Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

League insights

Ligue 1 · 75 signals · 17 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

LensChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score67/100

A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.

Points minus expected9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
−3.0
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.80
Goals scored / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.9
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
53.3
Recency
62.4
Context
100.0
Quality
63.3

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 13; xPts 16. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.25; xG against 1.45. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Goals scored / match — Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Paris Saint GermainGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score66/100

Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.

Goals scored / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.7
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.09
Wins in a rowLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
6
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 66/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
72.7
Recency
46.8
Context
80.0
Quality
65.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.37; xG against 1.28. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
MarseilleChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score63/100

A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.

Points minus expected9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
−3.8
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.50
Goals scored / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.7
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 63/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
40.7
Recency
64.5
Context
100.0
Quality
63.3

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 9; xPts 12.8. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.83; xG against 1.33. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Goals scored / match — Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
LyonPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score57/100

Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.

Points minus expected9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+5.0
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.25
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
53.6
Recency
48.4
Context
80.0
Quality
50.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 20; xPts 15. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.32; xG against 1.57. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Paris FCDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score54/100

Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.

Clean sheetsLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3/7
Goals conceded / matchLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.0
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.62
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.3
Recency
48.4
Context
80.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Clean sheets — Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.77; xG against 1.15. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals75 signals · 17 clubs

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Paris Saint Germain Wins in a row 6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak70
Streak Paris Saint Germain 6 Wins in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 70/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
57.9
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Paris Saint Germain’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23RennesA2–2DNo
2026-08-28LilleA2–2DNo
2026-09-04MonacoH1–2LNo
2026-09-09Slovan BratislavaH6–1WYes
2026-09-13Stade Brestois 29A1–0WYes
2026-09-20MarseilleA2–1WYes
2026-10-10Le MansH3–1WYes
2026-10-14Manchester CityA4–2WYes
2026-10-17StrasbourgA3–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Paris Saint Germain Both teams scored 89% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores67
Scores Paris Saint Germain 89% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
49.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Paris Saint Germain’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23RennesA2–2DYes
2026-08-28LilleA2–2DYes
2026-09-04MonacoH1–2LYes
2026-09-09Slovan BratislavaH6–1WYes
2026-09-13Stade Brestois 29A1–0WNo
2026-09-20MarseilleA2–1WYes
2026-10-10Le MansH3–1WYes
2026-10-14Manchester CityA4–2WYes
2026-10-17StrasbourgA3–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Le Mans xG difference per match −1.39 Underlying performance · 7-match window Observed xG42
Observed xG Le Mans −1.39 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 7-match window xG for1.50xG against2.89

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 7-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.5; xG against 2.89. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 42/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
81.1
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
28.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 7-match window

xG for
1.50
xG against
2.89

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Estac Troyes Losses in a row 5 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak61
Streak Estac Troyes 5 Losses in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
43.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Estac Troyes’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22Paris FCH0–0DNo
2026-08-29LorientA2–1WNo
2026-09-06StrasbourgH2–6LYes
2026-09-13LilleA0–2LYes
2026-09-19AngersA0–2LYes
2026-10-11MarseilleH0–2LYes
2026-10-17LensH1–3LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
LE Havre Points below expected −5.9 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast67
Forecast LE Havre −5.9 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points2.0xPts7.9

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 2; xPts 7.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
73.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
2.0
xPts
7.9

