LE Havre

18th · Ligue 1 · 2 points · Matches played: 7

12 points behind Lyon · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -4.5 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 20.1
World Rank 383rd Global, by Elo
Ligue 1 Rank 16th L90 Strength
Last AuxerreH xG 1.4–2.8 1–3 Next MarseilleA 17%

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Our take

Up against it.

LE Havre are short of quality at both ends, with one of the weaker attack in the league and one of the weaker defence in the league. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 6 fewer points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. A. Seko is out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the visit of Paris Saint Germain.

They are wasteful in front of goal (5% of shots scored). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation 54%Likely 17th · 28 projected points
  • Next 3: about 2 of 9 points Toughest vs Paris Saint Germain · , 5% to win
  • 1 key player outA. Seko · 19% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
  • 2 pts vs 7.9 expected-5.9 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for LE Havre. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions7 Played
Ligue 12 pts0.29 PPG7 games 18th
0.0%Win %
Wins0
Draws2
Losses5

Expected metrics · 4 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
50.71 / game
xG 4.02 2.02 fewer goals than expected. vs 2 goals
Goals Against
111.57 / game
xGA 7.15 1.15 fewer conceded than expected. vs 6 conceded
Goal Difference
-6-0.86 / game
xGD -3.13 Goal difference is 0.87 lower than expected. vs -4 GD
Clean Sheets
114% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Ligue 1 →

Squad 38 players · this season, all competitions · 5 out

Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026

Top scorer
M. Samatta2 goals
Most assists
S. Nakamura1 assists
Best rated
Lionel M'Pasi7.58 avg rating
Injured
Most minutes
S. Ebonog614 min
Key to the model
A. ToubaStarter · weight 2.00
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
G. Gallon 33 5 (4) 360 0 0 5.98 starter
Lionel M'Pasi injured 32 3 (3) 270 0 0 7.58 rotation
P. Argney 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
M. Diaw 33 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Alex Teixeira 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
A. Seko suspended 26 6 (6) 540 0 0 6.73 starter
A. Touba 28 6 (6) 540 0 0 6.80 starter
E. Jelert 23 4 (3) 290 0 0 6.40 rotation
T. Pembélé injured 24 3 (3) 208 0 0 6.36 rotation
V. Sasso 35 3 (2) 160 0 0 6.54 rotation
F. Doucouré 25 2 (1) 95 0 1 6.40 rotation
Y. Zouaoui 28 1 (1) 40 0 0 6.50 —
Karamokho Camara — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Georges Gomis 29 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Stephan Zagadou injured 17 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
S. Ebonog 22 7 (7) 614 0 0 6.66 starter
M. Richardson 24 7 (7) 614 0 0 6.50 starter
R. Ndiaye 24 6 (5) 408 0 0 6.71 starter
J. Mwanga 23 6 (4) 401 0 0 6.23 rotation
?D. Ouziad — 5 (5) 388 0 0 6.59 starter
K. Mizuta 26 5 (2) 166 0 0 6.51 rotation
I. Bouneb 20 2 (0) 18 0 0 6.31 depth
D. Mosengo 20 1 (0) 5 0 0 6.46 depth
G. Zohouri 19 1 (0) 5 0 0 5.84 depth
M. Bentoumi — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
M. Bodmer 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Adams Diabaté — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Ebroni Gnoan — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Thomas Rousseau — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Godson Kyeremeh 26 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
M. Samatta 33 7 (7) 610 2 0 6.68 rotation
J. Maja 27 7 (5) 428 1 0 6.55 starter
S. Nakamura 24 7 (3) 294 0 1 6.47 rotation
R. Fofana 20 5 (1) 173 2 0 6.72 rotation
E. K. Vinette 20 6 (0) 151 0 0 6.68 rotation
Yanis Beau Djellel — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
F. Mambimbi injured 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Tincrès — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Marseille: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Ligue 1 · 18 clubs

