Serie A Gameweek 9 Tue, Oct 28 2025 · 19:45 Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
1–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.29 – 0.33
  • A. Lookman 35’
  • 4’ S. Ricci
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Atalanta and AC Milan share the points

Atalanta entered as narrow favourites, yet AC Milan led 1–0 after 4 minutes through a Ricci goal. But Lookman scored to rescue a draw for Atalanta. Atalanta finished with the higher xG (1.29 vs 0.33). On the chances created, Atalanta deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Atalanta46%
Draw ✓27%
AC Milan27%

Model vs reality

Atalanta goals
1
Model 1.50 · xG 1.29
AC Milan goals
1
Model 1.10 · xG 0.33
Total goals
2
Model 2.59 · xG 1.62
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchS. RicciAC Milan · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeDaniele Doveri
  • VenueGewiss Stadium
  • Table before kick-offAtalanta 7th · AC Milan 3rd

Timeline

  1. S. Ricci 0–1
    4’
  2. S. GiménezYellow card · Tripping
    9’
  3. ⇄ M. BrescianiniFor M. de Roon
    20’
  4. A. Lookman 1–1Assist M. Pašalić
    35’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. ⇄ C. NkunkuFor Rafael Leão
    46’
  7. ⇄ R. Loftus-CheekFor S. Giménez
    62’
  8. ⇄ R. BellanovaFor L. Bernasconi
    71’
  9. ⇄ B. DjimsitiFor H. Ahanor
    72’
  10. L. ModrićYellow card · Holding
    77’
  11. ⇄ Y. MusahFor M. Pašalić
    82’
  12. ⇄ L. SamardžićFor C. De Ketelaere
    82’
  13. ⇄ Z. AthekameFor A. Saelemaekers
    90’
  14. M. BrescianiniYellow card · Tripping
    90+3’
  15. O. TomoriYellow card · Tripping
    90+4’
  16. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Atalanta17 shots · 11 in box, 6 outside
AC Milan6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
AtalantaAC Milan
56% Possession 44%
1.29 Expected goals (xG) 0.33
2.13 Expected points (xPts) 0.57
17 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
8 Shots off target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
11 Shots inside the box 4
6 Shots outside the box 2
508 Passes 412
91% Pass accuracy 84%
9 Corners 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.80 Team rating 6.73

Line-ups

Atalanta 3-4-1-2

296.7 M. Carnesecchi(G)
696.3 H. Ahanor ↓72’ 46.3 I. Hien 36.7 K. Kossounou
476.3 L. Bernasconi ↓71’ 156.6 M. de Roon ↓20’ 136.9 Éderson 776.9 D. Zappacosta
87.2 M. Pašalić A↓82’
117.6 A. Lookman 176.9 C. De Ketelaere ↓82’
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G)6.7
  • 69H. Ahanor↓72’6.3
  • 4I. Hien6.3
  • 3K. Kossounou6.7
  • 47L. Bernasconi↓71’6.3
  • 15M. de Roon↓20’6.6
  • 13Éderson6.9
  • 77D. Zappacosta6.9
  • 8M. PašalićA↓82’7.2
  • 11A. Lookman7.6
  • 17C. De Ketelaere↓82’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 44M. Brescianini↑20’6.9
  • 19B. Djimsiti↑72’6.9
  • 10L. Samardžić↑82’6.9
  • 6Y. Musah↑82’6.5
  • 16R. Bellanova↑71’6.7

Unused: M. Sportiello, F. Rossi, S. Kolašinac, Relja Obrić, N. Zalewski, G. Scamacca, D. Maldini, K. Sulemana, N. Krstović

AC Milan 3-5-2

166.3 M. Maignan(G)
317.2 S. Pavlović 467.2 M. Gabbia 236.3 O. Tomori
336.6 D. Bartesaghi 47.9★ S. Ricci 146.9 L. Modrić 196.3 Y. Fofana 566.6 A. Saelemaekers ↓90’
106.7 Rafael Leão ↓46’ 76.2 S. Giménez ↓62’
  • 16M. Maignan (G)6.3
  • 31S. Pavlović7.2
  • 46M. Gabbia7.2
  • 23O. Tomori6.3
  • 33D. Bartesaghi6.6
  • 4S. Ricci ★7.9
  • 14L. Modrić6.9
  • 19Y. Fofana6.3
  • 56A. Saelemaekers↓90’6.6
  • 10Rafael Leão↓46’6.7
  • 7S. Giménez↓62’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 18C. Nkunku↑46’6.2
  • 24Z. Athekame↑90’
  • 8R. Loftus-Cheek↑62’6.3

Unused: M. Pittarella, P. Terracciano, D. Odogu, K. De Winter

Player stats

Top rated
S. RicciAC Milan7.9
2nd
A. LookmanAtalanta7.6
3rd
M. PašalićAtalanta7.2

Atalanta

AC Milan

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.