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Lorient Clean sheets 4 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores68
Scores Lorient 4 Clean sheets Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
62.5
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lorient’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22NiceA0–0DYes
2026-08-29Estac TroyesH1–2LNo
2026-09-05LensA1–0WYes
2026-09-12ToulouseH2–2DNo
2026-09-19Le MansA1–2LNo
2026-10-10Paris FCH1–0WYes
2026-10-18MonacoH1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Paris Saint Germain Goals scored per match 2.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65
Scores Paris Saint Germain 2.7 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
44.9
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Paris Saint Germain’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23RennesA2–2D
2026-08-28LilleA2–2D
2026-09-04MonacoH1–2L
2026-09-09Slovan BratislavaH6–1W
2026-09-13Stade Brestois 29A1–0W
2026-09-20MarseilleA2–1W
2026-10-10Le MansH3–1W
2026-10-14Manchester CityA4–2W
2026-10-17StrasbourgA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Paris Saint Germain Scoring in a row 9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak80
Streak Paris Saint Germain 9 Scoring in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 80/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
86.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Paris Saint Germain’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23RennesA2–2DYes
2026-08-28LilleA2–2DYes
2026-09-04MonacoH1–2LYes
2026-09-09Slovan BratislavaH6–1WYes
2026-09-13Stade Brestois 29A1–0WYes
2026-09-20MarseilleA2–1WYes
2026-10-10Le MansH3–1WYes
2026-10-14Manchester CityA4–2WYes
2026-10-17StrasbourgA3–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Strasbourg Both teams scored 86% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Strasbourg 86% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.9
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Strasbourg’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-21MarseilleA0–4LNo
2026-08-29LensH2–1WYes
2026-09-06Estac TroyesA6–2WYes
2026-09-12MonacoH1–1DYes
2026-09-19Paris FCA1–2LYes
2026-10-11NiceA1–2LYes
2026-10-17Paris Saint GermainH1–3LYes
Full club analysis →
Paris Saint Germain Unbeaten in a row 6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak70
Streak Paris Saint Germain 6 Unbeaten in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 70/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
57.9
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Paris Saint Germain’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23RennesA2–2DYes
2026-08-28LilleA2–2DYes
2026-09-04MonacoH1–2LNo
2026-09-09Slovan BratislavaH6–1WYes
2026-09-13Stade Brestois 29A1–0WYes
2026-09-20MarseilleA2–1WYes
2026-10-10Le MansH3–1WYes
2026-10-14Manchester CityA4–2WYes
2026-10-17StrasbourgA3–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Stade Brestois 29 Both teams scored 86% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Stade Brestois 29 86% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.9
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Stade Brestois 29’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22Le MansA2–2DYes
2026-08-29ToulouseH2–2DYes
2026-09-05LE HavreA2–1WYes
2026-09-13Paris Saint GermainH0–1LNo
2026-09-20AuxerreA1–2LYes
2026-10-10AngersH5–1WYes
2026-10-17LilleA1–1DYes
Full club analysis →
Auxerre Both teams scored 86% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores60
Scores Auxerre 86% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.9
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Auxerre’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22LensA2–5LYes
2026-08-29AngersH1–3LYes
2026-09-04LyonA1–3LYes
2026-09-12NiceH1–0WNo
2026-09-20Stade Brestois 29H2–1WYes
2026-10-11RennesA1–4LYes
2026-10-18LE HavreA3–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Lyon Points above expected +5.0 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast63
Forecast Lyon +5.0 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points20.0xPts15.0

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 20; xPts 15. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 63/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
53.6
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
20.0
xPts
15.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Auxerre Goals conceded per match 2.4 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Auxerre 2.4 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.3
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Auxerre’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22LensA2–5L
2026-08-29AngersH1–3L
2026-09-04LyonA1–3L
2026-09-12NiceH1–0W
2026-09-20Stade Brestois 29H2–1W
2026-10-11RennesA1–4L
2026-10-18LE HavreA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Paris Saint Germain xG difference per match +1.09 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG41
Observed xG Paris Saint Germain +1.09 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.37xG against1.28

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.37; xG against 1.28. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 41/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
72.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.37
xG against
1.28

