1899 Hoffenheim
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Eintracht Frankfurt were slight favourites.
Eintracht Frankfurt were the stronger side on L90 Strength (69 vs 43). 1899 Hoffenheim had 7 days of rest, Eintracht Frankfurt 7 and had to travel 97 km.
Away travel97 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
1899 Hoffenheim29%
Draw26%
Eintracht Frankfurt46%
1899 Hoffenheim29%
Draw27%
Eintracht Frankfurt45%
1899 Hoffenheim29%
Draw26%
Eintracht Frankfurt46%
1899 Hoffenheim22%
Draw24%
Eintracht Frankfurt54%
1899 Hoffenheim29%
Draw27%
Eintracht Frankfurt45%
Over 2.5 55%
Both score 58%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Sinsheim)
No weather data yet
Referee · GermanyTimo Gerach
- Cards per match 3.9
- Penalties per match 0.35
- Matches 20
Team strength
1899 Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
43
L90 StrengthIn forecast
69
47
Current StrengthIn forecast
48
46
AttackIn forecast
54
43
DefenceIn forecast
37
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Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisEintracht Frankfurt
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
1899 HoffenheimEintracht Frankfurt
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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Goals concededVia Att/Def
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xGVia Att/Def
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
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Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
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Clean sheetsContext
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ShotsContext
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
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On target shareContext
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Shots in the boxContext
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Box shareContext
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ConversionContext
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OffsidesContext
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Shots allowedContext
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
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BlocksContext
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Goalkeeper savesContext
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Save rateContext
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PossessionIn forecast
—
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PassesContext
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Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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Yellow cardsContext
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Red cardsContext
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1.60
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.80
2.20
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.90
1.17
xGVia Att/Def
1.56
1.34
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.95
+0.43
Goals minus xGContext
+0.24
80%
Scored inContext
70%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
12.10
ShotsContext
11.30
5.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.89
37%
On target shareContext
39%
8.00
Shots in the boxContext
8.22
65%
Box shareContext
68%
13%
ConversionContext
16%
3.22
OffsidesContext
2.38
12.20
Shots allowedContext
10.10
4.70
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.20
3.40
BlocksContext
1.89
3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
63%
Save rateContext
83%
46%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
402
PassesContext
457
321
Accurate passesContext
379
80%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.87
Team ratingContext
7.12
12.50
FoulsContext
10.60
9.30
Fouls sufferedContext
9.90
2.20
Yellow cardsContext
1.80
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
1899 Hoffenheim
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km479 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Eintracht Frankfurt
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel97 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| 1899 Hoffenheim |
Eintracht Frankfurt |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7Bundesliga 2025-2026, 23 Aug | 7Bundesliga 2025-2026, 23 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 97 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 479 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 1 | 1 / 1 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 14 | 13.2 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
1899 Hoffenheim
Confirmed XI
1O. Baumann(G)
13Bernardo
35Arthur Chaves
2R. Hranáč
34V. Coufal
17U. Tohumcu
7L. Avdullahu
27A. Kramarić
29B. Toure
11F. Asllani
19T. Lemperle
Eintracht Frankfurt
Confirmed XI
23M. Zetterer(G)
3A. Theate
4R. Koch
34P. Collins
13R. Kristensen
8F. Chaïbi
16H. Larsson
19J. Bahoya
42C. Uzun
20R. Doan
17S. Wahi
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences 1899 Hoffenheim
Absences are shown before kick-off
Eintracht Frankfurt
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- 1899 Hoffenheim+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Eintracht Frankfurt+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
1899 Hoffenheim · Home
No home games yet this season.
Eintracht Frankfurt · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings
2 1899 Hoffenheim wins2 draws4 Eintracht Frankfurt wins
Goals per game1.88 – 2.50
Over 2.5100%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 26 Jan 20251899 Hoffenheim2–2Eintracht Frankfurt
- 31 Aug 2024Eintracht Frankfurt3–11899 Hoffenheim
- 10 Mar 2024Eintracht Frankfurt3–11899 Hoffenheim
- 21 Oct 20231899 Hoffenheim1–3Eintracht Frankfurt
- 6 May 20231899 Hoffenheim3–1Eintracht Frankfurt
- 9 Nov 2022Eintracht Frankfurt4–21899 Hoffenheim
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| 1899 Hoffenheim | Eintracht Frankfurt | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.00 | 4.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 5.00 | 2.89 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 100% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 100% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | Eintracht Frankfurt | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.00 | 4.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 5.00 | 2.89 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 100% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 100% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| 1899 Hoffenheim | Eintracht Frankfurt | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.00 | — | |
| Corners conceded | 6.00 | — | |
| Match total | 10.00 | — | 9.89 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 1/1 | — | |
| Over 9.5 | 100% 1/1 | — | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/1 | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 4.00 | 1.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 0.00 | 3.00 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 4.00 | 5.56 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/1 | 0% 0/1 | |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | Eintracht Frankfurt | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.50 | 5.56 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.40 | 4.67 | |
| Match total | 8.90 | 10.23 | 9.89 |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 6/10 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 60% 6/10 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 4/10 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.30 | 1.80 | |
| Opponent cards | 0.80 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 3.10 | 3.80 | 5.56 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Timo Gerach Germany · 20 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.55league 5.10
Red cards0.35league 0.30
Cards 5+45%league 60%
Fouls20.8league 24.7
Penalties0.35league 0.40
Home wins45%league 30%
1899 Hoffenheim1 with this referee
Record0-0-1
Cards · opp.1.0 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 1
- L15 Jan 25A · Bayern München0–51
Eintracht Frankfurt2 with this referee
Record1-0-1
Cards · opp.2.5 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
Reds2
- W13 Apr 25H · 1. FC Heidenheim3–01
- L3 Feb 24A · 1.FC Köln0–24
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
1899 Hoffenheim1 games · scored 2 · conceded 1
1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
76-90
Eintracht Frankfurt1 games · scored 4 · conceded 1
0-15
2
16-30
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
61-75
76-90
1899 Hoffenheim10 games · scored 16 · conceded 22
2
3
0-15
1
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
2
4
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
6
76-90
Eintracht Frankfurt10 games · scored 18 · conceded 9
3
1
0-15
4
4
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
7
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
