Premier League Gameweek 16 Sat, Dec 13 2025 · 20:00 Emirates Stadium, London
2–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.13 – 0.38
  • S. Johnstone 70’ (OG)
  • Y. Mosquera 90’ (OG)
  • 90’ T. Arokodare
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Mosquera’s late goal settles it for Arsenal

Arsenal entered as clear favourites and won 2–1 through two own goals. Wolves replied through a Arokodare goal. Arsenal finished with the higher xG (1.13 vs 0.38).

Arsenal ✓87%
Draw9%
Wolves4%

Model vs reality

Arsenal goals
2
Model 3.30 · xG 1.13
Wolves goals
1
Model 0.65 · xG 0.38
Total goals
3
Model 3.95 · xG 1.51
Score 2–1
7%
Most likely 3–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 75%
Both scored
Yes
Model 46%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchB. SakaArsenal
8.3
  • RefereeRobert Jones
  • VenueEmirates Stadium
  • Table before kick-offArsenal 1st · Wolves 20th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ M. Lewis-SkellyFor B. White
    31’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ M. ØdegaardFor E. Eze
    57’
  4. ⇄ L. TrossardFor Gabriel Martinelli
    57’
  5. ⇄ Mikel MerinoFor Martín Zubimendi
    58’
  6. H. HwangYellow card · Foul
    60’
  7. M. DohertyYellow card · Foul
    65’
  8. ⇄ T. ArokodareFor J. Strand Larsen
    69’
  9. ⇄ J. TchatchouaFor M. Doherty
    69’
  10. S. Johnstone (own goal) 1–0
    70’
  11. ⇄ J. AriasFor H. Hwang
    80’
  12. ⇄ Fer LópezFor L. Krejčí
    80’
  13. ⇄ G. de JesusFor V. Gyökeres
    81’
  14. ⇄ Mateus ManéFor Toti Gomes
    86’
  15. T. Arokodare 1–1Assist Mateus Mané
    90’
  16. Y. Mosquera (own goal) 2–1
    90’
  17. Y. MosqueraYellow card · Argument
    90+6’
  18. E. AgbadouYellow card · Argument
    90+8’
  19. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Arsenal16 shots · 12 in box, 4 outside
Wolves3 shots · 3 in box
ArsenalWolves
69% Possession 31%
1.13 Expected goals (xG) 0.38
1.97 Expected points (xPts) 0.70
16 Shots 3
2 Shots on target 2
11 Shots off target 0
3 Blocked shots 1
12 Shots inside the box 3
4 Shots outside the box 0
572 Passes 261
87% Pass accuracy 69%
8 Corners 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.91 Team rating 6.46

Line-ups

Arsenal 4-3-3

16.9 David Raya(G)
57.2 P. Hincapié 26.7 W. Saliba 126.9 J. Timber 46.7 B. White ↓31’
417.0 D. Rice 366.6 Martín Zubimendi ↓58’ 106.6 E. Eze ↓57’
116.7 Gabriel Martinelli ↓57’ 146.2 V. Gyökeres ↓81’ 78.3★ B. Saka
  • 1David Raya (G)6.9
  • 5P. Hincapié7.2
  • 2W. Saliba6.7
  • 12J. Timber6.9
  • 4B. White↓31’6.7
  • 41D. Rice7.0
  • 36Martín Zubimendi↓58’6.6
  • 10E. Eze↓57’6.6
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli↓57’6.7
  • 14V. Gyökeres↓81’6.2
  • 7B. Saka ★8.3

Substitutes used

  • 8M. Ødegaard↑57’6.3
  • 9G. de Jesus↑81’6.7
  • 49M. Lewis-Skelly↑31’6.9
  • 19L. Trossard↑57’7.2
  • 23Mikel Merino↑58’6.6

Unused: Kepa, C. Madueke, E. Nwaneri, C. Nørgaard

Wolves 3-5-2

316.3 S. Johnstone(G)
246.5 Toti Gomes ↓86’ 126.9 E. Agbadou 155.9 Y. Mosquera
66.3 D. Møller Wolfe 376.2 L. Krejčí ↓80’ 77.2 André 86.7 João Gomes 26.3 M. Doherty ↓69’
116.3 H. Hwang ↓80’ 96.2 J. Strand Larsen ↓69’
  • 31S. Johnstone (G)6.3
  • 24Toti Gomes↓86’6.5
  • 12E. Agbadou6.9
  • 15Y. Mosquera5.9
  • 6D. Møller Wolfe6.3
  • 37L. Krejčí↓80’6.2
  • 7André7.2
  • 8João Gomes6.7
  • 2M. Doherty↓69’6.3
  • 11H. Hwang↓80’6.3
  • 9J. Strand Larsen↓69’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 14T. Arokodare↑69’7.3
  • 36Mateus ManéA↑86’6.6
  • 10J. Arias↑80’6.5
  • 38J. Tchatchoua↑69’5.9
  • 28Fer López↑80’6.5

Unused: José Sá, S. Bueno, K. Hoever, T. Chirewa

Player stats

Top rated
B. SakaArsenal8.3
2nd
T. ArokodareWolves7.3
3rd
P. HincapiéArsenal7.2

Arsenal

Wolves

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.