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Le Mans Both teams scored 86% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Le Mans 86% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.9
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Le Mans’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22Stade Brestois 29H2–2DYes
2026-08-30RennesA2–3LYes
2026-09-05NiceA1–1DYes
2026-09-13LensH2–2DYes
2026-09-19LorientH2–1WYes
2026-10-10Paris Saint GermainA1–3LYes
2026-10-16ToulouseH0–3LNo
Full club analysis →
Marseille Goals conceded away per match 1.8 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores48
Scores Marseille 1.8 Goals conceded away per match Last 5 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.4
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Marseille’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-30MonacoA0–2L
2026-09-11RennesA0–1L
2026-09-17BesiktasA1–4L
2026-10-11Estac TroyesA2–0W
2026-10-18AngersA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Lens Goals conceded away per match 1.8 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores47
Scores Lens 1.8 Goals conceded away per match Last 5 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.4
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Lens’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29StrasbourgA1–2L
2026-09-10Slavia PrahaA3–2W
2026-09-13Le MansA2–2D
2026-09-18MonacoA1–2L
2026-10-17Estac TroyesA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Strasbourg Losses in a row 3 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak55
Streak Strasbourg 3 Losses in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.3
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Strasbourg’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-21MarseilleA0–4LYes
2026-08-29LensH2–1WNo
2026-09-06Estac TroyesA6–2WNo
2026-09-12MonacoH1–1DNo
2026-09-19Paris FCA1–2LYes
2026-10-11NiceA1–2LYes
2026-10-17Paris Saint GermainH1–3LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
LE Havre Losses in a row 3 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak55
Streak LE Havre 3 Losses in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.3
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from LE Havre’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23MonacoH0–1LYes
2026-08-29LyonA1–1DNo
2026-09-05Stade Brestois 29H1–2LYes
2026-09-12AngersH0–0DNo
2026-09-19ToulouseA2–3LYes
2026-10-10LilleA0–1LYes
2026-10-18AuxerreH1–3LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Monaco Goals conceded per match 0.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Monaco 0.9 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Monaco’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23LE HavreA1–0W
2026-08-30MarseilleH2–0W
2026-09-04Paris Saint GermainA2–1W
2026-09-12StrasbourgA1–1D
2026-09-18LensH2–1W
2026-10-10ToulouseH2–2D
2026-10-18LorientA0–1L
Full club analysis →
Lorient Goals conceded per match 0.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Lorient 0.9 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lorient’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22NiceA0–0D
2026-08-29Estac TroyesH1–2L
2026-09-05LensA1–0W
2026-09-12ToulouseH2–2D
2026-09-19Le MansA1–2L
2026-10-10Paris FCH1–0W
2026-10-18MonacoH1–0W
Full club analysis →
Lens Both teams scored 78% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Lens 78% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.6
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lens’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22AuxerreH5–2WYes
2026-08-29StrasbourgA1–2LYes
2026-09-05LorientH0–1LNo
2026-09-10Slavia PrahaA3–2WYes
2026-09-13Le MansA2–2DYes
2026-09-18MonacoA1–2LYes
2026-10-09LyonH2–1WYes
2026-10-13Sporting CPH0–2LNo
2026-10-17Estac TroyesA3–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Paris FC Points above expected +4.3 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast60
Forecast Paris FC +4.3 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points14.0xPts9.7

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 14; xPts 9.7. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
53.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
14.0
xPts
9.7

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Lyon Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores60
Scores Lyon 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.4
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22ToulouseA2–0W
2026-08-26FenerbahceH1–2L
2026-08-29LE HavreH1–1D
2026-09-04AuxerreH3–1W
2026-09-12Paris FCA0–0D
2026-09-16AnderlechtA2–1W
2026-09-19RennesH4–0W
2026-10-09LensA1–2L
2026-10-15Crystal PalaceH3–2W
2026-10-18NiceH2–1W
Full club analysis →
Lens xG difference per match +0.80 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG35
Observed xG Lens +0.80 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.25xG against1.45

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.25; xG against 1.45. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 35/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
53.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.25
xG against
1.45

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Monaco Points above expected +3.8 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast58
Forecast Monaco +3.8 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points14.0xPts10.2

