
  • 4Rafa Marín7.0
  • 6Pau Navarro↓76’7.3
  • 15S. Mouriño7.9
  • 20Alberto Moleiro↓65’6.7
  • 18P. GueyeA↓75’7.3
  • 14Santi ComesañaA↓75’7.0
  • 17T. Buchanan↓65’7.9
  • 9G. Mikautadze6.6
  • 19N. Pépé7.2

Substitutes used

  • 11Alfon González↑65’6.5
  • 7Gerard Moreno↑65’6.2
  • 10Dani Parejo↑75’6.7
  • 16T. Partey↑75’6.5
  • 12Renato Veiga↑76’6.3

Unused: Arnau Tenas, A. Pedraza Sag, A. Freeman, T. Oluwaseyi

Elche 3-5-2

17.5 M. Dituro(G)
216.9 L. Pétrot 226.9 D. Affengruber 236.3 Víctor Chust
117.5 Germán Valera 146.7 Aleix Febas ↓68’ 86.6 Marc Aguado ↓68’ 196.2 G. Diangana ↓59’ 426.3 Buba Sangaré ↓68’
106.2 Rafa Mir ↓77’ 206.3 Á. Rodríguez
  • 1M. Dituro (G)7.5
  • 21L. Pétrot6.9
  • 22D. Affengruber6.9
  • 23Víctor Chust6.3
  • 11Germán Valera7.5
  • 14Aleix Febas↓68’6.7
  • 8Marc Aguado↓68’6.6
  • 19G. Diangana↓59’6.2
  • 42Buba Sangaré↓68’6.3
  • 10Rafa Mir↓77’6.2
  • 20Á. Rodríguez6.3

Substitutes used

  • 16Martim NetoA↑59’7.6
  • 5F. Redondo↑68’6.7
  • 12Gonzalo Villar↑68’6.7
  • 17Josan↑68’6.7
  • 9André Silva↑77’7.3

Unused: A. Iturbe Encabo, Iñaki Peña, Bigas, Adrià Pedrosa, Lucas Cepeda, Tete Morente, Adam Boayar

Player stats

Top rated
Luíz JúniorVillarreal7.9
2nd
S. MouriñoVillarreal7.9
3rd
T. BuchananVillarreal7.9

Villarreal

Elche

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.