Zulte Waregem
— No complete reference snapshot for this forecast.
Zulte Waregem
8th · 11 pts · 8 played
DWLLL
VS—
Compare
Club Brugge KV
2nd · 21 pts · 8 played
LWWWW
Zulte Waregem16.2%fair odds 6.16
Draw18.2%fair odds 5.50
Club Brugge KV65.6%fair odds 1.53
Expected goals1.23 – 2.55total 3.78
Likeliest score1–29.1%
Everything on this tab comes from one score matrix: the LOAD90 forecast (EloLambda with attack and defence, availability, playing style and High Congestion) turned into a probability for every scoreline with the Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Fair odds are 1 ÷ probability, with no bookmaker margin. This is a probability model, not betting advice; for odds and value see eScored.
Match Opportunity
How this opponent changes expected goals compared with an average opponent from each team's domestic league.
Club Brugge KV
— No complete reference snapshot for this forecast.
About this comparison
The same LOAD90 model is run against a virtual opponent with the league's average Elo, raw attack and defence parameters and standardised possession, with no extra absences or high congestion. Your team's strength, squad availability, congestion and the match's venue context are kept. This measures opponent opportunity, not a change in your team's form. Positive attack change is favorable; negative conceding change is favorable. Clean-sheet changes are percentage points. Values are locked at kick-off.
Score matrix
| Zulte Waregem ↓ · Club Brugge KV → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7 | 5.4 | 7.4 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| 1 | 2.4 | 7.5 | 9.1 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| 2 | 1.7 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 6+ | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Chance of each exact score, in %. Rows are Zulte Waregem goals, columns Club Brugge KV goals; 6+ adds up six goals or more.
Most likely scores
- 1–29.1%10.96
- 1–37.8%12.89
- 1–17.5%13.28
- 0–27.4%13.50
- 0–36.3%15.87
- 2–25.6%17.80
- 0–15.4%18.43
- 1–44.9%20.20
- 2–34.8%20.93
- 2–14.4%22.72
Winning margin
2.0%
Zulte Waregem by 3+
fair 50.51
4.4%
Zulte Waregem by 2
fair 22.66
9.8%
Zulte Waregem by 1
fair 10.16
18.2%
Draw
fair 5.50
20.8%
Club Brugge KV by 1
fair 4.81
18.9%
Club Brugge KV by 2
fair 5.28
25.8%
Club Brugge KV by 3+
fair 3.87
Goal distribution
Total goals
3%0
8%1
17%2
21%3
19%4
33%5+
Zulte Waregem goals
29%0
36%1
22%2
9%3
4%4+
Club Brugge KV goals
8%0
20%1
25%2
22%3
25%4+
LOAD90 vs pure EloLambda
| LOAD90 | EloLambda | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zulte Waregem win | 16.2% | 17.0% | -0.7 pp |
| Draw | 18.2% | 18.7% | -0.5 pp |
| Club Brugge KV win | 65.6% | 64.3% | +1.2 pp |
| Over 2.5 | 72.8% | 71.9% | +0.9 pp |
| Both teams score | 65.7% | 65.5% | +0.2 pp |
| Expected goals Zulte Waregem | 1.23 | 1.24 | -0.01 |
| Expected goals Club Brugge KV | 2.55 | 2.49 | +0.06 |
EloLambda is the stable eScored model without the LOAD90 factors. The change column is what playing style and High Congestion add for this match; see the methodology.
All markets model probability and fair odds
Result
- Zulte Waregem win16.2%6.16
- Draw18.2%5.50
- Club Brugge KV win65.6%1.53
- Double chance Zulte Waregem or draw34.4%2.90
- Double chance Zulte Waregem or Club Brugge KV81.8%1.22
- Double chance Club Brugge KV or draw83.8%1.19
- Draw no bet Zulte Waregem19.8%5.04
- Draw no bet Club Brugge KV80.2%1.25
Goals
- Over 0.597.3%1.03
- Over 1.589.5%1.12
- Over 2.572.8%1.37
- Over 3.552.3%1.91
- Over 4.532.9%3.04
- Under 1.510.5%9.52
- Under 2.527.2%3.68
- Under 3.547.7%2.10
Both teams to score
- Yes65.7%1.52
- No34.3%2.91
- Yes and over 2.558.1%1.72
- Zulte Waregem win and yes11.1%9.02
- Draw and yes15.5%6.43
- Club Brugge KV win and yes39.0%2.56
Team goals
- Zulte Waregem over 0.570.8%1.41
- Zulte Waregem over 1.534.9%2.87
- Zulte Waregem over 2.512.7%7.85
- Club Brugge KV over 0.592.2%1.08
- Club Brugge KV over 1.572.3%1.38
- Club Brugge KV over 2.546.9%2.13
- Zulte Waregem clean sheet7.8%12.83
- Club Brugge KV clean sheet29.2%3.43
- Zulte Waregem win to nil5.1%19.45
- Club Brugge KV win to nil26.5%3.77
Handicap
- Zulte Waregem −1.56.4%15.64
- Zulte Waregem −2.52.0%50.51
- Club Brugge KV +1.593.6%1.07
- Club Brugge KV +2.598.0%1.02
- Club Brugge KV −1.544.8%2.23
- Zulte Waregem +1.555.2%1.81
Corners, cards and shots are not forecast by LOAD90; their actual averages are on the Overview tab.
Model track record Belgian Pro League 2026-2027
All LOAD90 forecasts before this match.
Matches scored72
Favourite won61.1%
Avg chance given to result45.0%
1X2 Brier0.511
Over 2.5 called right56.9%
BTTS called right44.4%
Calibration · when the favourite was given…
| Favourite chance | Matches | Predicted | Actually won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40% | 8 | 38.4% | 25.0% |
| 40–50% | 30 | 45.4% | 46.7% |
| 50–60% | 19 | 55.0% | 78.9% |
| 60–70% | 7 | 64.8% | 85.7% |
| 70–80% | 5 | 72.9% | 100.0% |
| 80%+ | 3 | 83.9% | 66.7% |
LOAD90 vs Bookmaker
Compared on the same 47 of 72 scored matches.
| LOAD90 | Bookmaker | |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 Brier (lower is better) | 0.5318 | 0.5330 |
| Avg chance given to result | 43.5% | 43.2% |
| Favourite won | 59.6% | 63.8% |
Bookmaker probabilities come from pre-match 1X2 odds supplied by eScored, with the margin removed. Prices may have been recorded at different times before kick-off. Bookmaker identity is unavailable for 47 archived lines; these prices may come from different bookmakers.
Latest results
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- ✓RAAL La Louvière 1–4 Club Brugge KV12·17·70
- ✓Cercle Brugge 1–2 Anderlecht32·24·44
- ✗SK Beveren 1–3 Lommel United37·25·37
- ✗Kortrijk 1–0 SK Beveren31·25·44
Pre-match forecasts only. 0 of 72 were published live before kick-off; the rest were rebuilt after the match from pre-match data, never using the result. Numbers are home · draw · away chances, the actual result in bold. A good model's favourites in the 60–70% row should win about 65% of the time.