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 14; xPts 10.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
47.5
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
14.0
xPts
10.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Estac Troyes Goals conceded per match 2.3 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Estac Troyes 2.3 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.2
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Estac Troyes’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Paris FCH0–0D
2026-08-29LorientA2–1W
2026-09-06StrasbourgH2–6L
2026-09-13LilleA0–2L
2026-09-19AngersA0–2L
2026-10-11MarseilleH0–2L
2026-10-17LensH1–3L
Full club analysis →
Strasbourg xG difference per match −0.72 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG33
Observed xG Strasbourg −0.72 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.21xG against1.93

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.21; xG against 1.93. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 33/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
48.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.21
xG against
1.93

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Marseille Points below expected −3.8 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast58
Forecast Marseille −3.8 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts12.8

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 9; xPts 12.8. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
40.7
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
12.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Lille Clean sheets 4 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65
Scores Lille 4 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
44.4
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lille’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23AngersA2–0WYes
2026-08-28Paris Saint GermainH2–2DNo
2026-09-03ToulouseA1–0WYes
2026-09-08Real BetisH2–3LNo
2026-09-13Estac TroyesH2–0WYes
2026-09-20NiceA1–2LNo
2026-10-10LE HavreH1–0WYes
2026-10-13ArsenalA0–3LNo
2026-10-17Stade Brestois 29H1–1DNo
Full club analysis →
Auxerre Scoring in a row 7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak68
Streak Auxerre 7 Scoring in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
61.3
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Auxerre’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22LensA2–5LYes
2026-08-29AngersH1–3LYes
2026-09-04LyonA1–3LYes
2026-09-12NiceH1–0WYes
2026-09-20Stade Brestois 29H2–1WYes
2026-10-11RennesA1–4LYes
2026-10-18LE HavreA3–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Stade Brestois 29 xG difference per match +0.73 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG33
Observed xG Stade Brestois 29 +0.73 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.02xG against1.29

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.02; xG against 1.29. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 33/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
48.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.02
xG against
1.29

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Lyon Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Lyon 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22ToulouseA2–0WNo
2026-08-26FenerbahceH1–2LYes
2026-08-29LE HavreH1–1DYes
2026-09-04AuxerreH3–1WYes
2026-09-12Paris FCA0–0DNo
2026-09-16AnderlechtA2–1WYes
2026-09-19RennesH4–0WNo
2026-10-09LensA1–2LYes
2026-10-15Crystal PalaceH3–2WYes
2026-10-18NiceH2–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Paris FC Clean sheets 3 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Paris FC 3 Clean sheets Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
37.5
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Paris FC’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22Estac TroyesA0–0DYes
2026-08-30NiceH3–0WYes
2026-09-06MarseilleA3–2WNo
2026-09-12LyonH0–0DYes
2026-09-19StrasbourgH2–1WNo
2026-10-10LorientA0–1LNo
2026-10-18RennesH4–3WNo
Full club analysis →
Paris FC Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Paris FC 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.7
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Paris FC’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Estac TroyesA0–0D
2026-08-30NiceH3–0W
2026-09-06MarseilleA3–2W
2026-09-12LyonH0–0D
2026-09-19StrasbourgH2–1W
2026-10-10LorientA0–1L
2026-10-18RennesH4–3W
Full club analysis →
Angers Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Angers 2.1 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.1
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Angers’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23LilleH0–2L
2026-08-29AuxerreA3–1W
2026-09-06RennesH1–2L
2026-09-12LE HavreA0–0D
2026-09-19Estac TroyesH2–0W
2026-10-10Stade Brestois 29A1–5L
2026-10-18MarseilleH2–5L
Full club analysis →
Lens Points below expected −3.0 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast55
Forecast Lens −3.0 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points13.0xPts16.0

