Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Fri, Oct 30 · 19:45 Elindus Arena, Waregem
Zulte Waregem 8th · 11 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Club Brugge KV 2nd · 21 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Club Brugge KV are clear favourites.

Club Brugge KV are the stronger side on L90 Strength (76 vs 30). Club Brugge KV usually keep the ball (60% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. Zulte Waregem have 6 days of rest, Club Brugge KV 5.2 and have to travel 38 km. Conditions look neutral.

Away travel38 kmRest days6 · 5.2Matches / 14d1 · 2
Zulte Waregem16%
Draw18%
Club Brugge KV66%
Expected goals 1.23 – 2.55
Zulte Waregem18%
Draw23%
Club Brugge KV59%
Expected goals 0.95 – 1.89
Zulte Waregem16%
Draw18%
Club Brugge KV66%
Expected goals 1.23 – 2.55
Zulte Waregem11%
Draw15%
Club Brugge KV73%
Expected goals 1.10 – 2.86
Zulte Waregem17%
Draw19%
Club Brugge KV64%
Expected goals 1.24 – 2.49
Over 2.5 73% Both score 66% Likeliest score 1–2
EloLambda forecast, updated 37 minutes ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Waregem)
13°CClear
  • Precipitation 30%
  • Wind 17 km/h
  • Humidity 86%
Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Zulte Waregem and Club Brugge KV. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Zulte WaregemClub Brugge KV
30 L90 StrengthIn forecast 76
30 Current StrengthIn forecast 75
27 AttackIn forecast 86
31 DefenceIn forecast 58
17 Form indexContext 86
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Zulte Waregem

Attack—
Defense risk—

Club Brugge KV

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Zulte WaregemClub Brugge KV
1.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.38
1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.50
1.25 xGVia Att/Def 2.55
1.17 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.00
+0.00 Goals minus xGContext -0.17
50% Scored inContext 100%
38% Clean sheetsContext 63%
12.63 ShotsContext 18.25
4.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.00
34% On target shareContext 33%
8.13 Shots in the boxContext 13.88
65% Box shareContext 75%
10% ConversionContext 13%
2.80 OffsidesContext 1.86
12.00 Shots allowedContext 13.63
4.88 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50
3.13 BlocksContext 3.88
3.63 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.88
74% Save rateContext 82%
43% PossessionIn forecast 64%
376 PassesContext 601
304 Accurate passesContext 535
81% Pass accuracyContext 89%
6.85 Team ratingContext 7.27
11.50 FoulsContext 7.88
12.88 Fouls sufferedContext 11.38
0.88 Yellow cardsContext 1.38
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.50
1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
1.34 xGVia Att/Def 2.61
1.29 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.74
+0.16 Goals minus xGContext -0.11
60% Scored inContext 100%
30% Clean sheetsContext 50%
13.10 ShotsContext 17.00
4.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.80
35% On target shareContext 34%
8.20 Shots in the boxContext 13.70
64% Box shareContext 76%
12% ConversionContext 15%
3.00 OffsidesContext 1.67
11.90 Shots allowedContext 15.70
5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.60
3.11 BlocksContext 4.60
3.60 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50
72% Save rateContext 76%
45% PossessionIn forecast 62%
385 PassesContext 580
308 Accurate passesContext 515
80% Pass accuracyContext 89%
6.84 Team ratingContext 7.17
11.00 FoulsContext 9.20
12.80 Fouls sufferedContext 11.10
0.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.80
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Zulte Waregem
Rest6 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km140 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 17 · 4 pts vs 8.5 for an average club · -3.5 vs expected
  • L10 OctH · Gent0–21.3 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Anderlecht0–31.1 xPts
  • L13 SepH · Charleroi0–11.6 xPts
  • W6 SepA · Kortrijk2–01.8 xPts
  • D30 AugA · KVC Westerlo2–21.7 xPts
Club Brugge KV
Rest5.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel38 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 86 · 12 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · +3.1 vs expected
  • W13 OctA · Inter4–30.9 xPts
  • W10 OctA · RAAL La Louvière4–12.3 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Genk3–01.9 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Antwerp3–12.4 xPts
  • L8 SepH · Aston Villa2–31.5 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Zulte Waregem Club Brugge KV
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match6Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 24 Oct5.2Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 25 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km38 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways140 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 21 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one8.95

