4th · Eredivisie · 18 points · Matches played: 9
5 points behind Feyenoord · Table & Fixtures →
WWDDW
L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.
+7.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed +3.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 53.4+7.5
+7.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed +3.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 53.4+7.5
World Rank
70th
Global, by Elo
Eredivisie Rank
3rd
L90 Strength
Among the strongest in the league.
Ajax build on a top-three attack and back it with a top-three defence. Across the 9 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. S. Berghuis and Caio Henrique are out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Twente.
They dominate the ball, with 62% possession, 1st in the league, and turn it into 23 shots a game. They allow very few chances (10 shots a game against). Unusually, they travel better than they host: 3.0 points per game away against 1.2 at home.
- Title 5% · Top 4 79%Likely 3rd · 64 projected points
-
Next 3: about 5 of 9 points Toughest at
Twente · , 32% to win
- 2 key players outS. Berghuis, Caio Henrique · 20% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
- 18 pts vs 16.5 expected+1.5 vs pre-match expectations · 9 matches with forecasts
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Ajax. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Headlines
-
Insight
Ajax
+1.07
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for2.03xG against0.96
-
Trend
Ajax
78%
Both teams scored
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Insight
Ajax
+1.3
Points above expected
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Points18.0xPts16.7
-
Trend
Ajax
3.0
Goals scored per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Streak
Ajax
5
Unbeaten in a row
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row -
Streak
Ajax
9
Scoring in a row
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row
Attack
-
Insight
Ajax
+1.07
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for2.03xG against0.96
-
Trend
Ajax
3.0
Goals scored per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Ajax
78%
Both teams scored
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Streak
Ajax
9
Scoring in a row
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row -
Insight
Ajax
+1.3
Points above expected
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Points18.0xPts16.7
Defence
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Streaks
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →
Season
League position and season results.
Overview
2026-2027EredivisieView table →
Position
4th/ 18
Points
182.00 PPG
Played
9
League gap
5pts behind leader
55.6%Win %
Wins5
Draws3
Losses1
Expected metrics · 5 of 9 matches covered
Goals For
273.00 / game
xG
10.32
3.68 more goals than expected.
vs 14 goals
Goals Against
121.33 / game
xGA
5.61
0.61 fewer conceded than expected.
vs 5 conceded
Goal Difference
+15+1.67 / game
xGD
+4.71
Goal difference is 4.29 higher than expected.
vs +9 GD
Clean Sheets
222% of games
All competitions9 Played
55.6%Win %
Wins5
Draws3
Losses1
Expected metrics · 5 of 9 matches covered
Goals For
273.00 / game
xG
10.32
3.68 more goals than expected.
vs 14 goals
Goals Against
121.33 / game
xGA
5.61
0.61 fewer conceded than expected.
vs 5 conceded
Goal Difference
+15+1.67 / game
xGD
+4.71
Goal difference is 4.29 higher than expected.
vs +9 GD
Clean Sheets
222% of games
Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.
League standings
Eredivisie · 2026-2027
Swipe to explore the league table →
| # | Club | Rating | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1– |  Feyenoord |
61 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 23 | WWWWW |
| 2▲ |  AZ Alkmaar |
47 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 20 | WDWLD |
| 3▼ |  PSV Eindhoven |
74 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 19 | WWLWL |
| 4▲ | Ajax |
53 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 18 | WWDDW |
| 5▼ | Twente |
45 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 | WWWDL |
| 6▲ |  Fortuna Sittard |
21 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 15 | WLWDD |
| 7▼ |  Groningen |
30 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 | DDWWL |
| 8▲ |  Heerenveen |
31 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 | LDWLW |
| 9▼ |  GO Ahead Eagles |
24 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 | DDDDL |
| 10▼ |  Excelsior |
21 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 | DLDLL |
| 11▲ |  Utrecht |
34 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 11 | DWLWW |
| 12▼ |  NEC Nijmegen |
32 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 | DLDDD |
| 13▲ |  Sparta Rotterdam |
18 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 14▼ |  Cambuur |
23 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 | DWDWD |
| 15▲ |  PEC Zwolle |
16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | DLLLW |
| 16▼ |  Telstar |
22 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 | LDLDL |
| 17– |  ADO Den Haag |
15 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 | LLDDW |
| 18– |  Willem II |
10 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 2 | DLLLL |
18 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.
League position over time
Position by matchweek
Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.