L90 Strength16th of 18
20 Elo 1439 · World #383
Current Strength
20 With absences before 25 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack17th of 18
20 Scores 1.11 per match against an average top-five side
Defence15th of 18
22 Concedes 2.07 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Lyon: attack 55, defence 56, L90 Strength 60 Paris Saint Germain: attack 91, defence 83, L90 Strength 90 Paris FC: attack 46, defence 38, L90 Strength 34 Lille: attack 42, defence 60, L90 Strength 56 Monaco: attack 45, defence 56, L90 Strength 56 Rennes: attack 63, defence 39, L90 Strength 52 Lorient: attack 28, defence 45, L90 Strength 34 Lens: attack 63, defence 53, L90 Strength 58 Marseille: attack 48, defence 46, L90 Strength 47 Stade Brestois 29: attack 47, defence 36, L90 Strength 34 Toulouse: attack 45, defence 49, L90 Strength 39 Auxerre: attack 39, defence 25, L90 Strength 30 Nice: attack 26, defence 35, L90 Strength 27 Strasbourg: attack 40, defence 37, L90 Strength 45 Angers: attack 22, defence 12, L90 Strength 19 Le Mans: attack 27, defence 21, L90 Strength 26 Estac Troyes: attack 12, defence 19, L90 Strength 12 LE Havre: attack 20, defence 22, L90 Strength 20
Every Ligue 1 club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed

6
Form index · 18th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
1
Median top-5 club
8.5
Own forecasts
6.1 -5.1
Table18th L90 Strength16th Form18th

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L18 OctH · Auxerre1–31.6 xPts
  • L10 OctA · Lille0–10.6 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Toulouse2–30.9 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Angers0–01.6 xPts
  • L5 SepH · Stade Brestois 291–21.4 xPts
  • D29 AugA · Lyon1–10.7 xPts
  • L23 AugH · Monaco0–11.1 xPts

Trends last 7, all competitions

Scored 4/7
Clean sheet 1/7
Conceded 2+ 3/7
Over 2.5 3/7
Both teams scored 4/7

Playing style vs Ligue 1 average

HAVLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.71 1.52 17th
Goals conceded 1.57 1.52 10th
xG 1.01 1.66 17th
xG allowed 1.79 1.66 13th
Scored in 57% 79% 15th
Clean sheets 14% 21% 8th
HAVLeagueRank
Shots 15.57 13.60 4th
Shots on target 4.71 4.85 11th
On target share 30% 36% 16th
Box share 66% 64% 7th
Conversion 5% 11% 18th
HAVLeagueRank
Shots allowed 12.86 13.60 8th
On target allowed 4.86 4.83 11th
Blocks 3.67 3.55 9th
Save rate 70% 71% 11th
HAVLeagueRank
Possession 50% 50% 10th
Passes 408 479 14th
Pass accuracy 83% 85% 14th
HAVLeagueRank
Fouls 14.57 11.99 15th
Fouls suffered 15.00 11.99 2nd
Yellow cards 1.57 1.66 8th
Red cards 0.29 0.06 18th
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
HAVLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.80 1.56 16th
Goals conceded 1.30 1.51 5th
xG 0.95 1.52 18th
xG allowed 1.59 1.54 13th
Scored in 60% 79% 16th
Clean sheets 20% 19% 5th
HAVLeagueRank
Shots 12.70 13.51 7th
Shots on target 4.10 4.85 13th
On target share 32% 35% 15th
Box share 67% 64% 5th
Conversion 6% 12% 18th
HAVLeagueRank
Shots allowed 13.10 13.69 9th
On target allowed 4.90 4.78 11th
Blocks 3.78 3.75 7th
Save rate 75% 70% 4th
HAVLeagueRank
Possession 47% 50% 12th
Passes 381 464 17th
Pass accuracy 82% 85% 15th
HAVLeagueRank
Fouls 14.70 11.61 17th
Fouls suffered 14.70 11.61 1st
Yellow cards 1.90 1.65 12th
Red cards 0.20 0.06 18th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home0.25pts per game0-1-3 · 0.5–1.5 goals · 4 games
Away0.33pts per game0-1-2 · 1.0–1.7 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

3 0-15
16-30
1 31-45
3 46-60
3 1 61-75
2 3 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Ligue 1 · 7 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 5 17th / 18
GF/G 0.71 17th / 18
xG/G 1.01 17th / 18
G − xG -0.30 12th / 18

Defence

GA 11 10th / 18
GA/G 1.57 10th / 18
xGA/G 1.79 13th / 18
xGA − GA +0.22 8th / 18

Overall

Pts 2 18th / 18
xPts 7.9 13th / 18
PPG 0.29 18th / 18
TR 6.62 15th / 18
GD -6 15th / 18
xGD -5.5 16th / 18
W 0 18th / 18
L 5 17th / 18

Scorelines

  • 0–1×2
  • 1–1×1
  • 1–2×1
  • 0–0×1
  • 2–3×1
  • 1–3×1

Goals per game both teams

14% 0
29% 1
14% 2
14% 3
14% 4
14% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
57%79%
Over 2.5
43%63%
Over 3.5
29%38%
Both scored
57%63%
Clean sheet
14%21%
Failed to score
43%21%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.