Premier League Gameweek 31 Wed, Feb 18 2026 · 20:00 Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
Wolves
2–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.29 – 1.60
Arsenal
  • Hugo Bueno 61’
  • T. Edozie 90’
  • 5’ B. Saka
  • 56’ P. Hincapié
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Wolves fight back from two goals down

Arsenal entered as clear favourites and led 2–0 after 56 minutes through goals from Saka and Hincapié. But Bueno and Edozie scored to rescue a draw for Wolves. Arsenal finished with the higher xG (1.60 vs 0.29). On the chances created, Arsenal deserved more: 2.4 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Wolves10%
Draw ✓17%
Arsenal73%

Model vs reality

Wolves goals
2
Model 0.79 · xG 0.29
Arsenal goals
2
Model 2.40 · xG 1.60
Total goals
4
Model 3.19 · xG 1.89
Score 2–2
4%
Most likely 0–2 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 62%
Both scored
Yes
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchHugo BuenoWolves · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereePaul Tierney
  • VenueMolineux Stadium
  • Table before kick-offWolves 20th · Arsenal 1st

Timeline

  1. B. Saka 0–1Assist D. Rice
    5’
  2. ⇄ T. ArokodareFor A. Gomes
    22’
  3. S. BuenoYellow card · Argument
    45+4’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. P. Hincapié 0–2Assist Gabriel Magalhães
    56’
  6. VAR P. HincapiéGoal confirmed
    57’
  7. Hugo Bueno 1–2Assist S. Bueno
    61’
  8. ⇄ G. de JesusFor V. Gyökeres
    65’
  9. ⇄ E. EzeFor C. Madueke
    65’
  10. ⇄ R. GomesFor J. Tchatchoua
    70’
  11. J. BellegardeYellow card · Foul
    71’
  12. ⇄ L. TrossardFor B. Saka
    73’
  13. ⇄ T. EdozieFor J. Bellegarde
    84’
  14. T. Edozie 2–2
    90’
  15. G. de JesusYellow card · Argument
    90+9’
  16. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Wolves5 shots · 2 in box, 3 outside
Arsenal10 shots · 9 in box, 1 outside
WolvesArsenal
42% Possession 58%
0.29 Expected goals (xG) 1.60
0.42 Expected points (xPts) 2.35
5 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Shots inside the box 9
3 Shots outside the box 1
354 Passes 484
74% Pass accuracy 82%
1 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.57 Team rating 6.79

Line-ups

Wolves 3-4-2-1

16.5 José Sá(G)
376.0 L. Krejčí 46.9 S. Bueno A 157.2 Y. Mosquera
38.2★ Hugo Bueno 76.3 André 476.5 A. Gomes ↓22’ 386.0 J. Tchatchoua ↓70’
366.2 Mateus Mané 276.2 J. Bellegarde ↓84’
96.2 A. Armstrong
  • 1José Sá (G)6.5
  • 37L. Krejčí6.0
  • 4S. BuenoA6.9
  • 15Y. Mosquera7.2
  • 3Hugo Bueno ★8.2
  • 7André6.3
  • 47A. Gomes↓22’6.5
  • 38J. Tchatchoua↓70’6.0
  • 36Mateus Mané6.2
  • 27J. Bellegarde↓84’6.2
  • 9A. Armstrong6.2

Substitutes used

  • 14T. Arokodare↑22’6.3
  • 21R. Gomes↑70’7.0
  • 74T. Edozie↑84’

Unused: S. Johnstone, M. Doherty, D. Møller Wolfe, João Gomes, L. Rawlings, Pedro Lima

Arsenal 4-2-3-1

15.2 David Raya(G)
58.2 P. Hincapié 67.3 Gabriel Magalhães A 26.2 W. Saliba 126.3 J. Timber
417.6 D. Rice A 367.2 Martín Zubimendi
116.0 Gabriel Martinelli 78.2 B. Saka ↓73’ 206.3 C. Madueke ↓65’
146.5 V. Gyökeres ↓65’
  • 1David Raya (G)5.2
  • 5P. Hincapié8.2
  • 6Gabriel MagalhãesA7.3
  • 2W. Saliba6.2
  • 12J. Timber6.3
  • 41D. RiceA7.6
  • 36Martín Zubimendi7.2
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli6.0
  • 7B. Saka↓73’8.2
  • 20C. Madueke↓65’6.3
  • 14V. Gyökeres↓65’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 9G. de Jesus↑65’6.5
  • 19L. Trossard↑73’6.2
  • 10E. Eze↑65’6.5

Unused: Kepa, B. White, M. Lewis-Skelly, Cristhian Mosquera, C. Nørgaard, R. Calafiori

Player stats

Top rated
Hugo BuenoWolves8.2
2nd
P. HincapiéArsenal8.2
3rd
B. SakaArsenal8.2

Wolves

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
José Sá G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 61% 33 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
L. Krejčí D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 54 1 4 0/0 0/0 6.0
S. Bueno D 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 92% 36 2 1 0/0 1/1 6.9
Y. Mosquera D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 44 7 1 0/0 0/0 7.2
Hugo Bueno D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 83% 35 5 1 1/2 0/1 8.2
André M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 87% 38 2 0 0/2 0/1 6.3
A. Gomes M 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 56% 9 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
J. Tchatchoua D 70 0 0 0 (0) 1 65% 17 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.0
Mateus Mané F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 23 1 0 0/3 2/2 6.2
J. Bellegarde M 84 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 36 2 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
A. Armstrong F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 12 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
T. Arokodare F 68 0 0 1 (0) 0 56% 9 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.3
R. Gomes F 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 40% 5 3 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
T. Edozie M 6 1 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Arsenal

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
David Raya G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 47% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.2
P. Hincapié D 90 1 0 1 (1) 3 93% 45 1 3 2/2 0/2 8.2
Gabriel Magalhães D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 92% 61 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.3
W. Saliba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 66 3 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
J. Timber D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 51 2 1 1/4 0/1 6.3
D. Rice M 90 0 1 1 (0) 1 81% 64 4 3 1/2 0/0 7.6
Martín Zubimendi M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 54 3 1 0/0 2/2 7.2
Gabriel Martinelli F 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 76% 34 2 0 1/4 0/0 6.0
B. Saka F 73 1 0 1 (1) 1 69% 29 4 3 6/6 2/1 8.2
C. Madueke F 65 0 0 2 (1) 0 82% 22 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.3
V. Gyökeres F 65 0 0 0 (0) 1 63% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
G. de Jesus F 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 10 0 1 1/2 1/0 6.5
L. Trossard F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.2
E. Eze M 25 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 12 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.