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 13; xPts 16. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.1
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
13.0
xPts
16.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Strasbourg Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Strasbourg 2.1 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.1
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Strasbourg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21MarseilleA0–4L
2026-08-29LensH2–1W
2026-09-06Estac TroyesA6–2W
2026-09-12MonacoH1–1D
2026-09-19Paris FCA1–2L
2026-10-11NiceA1–2L
2026-10-17Paris Saint GermainH1–3L
Full club analysis →
Paris FC xG difference per match +0.62 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG30
Observed xG Paris FC +0.62 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.77xG against1.15

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.77; xG against 1.15. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 30/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.77
xG against
1.15

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
LE Havre xG difference per match −0.64 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG31
Observed xG LE Havre −0.64 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.95xG against1.59

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.95; xG against 1.59. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 31/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
42.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.95
xG against
1.59

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Le Mans Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Le Mans 2.1 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.1
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Le Mans’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Stade Brestois 29H2–2D
2026-08-30RennesA2–3L
2026-09-05NiceA1–1D
2026-09-13LensH2–2D
2026-09-19LorientH2–1W
2026-10-10Paris Saint GermainA1–3L
2026-10-16ToulouseH0–3L
Full club analysis →
Strasbourg Scoring in a row 6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak64
Streak Strasbourg 6 Scoring in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
52.5
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Strasbourg’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-21MarseilleA0–4LNo
2026-08-29LensH2–1WYes
2026-09-06Estac TroyesA6–2WYes
2026-09-12MonacoH1–1DYes
2026-09-19Paris FCA1–2LYes
2026-10-11NiceA1–2LYes
2026-10-17Paris Saint GermainH1–3LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Auxerre xG difference per match −0.63 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG31
Observed xG Auxerre −0.63 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.47xG against2.10

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.47; xG against 2.1. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 31/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
42.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.47
xG against
2.10

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Lorient Scoring in a row 6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak65
Streak Lorient 6 Scoring in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
52.5
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lorient’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22NiceA0–0DNo
2026-08-29Estac TroyesH1–2LYes
2026-09-05LensA1–0WYes
2026-09-12ToulouseH2–2DYes
2026-09-19Le MansA1–2LYes
2026-10-10Paris FCH1–0WYes
2026-10-18MonacoH1–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Marseille xG difference per match +0.50 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG28
Observed xG Marseille +0.50 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.83xG against1.33

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.83; xG against 1.33. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 28/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.83
xG against
1.33

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Lyon Scoring in a row 5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak70
Streak Lyon 5 Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 70/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
50.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22ToulouseA2–0WYes
2026-08-26FenerbahceH1–2LYes
2026-08-29LE HavreH1–1DYes
2026-09-04AuxerreH3–1WYes
2026-09-12Paris FCA0–0DNo
2026-09-16AnderlechtA2–1WYes
2026-09-19RennesH4–0WYes
2026-10-09LensA1–2LYes
2026-10-15Crystal PalaceH3–2WYes
2026-10-18NiceH2–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Rennes Points above expected +2.3 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast53
Forecast Rennes +2.3 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points17.0xPts14.7

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 17; xPts 14.7. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
24.6
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
17.0
xPts
14.7

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Lyon Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Lyon 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.3
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22ToulouseA2–0W
2026-08-26FenerbahceH1–2L
2026-08-29LE HavreH1–1D
2026-09-04AuxerreH3–1W
2026-09-12Paris FCA0–0D
2026-09-16AnderlechtA2–1W
2026-09-19RennesH4–0W
2026-10-09LensA1–2L
2026-10-15Crystal PalaceH3–2W
2026-10-18NiceH2–1W
Full club analysis →
Estac Troyes Points below expected −1.7 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast Estac Troyes −1.7 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points4.0xPts5.7

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 4; xPts 5.7. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.3
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
4.0
xPts
5.7

