Primeira Liga Gameweek 13 Sun, Dec 7 2025 · 18:00 Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.07 – 0.92
  • M. Milovanović 88’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Milovanović’s late goal settles it for Alverca

Alverca entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Milovanović goal. Alverca finished with the higher xG (2.07 vs 0.92).

Alverca ✓46%
Draw28%
Nacional26%

Model vs reality

Alverca goals
1
Model 1.46 · xG 2.07
Nacional goals
0
Model 1.04 · xG 0.92
Total goals
1
Model 2.50 · xG 2.99
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 46%
Both scored
No
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchKaiky NavesAlverca
7.5
  • RefereeGustavo Correia
  • VenueComplexo Desportivo FC Alverca
  • Table before kick-offAlverca 12th · Nacional 13th

Timeline

  1. ✕ LincolnMissed penalty
    6’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ Miguel BaezaFor C. Labidi
    65’
  4. ⇄ WitiFor M. Nourani
    65’
  5. ⇄ M. MilovanovićFor Sandro Lima
    66’
  6. ⇄ FigueiredoFor Cedric Nuozzi
    66’
  7. ZoubdiYellow card
    71’
  8. ⇄ Felipe LimaFor Lincoln
    85’
  9. ⇄ D. GuiFor S. Abdulai
    85’
  10. M. Milovanović 1–0Assist D. Gui
    88’
  11. ⇄ Joel SilvaFor Alan Nuñez
    90’
  12. ⇄ Lucas JoãoFor Lenny Vallier
    90’
  13. ⇄ DeivisonFor Matheus Dias
    90’
  14. ⇄ S. BaseyaFor Alexsandro Amorim
    90+2’
  15. DeivisonYellow card
    90+3’
  16. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Alverca10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
Nacional17 shots · 12 in box, 5 outside
AlvercaNacional
50% Possession 50%
2.07 Expected goals (xG) 0.92
2.12 Expected points (xPts) 0.68
10 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 3
3 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 8
8 Shots inside the box 12
2 Shots outside the box 5
413 Passes 418
83% Pass accuracy 83%
2 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.91 Team rating 6.77

Line-ups

Alverca 3-4-3

137.2 André Gomes(G)
336.9 B. Meupiyou 37.3 Julián Jose Martinez 47.5★ Kaiky Naves
557.3 Francisco Chissumba 86.9 Alexsandro Amorim ↓90’ 216.9 S. Abdulai ↓85’ 26.5 Zoubdi
116.6 Cedric Nuozzi ↓66’ 916.3 Sandro Lima ↓66’ 186.2 Lincoln ↓85’
  • 13André Gomes (G)7.2
  • 33B. Meupiyou6.9
  • 3Julián Jose Martinez7.3
  • 4Kaiky Naves ★7.5
  • 55Francisco Chissumba7.3
  • 8Alexsandro Amorim↓90’6.9
  • 21S. Abdulai↓85’6.9
  • 2Zoubdi6.5
  • 11Cedric Nuozzi↓66’6.6
  • 91Sandro Lima↓66’6.3
  • 18Lincoln↓85’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 14S. Baseya↑90’
  • 20Figueiredo↑66’6.9
  • 6D. GuiA↑85’
  • 9M. Milovanović↑66’7.3

Unused: Matheus Mendes, Isaac James, Kauan Gomes, Felipe Lima, T. Leite

Nacional 4-3-3

17.3 Kaique(G)
247.5 Lenny Vallier ↓90’ 387.3 Zé Vitor 346.6 Léo Santos 166.7 Alan Nuñez ↓90’
156.3 C. Labidi ↓65’ 66.5 Matheus Dias ↓90’ 287.0 Liziero
116.9 Paulinho Bóia 95.9 J. Ramírez 176.6 M. Nourani ↓65’
  • 1Kaique (G)7.3
  • 24Lenny Vallier↓90’7.5
  • 38Zé Vitor7.3
  • 34Léo Santos6.6
  • 16Alan Nuñez↓90’6.7
  • 15C. Labidi↓65’6.3
  • 6Matheus Dias↓90’6.5
  • 28Liziero7.0
  • 11Paulinho Bóia6.9
  • 9J. Ramírez5.9
  • 17M. Nourani↓65’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 8Miguel Baeza↑65’6.3
  • 26Joel Silva↑90’
  • 88Deivison↑90’
  • 7Witi↑65’6.2
  • 19Lucas João↑90’

Unused: Lucas França, Francisco Gonçalves, André Sousa, Martim Watts

Player stats

Top rated
Kaiky NavesAlverca7.5
2nd
Lenny VallierNacional7.5
3rd
Julián Jose MartinezAlverca7.3

Alverca

Nacional

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.