Serie A Gameweek 5 Sun, Sep 28 2025 · 19:45 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
2–1 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 0.74 – 2.75
  • A. Saelemaekers 3’
  • C. Pulišić 31’
  • P. Estupiñán 57’
  • 60’ (P) K. De Bruyne
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AC Milan beat Napoli

AC Milan entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Saelemaekers and Pulišić. Napoli replied through a De Bruyne goal. AC Milan played with ten men from the 57th minute after Estupiñán was sent off. AC Milan won despite the lower xG; Napoli created the better chances (2.75 vs 0.74). On the chances created, Napoli deserved more: 2.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

AC Milan ✓39%
Draw28%
Napoli33%

Model vs reality

AC Milan goals
2
Model 1.35 · xG 0.74
Napoli goals
1
Model 1.24 · xG 2.75
Total goals
3
Model 2.59 · xG 3.49
Score 2–1
8%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 48%
Both scored
Yes
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. PulišićAC Milan · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.5
  • RefereeDaniele Chiffi
  • VenueStadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Table before kick-offAC Milan 6th · Napoli 1st

Timeline

  1. A. Saelemaekers 1–0Assist C. Pulišić
    3’
  2. C. Pulišić 2–0Assist Y. Fofana
    31’
  3. Half time · 2–0
  4. P. EstupiñánRed card · Holding
    57’
  5. ⇄ D. BartesaghiFor C. Pulišić
    59’
  6. K. De Bruyne (pen) 2–1
    60’
  7. ⇄ Z. AthekameFor A. Saelemaekers
    68’
  8. ⇄ Rafael LeãoFor S. Giménez
    69’
  9. ⇄ E. ElmasFor K. De Bruyne
    72’
  10. ⇄ L. LuccaFor R. Højlund
    73’
  11. ⇄ David NeresFor S. McTominay
    73’
  12. ⇄ N. LangFor M. Politano
    77’
  13. ⇄ K. De WinterFor O. Tomori
    80’
  14. ⇄ R. Loftus-CheekFor Y. Fofana
    80’
  15. A. RabiotYellow card · Roughing
    90’
  16. ⇄ B. GilmourFor S. Lobotka
    90+3’
  17. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

AC Milan6 shots · 5 in box, 1 outside
Napoli18 shots · 11 in box, 7 outside
AC MilanNapoli
37% Possession 63%
0.74 Expected goals (xG) 2.75
0.36 Expected points (xPts) 2.51
6 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 7
2 Shots off target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
5 Shots inside the box 11
1 Shots outside the box 7
355 Passes 596
84% Pass accuracy 91%
1 Corners 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
6.89 Team rating 6.59

Line-ups

AC Milan 3-5-2

167.9 M. Maignan(G)
316.9 S. Pavlović 466.7 M. Gabbia 236.3 O. Tomori ↓80’
25.2 P. Estupiñán 126.7 A. Rabiot 147.2 L. Modrić 196.9 Y. Fofana A↓80’ 567.6 A. Saelemaekers ↓68’
118.5★ C. Pulišić A↓59’ 76.2 S. Giménez ↓69’
  • 16M. Maignan (G)7.9
  • 31S. Pavlović6.9
  • 46M. Gabbia6.7
  • 23O. Tomori↓80’6.3
  • 2P. Estupiñán5.2
  • 12A. Rabiot6.7
  • 14L. Modrić7.2
  • 19Y. FofanaA↓80’6.9
  • 56A. Saelemaekers↓68’7.6
  • 11C. Pulišić ★A↓59’8.5
  • 7S. Giménez↓69’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 33D. Bartesaghi↑59’6.5
  • 24Z. Athekame↑68’6.3
  • 10Rafael Leão↑69’6.5
  • 5K. De Winter↑80’6.9
  • 8R. Loftus-Cheek↑80’6.7

Unused: P. Terracciano, M. Pittarella, D. Odogu, S. Ricci, C. Nkunku

Napoli 4-1-4-1

16.2 A. Meret(G)
36.3 Miguel Gutiérrez 56.3 Juan Jesus 356.9 L. Marianucci 226.2 G. Di Lorenzo
687.2 S. Lobotka ↓90’
117.3 K. De Bruyne ↓72’ 86.3 S. McTominay ↓73’ 996.2 F. Anguissa 217.7 M. Politano ↓77’
196.2 R. Højlund ↓73’
  • 1A. Meret (G)6.2
  • 3Miguel Gutiérrez6.3
  • 5Juan Jesus6.3
  • 35L. Marianucci6.9
  • 22G. Di Lorenzo6.2
  • 68S. Lobotka↓90’7.2
  • 11K. De Bruyne↓72’7.3
  • 8S. McTominay↓73’6.3
  • 99F. Anguissa6.2
  • 21M. Politano↓77’7.7
  • 19R. Højlund↓73’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 20E. Elmas↑72’6.6
  • 7David Neres↑73’6.2
  • 27L. Lucca↑73’6.3
  • 70N. Lang↑77’6.3
  • 6B. Gilmour↑90’

Unused: Mathias Ferrante, V. Milinković-Savić, S. Beukema, A. Vergara, P. Mazzocchi, G. Ambrosino

Player stats

Top rated
C. PulišićAC Milan8.5
2nd
M. MaignanAC Milan7.9
3rd
M. PolitanoNapoli7.7

AC Milan

Napoli

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.