Serie A Gameweek 36 Sun, May 10 2026 · 19:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
2–3 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 1.88 – 1.08
  • S. Pavlović 88’
  • C. Nkunku 90+4’ (P)
  • 7’ Éderson
  • 29’ D. Zappacosta
  • 52’ G. Raspadori
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Atalanta beat AC Milan

AC Milan entered as narrow favourites, but Atalanta won 3–2 through goals from Éderson, Zappacosta and Raspadori. AC Milan replied through goals from Pavlović and Nkunku. Atalanta won despite the lower xG; AC Milan created the better chances (1.88 vs 1.08). On the chances created, AC Milan deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

AC Milan38%
Draw29%
Atalanta ✓33%

Model vs reality

AC Milan goals
2
Model 1.25 · xG 1.88
Atalanta goals
3
Model 1.16 · xG 1.08
Total goals
5
Model 2.41 · xG 2.96
Score 2–3
2%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 43%
Both scored
Yes
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. CarnesecchiAtalanta
8.6
  • RefereeLuca Zufferli
  • VenueStadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Table before kick-offAC Milan 5th · Atalanta 7th

Timeline

  1. Éderson 0–1
    7’
  2. D. Zappacosta 0–2Assist N. Krstović
    29’
  3. Rafael LeãoYellow card
    34’
  4. Half time · 0–2
  5. ⇄ C. NkunkuFor R. Loftus-Cheek
    46’
  6. ⇄ K. KossounouFor G. Scalvini
    48’
  7. G. Raspadori 0–3Assist Éderson
    52’
  8. ⇄ R. BellanovaFor D. Zappacosta
    55’
  9. ⇄ Y. FofanaFor Rafael Leão
    58’
  10. ⇄ N. FüllkrugFor S. Giménez
    58’
  11. ⇄ Z. AthekameFor K. De Winter
    58’
  12. ⇄ H. AhanorFor K. Kossounou
    63’
  13. ⇄ M. PašalićFor C. De Ketelaere
    63’
  14. I. HienYellow card
    70’
  15. ⇄ P. EstupiñánFor D. Bartesaghi
    80’
  16. S. Pavlović 1–3Assist S. Ricci
    88’
  17. P. EstupiñánYellow card
    90’
  18. A. SaelemaekersYellow card · misses next match
    90’
  19. C. Nkunku (pen) 2–3
    90+4’
  20. N. KrstovićYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+5’
  21. R. BellanovaYellow card · Roughing
    90+6’
  22. Full time · 2–3

Team stats

AC Milan19 shots · 7 in box, 12 outside
Atalanta9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
AC MilanAtalanta
57% Possession 43%
1.88 Expected goals (xG) 1.08
1.91 Expected points (xPts) 0.87
19 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 5
7 Shots off target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
7 Shots inside the box 7
12 Shots outside the box 2
535 Passes 405
89% Pass accuracy 81%
2 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 2
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.81 Team rating 6.87

Line-ups

AC Milan 3-5-2

166.2 M. Maignan(G)
317.3 S. Pavlović 466.7 M. Gabbia 56.0 K. De Winter ↓58’
336.3 D. Bartesaghi ↓80’ 126.9 A. Rabiot 47.6 S. Ricci A 86.5 R. Loftus-Cheek ↓46’ 566.9 A. Saelemaekers
106.6 Rafael Leão ↓58’ 76.9 S. Giménez ↓58’
  • 16M. Maignan (G)6.2
  • 31S. Pavlović7.3
  • 46M. Gabbia6.7
  • 5K. De Winter↓58’6.0
  • 33D. Bartesaghi↓80’6.3
  • 12A. Rabiot6.9
  • 4S. RicciA7.6
  • 8R. Loftus-Cheek↓46’6.5
  • 56A. Saelemaekers6.9
  • 10Rafael Leão↓58’6.6
  • 7S. Giménez↓58’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 18C. Nkunku↑46’8.3
  • 24Z. Athekame↑58’6.6
  • 19Y. Fofana↑58’6.3
  • 2P. Estupiñán↑80’6.6
  • 9N. Füllkrug↑58’6.7

Unused: M. Pittarella, P. Terracciano, D. Odogu, A. Jashari

Atalanta 3-4-2-1

298.6★ M. Carnesecchi(G)
236.2 S. Kolašinac 46.9 I. Hien 426.7 G. Scalvini ↓48’
596.7 N. Zalewski 138.2 Éderson A 156.2 M. de Roon 777.0 D. Zappacosta ↓55’
187.2 G. Raspadori 176.3 C. De Ketelaere ↓63’
906.0 N. Krstović A
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G) ★8.6
  • 23S. Kolašinac6.2
  • 4I. Hien6.9
  • 42G. Scalvini↓48’6.7
  • 59N. Zalewski6.7
  • 13ÉdersonA8.2
  • 15M. de Roon6.2
  • 77D. Zappacosta↓55’7.0
  • 18G. Raspadori7.2
  • 17C. De Ketelaere↓63’6.3
  • 90N. KrstovićA6.0

Substitutes used

  • 3K. Kossounou6.7
  • 16R. Bellanova↑55’6.2
  • 69H. Ahanor↑63’6.0
  • 8M. Pašalić↑63’6.6

Unused: F. Rossi, M. Sportiello, Relja Obrić, M. Bakker, L. Samardžić, Y. Musah, G. Scamacca, K. Sulemana, D. Vavassori

Player stats

Top rated
M. CarnesecchiAtalanta8.6
2nd
C. NkunkuAC Milan8.3
3rd
ÉdersonAtalanta8.2

AC Milan

Atalanta

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.