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Rennes Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Rennes 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.4
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Rennes’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Paris Saint GermainH2–2D
2026-08-30Le MansH3–2W
2026-09-06AngersA2–1W
2026-09-11MarseilleH1–0W
2026-09-16Sturm GrazA0–0D
2026-09-19LyonA0–4L
2026-10-11AuxerreH4–1W
2026-10-15OFIH2–1W
2026-10-18Paris FCA3–4L
Full club analysis →
Toulouse xG difference per match +0.33 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24
Observed xG Toulouse +0.33 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.39xG against1.06

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.39; xG against 1.06. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.39
xG against
1.06

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Rennes Both teams scored 67% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Rennes 67% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.1
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Rennes’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23Paris Saint GermainH2–2DYes
2026-08-30Le MansH3–2WYes
2026-09-06AngersA2–1WYes
2026-09-11MarseilleH1–0WNo
2026-09-16Sturm GrazA0–0DNo
2026-09-19LyonA0–4LNo
2026-10-11AuxerreH4–1WYes
2026-10-15OFIH2–1WYes
2026-10-18Paris FCA3–4LYes
Full club analysis →
Lens Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Lens 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.4
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lens’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22AuxerreH5–2W
2026-08-29StrasbourgA1–2L
2026-09-05LorientH0–1L
2026-09-10Slavia PrahaA3–2W
2026-09-13Le MansA2–2D
2026-09-18MonacoA1–2L
2026-10-09LyonH2–1W
2026-10-13Sporting CPH0–2L
2026-10-17Estac TroyesA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Lorient Points above expected +1.6 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast Lorient +1.6 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points11.0xPts9.4

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 9.4. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
9.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Angers xG difference per match −0.44 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26
Observed xG Angers −0.44 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.52xG against1.96

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.52; xG against 1.96. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
29.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.52
xG against
1.96

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Strasbourg Points below expected −1.5 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast47
Forecast Strasbourg −1.5 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points7.0xPts8.5

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 7; xPts 8.5. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
7.0
xPts
8.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Stade Brestois 29 Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Stade Brestois 29 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
11.9
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Stade Brestois 29’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Le MansA2–2D
2026-08-29ToulouseH2–2D
2026-09-05LE HavreA2–1W
2026-09-13Paris Saint GermainH0–1L
2026-09-20AuxerreA1–2L
2026-10-10AngersH5–1W
2026-10-17LilleA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Lyon Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Lyon 3 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.1
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22ToulouseA2–0WYes
2026-08-26FenerbahceH1–2LNo
2026-08-29LE HavreH1–1DNo
2026-09-04AuxerreH3–1WNo
2026-09-12Paris FCA0–0DYes
2026-09-16AnderlechtA2–1WNo
2026-09-19RennesH4–0WYes
2026-10-09LensA1–2LNo
2026-10-15Crystal PalaceH3–2WNo
2026-10-18NiceH2–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Auxerre Points above expected +1.2 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast46
Forecast Auxerre +1.2 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts7.8

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 9; xPts 7.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
7.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Rennes xG difference per match +0.21 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG21
Observed xG Rennes +0.21 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.12xG against1.91

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.12; xG against 1.91. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 21/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.12
xG against
1.91

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Paris Saint Germain Points above expected +1.0 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast47
Forecast Paris Saint Germain +1.0 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points20.0xPts19.0

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 20; xPts 19. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
10.7
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
20.0
xPts
19.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Estac Troyes xG difference per match −0.41 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26
Observed xG Estac Troyes −0.41 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.03xG against1.44

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.03; xG against 1.44. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.03
xG against
1.44