View position history
| MW | Results through (UTC) | Position | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 Aug 2026 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 16 Aug 2026 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 · Partial | 23 Aug 2026 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 4 | 30 Aug 2026 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 Sep 2026 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 6 | 15 Sep 2026 | 4 | 13 | 6 |
| 7 | 20 Sep 2026 | 5 | 14 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 Oct 2026 | 5 | 15 | 8 |
| 9 | 18 Oct 2026 | 4 | 18 | 9 |
Competition standings
There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.
Squad 42 players · this season, all competitions · 5 out
Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026
Top scorer
J. Brandt6 goals
J. Brandt6 goals
Most assists
O. Gloukh4 assists
O. Gloukh4 assists
Best rated
J. Brandt7.45 avg rating
J. Brandt7.45 avg rating
Most minutes
M. ter Stegen720 min
M. ter Stegen720 min
Key to the model
J. BrandtCore · weight 2.24
J. BrandtCore · weight 2.24| Player | Age | Apps | Min | G | A | Rating | Model role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeepers | |||||||
| M. ter Stegen |
34 | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | 6.94 | starter |
 M. Paes |
28 | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 6.57 | rotation |
 Aymean el Hani |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Jesse Joeri Heerkens |
20 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 P. Reverson |
21 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Valentijn van der Velde |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Defenders | |||||||
 Y. Baas |
23 | 8 (7) | 654 | 1 | 0 | 6.93 | starter |
 J. Mokio |
18 | 9 (7) | 613 | 3 | 1 | 6.90 | rotation |
 Caio Henrique injured |
29 | 7 (6) | 488 | 0 | 1 | 6.52 | starter |
 A. Bouwman |
19 | 6 (5) | 461 | 1 | 0 | 7.12 | rotation |
 Lucas Rosa |
26 | 5 (5) | 433 | 0 | 1 | 7.07 | starter |
 A. Gaaei injured |
23 | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | 6.96 | rotation |
 J. Kehrer |
30 | 5 (4) | 353 | 1 | 1 | 6.99 | starter |
 O. Wijndal |
26 | 4 (3) | 304 | 0 | 1 | 6.76 | rotation |
 D. Janse |
20 | 3 (2) | 193 | 0 | 0 | 7.05 | rotation |
 J. Torrents |
19 | 1 (0) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6.70 | depth |
 D. Blind injured |
36 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Jinairo Johnson |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Kennynho Kasanwirjo |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Marvyn Muzungu |
18 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Ryan van de Pavert |
20 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Mylo van der Lans |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Midfielders | |||||||
| J. Brandt |
30 | 9 (7) | 605 | 6 | 0 | 7.45 | core |
| O. Gloukh |
22 | 9 (8) | 591 | 1 | 4 | 7.06 | starter |
 D. Klaassen |
33 | 9 (7) | 540 | 3 | 1 | 6.82 | starter |
 S. Amrabat |
30 | 6 (3) | 353 | 0 | 0 | 6.74 | starter |
 Abdellah Ouazane |
— | 9 (2) | 317 | 1 | 0 | 6.62 | rotation |
 Y. Regeer |
23 | 2 (2) | 151 | 0 | 0 | 6.70 | — |
 Rayane Bounida |
20 | 1 (0) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6.27 | rotation |
 Y. Bissouma |
30 | 1 (0) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6.09 | depth |
 Mohamed Abdalla |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Mark Verkuijl |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Forwards | |||||||
 S. Berghuis injured |
34 | 6 (6) | 406 | 1 | 2 | 7.13 | core |
 T. Arokodare |
25 | 8 (4) | 362 | 4 | 1 | 7.34 | starter |
 K. Dolberg injured |
29 | 6 (4) | 329 | 2 | 3 | 7.05 | rotation |
 V. Tsyhankov |
28 | 5 (2) | 205 | 1 | 1 | 6.78 | rotation |
 Marcos Leonardo |
23 | 6 (1) | 192 | 1 | 0 | 6.46 | rotation |
 O. Edvardsen |
27 | 4 (1) | 107 | 0 | 0 | 6.70 | rotation |
 S. Adingra |
24 | 1 (0) | 30 | 0 | 0 | 7.13 | rotation |
 M. Godts |
21 | 1 (0) | 29 | 0 | 1 | 7.20 | — |
 Maher Carrizo |
20 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Pharrel Nash |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Sparta Rotterdam: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.
Performance
Strength, recent form and playing style.
Strength Eredivisie · 18 clubs
L90 Strength3rd of 18
53
Elo 1666 · World #70
Current Strength
53
With absences before 25 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack2nd of 18
66
Scores 1.80 per match against an average top-five side
Defence3rd of 18
55
Concedes 1.47 per match against an average top-five side
In forecast League average
L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.
