Besiktas vs Galatasaray

Süper Lig Gameweek 13 Mon, Nov 30 · 18:00 Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul

Besiktas 5th · 15 pts · 8 played WWLWL

VS— Compare

Galatasaray 1st · 19 pts · 8 played WWLWW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel0 kmRest days4 · 6Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Besiktas—%

Draw—%

Galatasaray—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 15 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Besiktas

Galatasaray

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

50 Current StrengthIn forecast 62

60 AttackIn forecast 57

48 DefenceIn forecast 55

62 Form indexContext 59

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Besiktas

Attack—

Defense risk—

Galatasaray

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Besiktas

Galatasaray

2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.13

1.25 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.38

1.70 xGVia Att/Def 2.29

1.09 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.93

+0.30 Goals minus xGContext -0.16

75% Scored inContext 88%

25% Clean sheetsContext 38%

16.57 ShotsContext 22.13

6.14 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.38

37% On target shareContext 33%

9.29 Shots in the boxContext 15.13

56% Box shareContext 69%

11% ConversionContext 10%

3.43 OffsidesContext 2.83

9.57 Shots allowedContext 10.75

4.43 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.86

3.40 BlocksContext 3.71

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.57

68% Save rateContext 78%

61% PossessionIn forecast 60%

488 PassesContext 475

422 Accurate passesContext 411

87% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.98 Team ratingContext 7.02

13.71 FoulsContext 11.75

15.00 Fouls sufferedContext 11.63

2.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.63

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.25

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

2.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

2.06 xGVia Att/Def 1.97

1.27 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.22

+0.14 Goals minus xGContext -0.07

70% Scored inContext 90%

10% Clean sheetsContext 30%

16.75 ShotsContext 19.20

6.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.50

37% On target shareContext 34%

10.88 Shots in the boxContext 13.20

64% Box shareContext 69%

14% ConversionContext 10%

3.00 OffsidesContext 3.43

11.25 Shots allowedContext 11.50

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.78

3.38 BlocksContext 3.56

2.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.78

64% Save rateContext 64%

59% PossessionIn forecast 57%

481 PassesContext 460

410 Accurate passesContext 397

85% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.97 Team ratingContext 6.86

11.44 FoulsContext 11.60

15.22 Fouls sufferedContext 11.60

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Besiktas WLWWL

Rest4 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km926 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 62 · 9 pts vs 7.6 for an average club · +1.0 vs expected

L19 OctA · Trabzonspor0–21.5 xPts
W15 OctA · 1899 Hoffenheim3–21.3 xPts
W11 OctH · Kocaelispor2–12.2 xPts
L20 SepA · Amed2–31.4 xPts
W17 SepH · Marseille4–11.6 xPts

Galatasaray WLWLW

Rest6 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected

W17 OctA · Genclerbirligi1–02.2 xPts
L13 OctH · Barcelona1–40.7 xPts
W9 OctH · Kasimpasa3–12.3 xPts
L19 SepA · Trabzonspor0–41.9 xPts
W13 SepH · Kocaelispor1–02.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Besiktas	Galatasaray
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 26 Nov	6UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 24 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	0 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	926 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	5.8	4

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Besiktas Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Trabzonspor (A) 0–2, 19 Oct

1A. Nübel(G)

33R. Yılmaz 53E. Topçu 12E. Agbadou 62A. Murillo

6S. Özcan

19L. Trossard 21F. Miretti 15Junior Olaitan 18V. Černý

28D. Vlahović

Galatasaray Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Genclerbirligi (A) 1–0, 17 Oct

1U. Çakır(G)

17E. Elmalı 42A. Bardakcı 6D. Sánchez 7R. Sallai

8Gabriel Sara 99M. Lemina

53B. Yılmaz 83A. Batrakov 10L. Sané

45V. Osimhen

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Besiktas Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Galatasaray Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Besiktas · Home 3.00points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 4-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 0.75

Galatasaray · Away 2.25points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 3-0-1
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

Opponent	Besiktas	Galatasaray
Trabzonspor	L 0–2 A	L 0–4 A
Kocaelispor	W 2–1 H	W 1–0 H
Erzurumspor FK	W 3–0 H	W 4–0 A
Çorum FK	W 6–2 H	D 2–2 H
Points	9 of 12 · 2.25 per game	7 of 12 · 1.75 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

1 Besiktas wins1 draws4 Galatasaray wins

Goals per game0.83 – 1.33 Over 2.550% Both scored67% Clean sheets0% · 33%

7 Mar 2026Besiktas0–1Galatasaray
4 Oct 2025Galatasaray1–1Besiktas
29 Mar 2025Besiktas2–1Galatasaray
28 Oct 2024Galatasaray2–1Besiktas
3 Mar 2024Besiktas0–1Galatasaray
21 Oct 2023Galatasaray2–1Besiktas

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Besiktas	Galatasaray
Scored per game	2.00	2.13
Conceded per game	1.25	1.38
Match goals	3.25	3.50
Over 1.5	75%	75%
Over 2.5	63%	75%
Over 3.5	25%	75%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Clean sheets	25%	38%
Failed to score	25%	13%
Games	8	8

	Besiktas	Galatasaray
Scored per game	2.20	1.90
Conceded per game	1.40	1.80
Match goals	3.60	3.70
Over 1.5	80%	80%
Over 2.5	70%	80%
Over 3.5	40%	80%
Both teams scored	60%	60%
Clean sheets	10%	30%
Failed to score	30%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Besiktas	Galatasaray	League
Corners
Corners won	6.71	7.38
Corners conceded	4.14	3.13
Match total	10.85	10.51	9.12
Over 8.5	86% 6/7	63% 5/8
Over 9.5	71% 5/7	38% 3/8
Over 10.5	43% 3/7	38% 3/8
Cards
Cards	2.50	1.88
Opponent cards	2.88	2.00
Match total	5.38	3.88	4.04
Over 3.5	63% 5/8	63% 5/8
Over 4.5	63% 5/8	38% 3/8

	Besiktas	Galatasaray	League
Corners
Corners won	5.78	6.40
Corners conceded	4.44	3.20
Match total	10.22	9.60	9.12
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	2.20	2.00
Opponent cards	2.60	1.80
Match total	4.80	3.80	4.04
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.