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Le Mans Points below expected −1.3 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast45
Forecast Le Mans −1.3 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points6.0xPts7.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Points 6; xPts 7.3. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.3
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
6.0
xPts
7.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Strasbourg Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48
Scores Strasbourg 1.7 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Strasbourg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21MarseilleA0–4L
2026-08-29LensH2–1W
2026-09-06Estac TroyesA6–2W
2026-09-12MonacoH1–1D
2026-09-19Paris FCA1–2L
2026-10-11NiceA1–2L
2026-10-17Paris Saint GermainH1–3L
Full club analysis →
Toulouse Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores Toulouse 1.7 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.8
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Toulouse’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22LyonH0–2L
2026-08-29Stade Brestois 29A2–2D
2026-09-03LilleH0–1L
2026-09-12LorientA2–2D
2026-09-19LE HavreH3–2W
2026-10-10MonacoA2–2D
2026-10-16Le MansA3–0W
Full club analysis →
Paris FC Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Paris FC 1.7 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Paris FC’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Estac TroyesA0–0D
2026-08-30NiceH3–0W
2026-09-06MarseilleA3–2W
2026-09-12LyonH0–0D
2026-09-19StrasbourgH2–1W
2026-10-10LorientA0–1L
2026-10-18RennesH4–3W
Full club analysis →
Marseille Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Marseille 1.7 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.6
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Marseille’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21StrasbourgH4–0W
2026-08-30MonacoA0–2L
2026-09-06Paris FCH2–3L
2026-09-11RennesA0–1L
2026-09-17BesiktasA1–4L
2026-09-20Paris Saint GermainH1–2L
2026-10-11Estac TroyesA2–0W
2026-10-15Olympiakos PiraeusH0–1L
2026-10-18AngersA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Rennes Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Rennes 1.7 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.6
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Rennes’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Paris Saint GermainH2–2D
2026-08-30Le MansH3–2W
2026-09-06AngersA2–1W
2026-09-11MarseilleH1–0W
2026-09-16Sturm GrazA0–0D
2026-09-19LyonA0–4L
2026-10-11AuxerreH4–1W
2026-10-15OFIH2–1W
2026-10-18Paris FCA3–4L
Full club analysis →
Marseille Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Marseille 1.7 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.6
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Marseille’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21StrasbourgH4–0W
2026-08-30MonacoA0–2L
2026-09-06Paris FCH2–3L
2026-09-11RennesA0–1L
2026-09-17BesiktasA1–4L
2026-09-20Paris Saint GermainH1–2L
2026-10-11Estac TroyesA2–0W
2026-10-15Olympiakos PiraeusH0–1L
2026-10-18AngersA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Lyon xG difference per match −0.25 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG22
Observed xG Lyon −0.25 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.32xG against1.57

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.32; xG against 1.57. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 22/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.32
xG against
1.57

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Lens Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51
Scores Lens 1.7 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.6
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lens’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22AuxerreH5–2W
2026-08-29StrasbourgA1–2L
2026-09-05LorientH0–1L
2026-09-10Slavia PrahaA3–2W
2026-09-13Le MansA2–2D
2026-09-18MonacoA1–2L
2026-10-09LyonH2–1W
2026-10-13Sporting CPH0–2L
2026-10-17Estac TroyesA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Auxerre Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores Auxerre 1.6 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.7
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Auxerre’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22LensA2–5L
2026-08-29AngersH1–3L
2026-09-04LyonA1–3L
2026-09-12NiceH1–0W
2026-09-20Stade Brestois 29H2–1W
2026-10-11RennesA1–4L
2026-10-18LE HavreA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Toulouse Goals conceded per match 1.6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45
Scores Toulouse 1.6 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.7
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Toulouse’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22LyonH0–2L
2026-08-29Stade Brestois 29A2–2D
2026-09-03LilleH0–1L
2026-09-12LorientA2–2D
2026-09-19LE HavreH3–2W
2026-10-10MonacoA2–2D
2026-10-16Le MansA3–0W
Full club analysis →
LE Havre Goals conceded per match 1.6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores LE Havre 1.6 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.7
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from LE Havre’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23MonacoH0–1L
2026-08-29LyonA1–1D
2026-09-05Stade Brestois 29H1–2L
2026-09-12AngersH0–0D
2026-09-19ToulouseA2–3L
2026-10-10LilleA0–1L
2026-10-18AuxerreH1–3L
Full club analysis →

Showing 1–75 of 75 signals

About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

Explore methodology →