Form last 5 for the index · last 9 listed
63
WWDDW Form index · 3rd of 18 in league
- Points, last 5
- 11
- Median top-5 club
- 9.5
- Own forecasts
- 10.1 +0.9
Table4th
L90 Strength3rd
Form3rd
Table position in line with their strength.
Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.
- W18 OctA · Groningen5–21.4 xPts
- D10 OctH · NEC Nijmegen1–12.1 xPts
- D19 SepH · Excelsior2–22.1 xPts
- W15 SepH · Willem II5–12.5 xPts
- W12 SepA · Fortuna Sittard5–11.9 xPts
- L5 SepH · PSV Eindhoven1–31.0 xPts
- W30 AugA · Telstar4–01.6 xPts
- D16 AugH · Heerenveen2–22.0 xPts
- W9 AugA · PEC Zwolle2–01.8 xPts
Trends last 9, all competitions
Scored
9/9
Clean sheet
2/9
Conceded 2+
4/9
Over 2.5
7/9
Both teams scored
7/9
Playing style vs Eredivisie average
AJALeagueRank
Goals scored
3.00
1.92
2nd
Goals conceded
1.33
1.92
5th
xG
2.06
1.71
6th
xG allowed
1.12
1.70
4th
Scored in
100%
85%
1st
Clean sheets
22%
15%
4th
AJALeagueRank
Shots
22.78
14.96
1st
Shots on target
8.11
5.36
2nd
On target share
36%
35%
9th
Box share
71%
66%
1st
Conversion
13%
13%
8th
AJALeagueRank
Shots allowed
10.00
14.96
2nd
On target allowed
4.00
5.33
4th
Blocks
2.67
4.25
18th
Save rate
74%
65%
1st
AJALeagueRank
Possession
62%
50%
1st
Passes
581
443
1st
Pass accuracy
89%
82%
1st
AJALeagueRank
Fouls
9.56
10.67
6th
Fouls suffered
9.89
10.67
11th
Yellow cards
2.00
1.37
17th
Red cards
0.00
0.02
1st
AJALeagueRank
Goals scored
2.90
1.82
2nd
Goals conceded
1.20
1.94
1st
xG
2.03
1.61
5th
xG allowed
0.96
1.71
2nd
Scored in
100%
82%
1st
Clean sheets
30%
13%
2nd
AJALeagueRank
Shots
21.70
14.49
1st
Shots on target
7.80
5.15
1st
On target share
36%
35%
8th
Box share
71%
65%
1st
Conversion
13%
12%
8th
AJALeagueRank
Shots allowed
9.50
15.14
1st
On target allowed
3.70
5.39
2nd
Blocks
2.60
4.29
18th
Save rate
74%
65%
1st
AJALeagueRank
Possession
62%
50%
1st
Passes
576
438
1st
Pass accuracy
88%
82%
1st
AJALeagueRank
Fouls
9.80
10.90
6th
Fouls suffered
10.50
10.88
11th
Yellow cards
1.90
1.44
15th
Red cards
0.00
0.03
1st
Home and away this league season
Home1.20pts per game1-3-1 · 2.2–1.8 goals · 5 games
Away3.00pts per game4-0-0 · 4.0–0.8 goals · 4 games
Goal timing this league season · 9 games
2
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
7
3
31-45
3
2
46-60
7
1
61-75
6
4
76-90
scored conceded, per 15 minutes
In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average
Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.
Team rankings Eredivisie · 9 games · rank of 18
Attack
GF
27
2nd / 18
GF/G
3.00
2nd / 18
xG/G
2.06
6th / 18
G − xG
+0.94
1st / 18
Defence
GA
12
5th / 18
GA/G
1.33
5th / 18
xGA/G
1.12
4th / 18
xGA − GA
-0.21
9th / 18
Overall
Pts
18
4th / 18
xPts
16.5
5th / 18
PPG
2.00
4th / 18
TR
7.03
2nd / 18
GD
+15
2nd / 18
xGD
+8.5
4th / 18
W
5
4th / 18
L
1
2nd / 18
Scorelines
- 2–2×2
- 5–1×2
- 2–0×1
- 4–0×1
- 1–3×1
- 1–1×1
Goals per game both teams
0%
0
0%
1
22%
2
0%
3
44%
4
33%
5+
Totals club · league
- Over 1.5
- 100%91%
- Over 2.5
- 78%75%
- Over 3.5
- 78%63%
- Both scored
- 78%72%
- Clean sheet
- 22%15%
- Failed to score
- 0%15%
ClubLeague average
This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.