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Zulte Waregem Last XI · not confirmed
4-3-3 · vs Gent (H) 0–2, 10 Oct
13B. Gabriël(G)
55Y. Cappelle 5Jakob Kiilerich 4L. Lemoine 23S. Diakité
11M. Aké 6E. Lofolomo 8T. Claes
20T. Hedl 18A. Ementa 10M. Mbaye
Club Brugge KV Last XI · not confirmed
4-5-1 · vs Inter (A) 4–3, 13 Oct
1Y. Sommer(G)
65J. Seys 44B. Mechele 58J. Spileers 64K. Sabbe
11J. Virgili 20H. Vanaken 8F. Potts 10H. Vetlesen 9Carlos Forbs
7N. Tresoldi

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Zulte Waregem No reported absences
Club Brugge KV No reported absences
Total impact vs full squads
  • Zulte Waregem+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • Club Brugge KV+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Zulte Waregem · Home 1.50points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
2-0-2
Scored
1.50
Conceded
1.00
Club Brugge KV · Away 2.25points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
3-0-1
Scored
2.25
Conceded
0.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentZulte WaregemClub Brugge KV
Gent L 0–2 H L 1–2 A
Kortrijk W 2–0 A W 3–0 H
Genk W 2–1 H W 3–0 H
Points6 of 9 · 2.00 per game6 of 9 · 2.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

0 Zulte Waregem wins0 draws2 Club Brugge KV wins
Goals per game1.50 – 2.50 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets0% · 50%
  • 24 Jan 2026Club Brugge KV4–3Zulte Waregem
  • 16 Aug 2025Zulte Waregem0–1Club Brugge KV

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Zulte WaregemClub Brugge KVForecast
Scored per game 1.252.38
Conceded per game 1.130.50
Match goals 2.382.88 3.78
Over 1.5 75%75%
Over 2.5 50%75% 73%
Over 3.5 25%25%
Both teams scored 25%38% 66%
Clean sheets 38%63%
Failed to score 50%0%
Games88
Zulte WaregemClub Brugge KVForecast
Scored per game 1.102.50
Conceded per game 1.101.00
Match goals 2.203.50 3.78
Over 1.5 70%80%
Over 2.5 40%80% 73%
Over 3.5 20%40%
Both teams scored 20%50% 66%
Clean sheets 40%50%
Failed to score 50%0%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Zulte WaregemClub Brugge KVLeague
Corners
Corners won4.508.25
Corners conceded5.253.13
Match total9.7511.3810.01
Over 8.575% 6/875% 6/8
Over 9.550% 4/875% 6/8
Over 10.538% 3/850% 4/8
Cards
Cards1.001.50
Opponent cards2.252.00
Match total3.253.503.36
Over 3.538% 3/838% 3/8
Over 4.525% 2/838% 3/8
Zulte WaregemClub Brugge KVLeague
Corners
Corners won5.207.30
Corners conceded4.803.40
Match total10.0010.7010.01
Over 8.580% 8/1070% 7/10
Over 9.560% 6/1060% 6/10
Over 10.550% 5/1040% 4/10
Cards
Cards1.001.90
Opponent cards2.302.10
Match total3.304.003.36
Over 3.540% 4/1050% 5/10
Over 4.530% 3/1050% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Zulte Waregem8 games · scored 10 · conceded 9
2 0-15
2 1 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 61-75
4 1 76-90
Club Brugge KV8 games · scored 19 · conceded 4
2 0-15
2 1 16-30
5 1 31-45
4 46-60
3 1 61-75
3 1 76-90
Zulte Waregem10 games · scored 15 · conceded 12
2 0-15
2 3 16-30
3 2 31-45
3 3 46-60
2 1 61-75
5 1 76-90
Club Brugge KV10 games · scored 25 · conceded 10
2 1 0-15
4 2 16-30
5 3 31-45
4 46-60
6 1 61-75
4 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
Zulte Waregem Club Brugge KV Oct 3019:45 KV Mechelen Genk Oct 3115:00 Standard Liege Kortrijk Oct 3117:15 Anderlecht KVC Westerlo Oct 3119:45 SK Beveren Union St. Gilloise Oct 3119:45 Cercle Brugge Antwerp Nov 112:30 St. Truiden OH Leuven Nov 115:00 Lommel United Gent Nov 117:30 Charleroi RAAL La Louvière Nov 118:15