Goztepe vs Trabzonspor

Süper Lig Gameweek 13 Mon, Nov 30 · 16:00 Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı, İzmir

Goztepe 13th · 9 pts · 8 played LDDWW

VS— Compare

Trabzonspor 4th · 16 pts · 8 played WLWWW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,114 kmRest days8.2 · 8Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Goztepe—%

Draw—%

Trabzonspor—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (İzmir)

Forecast from 15 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Team strength

Goztepe

Trabzonspor

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

29 Current StrengthIn forecast 46

39 AttackIn forecast 54

36 DefenceIn forecast 48

37 Form indexContext 78

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Goztepe

Attack—

Defense risk—

Trabzonspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Goztepe

Trabzonspor

2.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.63

1.69 xGVia Att/Def 1.58

1.58 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.46

+0.44 Goals minus xGContext +0.67

88% Scored inContext 88%

13% Clean sheetsContext 50%

15.25 ShotsContext 13.25

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.63

36% On target shareContext 50%

11.25 Shots in the boxContext 10.00

73% Box shareContext 70%

14% ConversionContext 17%

2.50 OffsidesContext 2.57

15.38 Shots allowedContext 13.50

4.25 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

5.43 BlocksContext 2.86

2.71 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.38

61% Save rateContext 88%

41% PossessionIn forecast 53%

278 PassesContext 430

198 Accurate passesContext 365

71% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.74 Team ratingContext 7.12

14.88 FoulsContext 10.38

8.75 Fouls sufferedContext 16.13

2.63 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.80

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

1.77 xGVia Att/Def 1.58

1.50 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.46

+0.13 Goals minus xGContext +0.22

80% Scored inContext 70%

10% Clean sheetsContext 40%

16.30 ShotsContext 13.25

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.63

34% On target shareContext 50%

12.30 Shots in the boxContext 10.00

74% Box shareContext 70%

12% ConversionContext 17%

2.50 OffsidesContext 2.57

14.80 Shots allowedContext 13.50

4.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

4.78 BlocksContext 3.22

2.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.38

61% Save rateContext 88%

40% PossessionIn forecast 52%

266 PassesContext 430

190 Accurate passesContext 365

71% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.74 Team ratingContext 7.12

15.40 FoulsContext 10.00

8.90 Fouls sufferedContext 16.30

2.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.30

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Goztepe LDDWW

Rest8.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km2,458 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

Form 37 · 8 pts vs 9.5 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected

W18 OctA · Kocaelispor2–11.4 xPts
W12 OctA · Eyüpspor4–01.6 xPts
D20 SepH · Rizespor2–21.4 xPts
D12 SepA · Alanyaspor2–21.2 xPts
L7 SepH · Gazişehir Gaziantep2–41.8 xPts

Trabzonspor WLWWW

Rest8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel1,114 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 78 · 12 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · +4.9 vs expected

W19 OctH · Besiktas2–01.3 xPts
W10 OctA · Samsunspor3–01.6 xPts
W19 SepH · Galatasaray4–00.9 xPts
L12 SepA · Konyaspor0–11.5 xPts
W6 SepH · Genclerbirligi5–01.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Goztepe	Trabzonspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 5	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	8.2Süper Lig 2026-2027, 22 Nov	8Süper Lig 2026-2027, 22 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,114 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	2,458 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 2	0 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	7	6

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Goztepe Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-1-2 · vs Kocaelispor (A) 2–1, 18 Oct

1A. Özçimen(G)

26M. Bokele 19J. Sonko Sundberg 4T. Altıkardeş

12R. Akonnor 20N. Miroshi 5Rhaldney 2A. Kurtulan

8A. Antunes

9Juan 7André Henrique

Trabzonspor Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Besiktas (H) 2–0, 19 Oct

24A. Onana(G)

55Sidny Lopes Cabral 15S. Savić 27Chibuike Nwaiwu 20Wagner Pina

6Fabinho 11O. Tufan

58D. Şimşir 7E. Muçi 10Mohamed Salah

9F. Gluda Djú

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Goztepe Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Trabzonspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Goztepe · Home 0.33points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-2
Scored: 1.33
Conceded: 2.33

Trabzonspor · Away 1.00points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 1-1-2
Scored: 1.25
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

Opponent	Goztepe	Trabzonspor
Galatasaray	L 2–3 A	W 4–0 H
Genclerbirligi	L 0–1 H	W 5–0 H
Samsunspor	D 3–3 A	W 3–0 A
Points	1 of 9 · 0.33 per game	9 of 9 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

1 Goztepe wins2 draws1 Trabzonspor wins

Goals per game1.25 – 1.25 Over 2.550% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%

2 May 2026Trabzonspor1–1Goztepe
7 Dec 2025Goztepe1–2Trabzonspor
29 Mar 2025Trabzonspor1–1Goztepe
26 Oct 2024Goztepe2–1Trabzonspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Goztepe	Trabzonspor
Scored per game	2.13	2.25
Conceded per game	2.00	0.63
Match goals	4.13	2.88
Over 1.5	88%	88%
Over 2.5	88%	63%
Over 3.5	75%	25%
Both teams scored	75%	38%
Clean sheets	13%	50%
Failed to score	13%	13%
Games	8	8

	Goztepe	Trabzonspor
Scored per game	1.90	1.80
Conceded per game	2.00	1.00
Match goals	3.90	2.80
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	90%	60%
Over 3.5	60%	30%
Both teams scored	70%	30%
Clean sheets	10%	40%
Failed to score	20%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Goztepe	Trabzonspor	League
Corners
Corners won	4.88	5.13
Corners conceded	4.38	3.25
Match total	9.26	8.38	9.12
Over 8.5	63% 5/8	50% 4/8
Over 9.5	50% 4/8	13% 1/8
Over 10.5	50% 4/8	13% 1/8
Cards
Cards	2.75	2.13
Opponent cards	2.00	2.88
Match total	4.75	5.01	4.04
Over 3.5	88% 7/8	75% 6/8
Over 4.5	63% 5/8	63% 5/8

	Goztepe	Trabzonspor	League
Corners
Corners won	5.22	5.20
Corners conceded	4.56	4.00
Match total	9.78	9.20	9.12
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	56% 5/9	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	2.80	2.30
Opponent cards	2.10	2.90
Match total	4.90	5.20	4.04
Over 3.5	90% 9/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	70% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.