Besiktas vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

UEFA Europa League Matchday 5 Thu, Nov 26 · 17:45 Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul

Besiktas 4th · 6 pts · 2 played WW

VS— Compare

Hapoel Beer Sheva 24th · 1 pts · 2 played DL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,199 kmRest days4.2 · 20.9Matches / 14d1 · 0

Real contextStrength only

Besiktas—%

Draw—%

Hapoel Beer Sheva—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 11 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Insight Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Besiktas

Hapoel Beer Sheva

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

50 Current StrengthIn forecast 28

60 AttackIn forecast 26

48 DefenceIn forecast 31

62 Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Besiktas

Attack—

Defense risk—

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Besiktas

Hapoel Beer Sheva

3.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

— xGVia Att/Def 0.92

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.47

— Goals minus xGContext -0.42

100% Scored inContext 50%

0% Clean sheetsContext 50%

18.50 ShotsContext 10.50

6.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00

32% On target shareContext 29%

14.50 Shots in the boxContext 6.00

78% Box shareContext 65%

19% ConversionContext 5%

— OffsidesContext 1.50

13.50 Shots allowedContext 10.50

3.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50

3.50 BlocksContext 3.50

1.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50

50% Save rateContext 71%

51% PossessionIn forecast 54%

473 PassesContext 550

395 Accurate passesContext 466

83% Pass accuracyContext 85%

7.05 Team ratingContext 6.57

9.00 FoulsContext 13.50

15.00 Fouls sufferedContext 13.50

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

2.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10

2.06 xGVia Att/Def —

1.27 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

+0.14 Goals minus xGContext —

70% Scored inContext 80%

10% Clean sheetsContext 50%

16.75 ShotsContext 13.25

6.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.50

37% On target shareContext 34%

10.88 Shots in the boxContext 9.25

64% Box shareContext 71%

14% ConversionContext 9%

3.00 OffsidesContext 2.50

11.25 Shots allowedContext 15.50

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00

3.38 BlocksContext 3.75

2.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.00

64% Save rateContext 67%

59% PossessionIn forecast 63%

481 PassesContext 569

410 Accurate passesContext 489

85% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.97 Team ratingContext 6.68

11.44 FoulsContext 11.40

15.22 Fouls sufferedContext 13.00

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.80

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Besiktas WLWWL

Rest4.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km926 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 62 · 9 pts vs 7.6 for an average club · +1.0 vs expected

L19 OctA · Trabzonspor0–21.5 xPts
W15 OctA · 1899 Hoffenheim3–21.3 xPts
W11 OctH · Kocaelispor2–12.2 xPts
L20 SepA · Amed2–31.4 xPts
W17 SepH · Marseille4–11.6 xPts

Hapoel Beer Sheva DL

Rest20.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel1,199 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 34 · 1 pts vs 2.9 for an average club · -1.2 vs expected

L15 OctA · AZ Alkmaar1–20.8 xPts
D16 SepH · Dinamo Zagreb0–01.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Besiktas	Hapoel Beer Sheva
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4.2Süper Lig 2026-2027, 22 Nov	20.9UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 5 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,199 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	926 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 4	0 / 0 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	4	14

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Besiktas Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Trabzonspor (A) 0–2, 19 Oct

1A. Nübel(G)

33R. Yılmaz 53E. Topçu 12E. Agbadou 62A. Murillo

6S. Özcan

19L. Trossard 21F. Miretti 15Junior Olaitan 18V. Černý

28D. Vlahović

Hapoel Beer Sheva Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs AZ Alkmaar (A) 1–2, 15 Oct

1O. Marciano(G)

5Pedro Amador 15I. Nachmias 44Djibril Diop 2G. Mizrahi

7E. Peretz 25Lucas Ventura 17A. Forson

9Z. Ahmed 66I. Zlatanović 45M. Abu Rumi

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Besiktas Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Hapoel Beer Sheva Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Besiktas · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 4.00
Conceded: 1.00

Hapoel Beer Sheva · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Besiktas	Hapoel Beer Sheva
Scored per game	3.50	0.50
Conceded per game	1.50	1.00
Match goals	5.00	1.50
Over 1.5	100%	50%
Over 2.5	100%	50%
Over 3.5	100%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	50%
Clean sheets	0%	50%
Failed to score	0%	50%
Games	2	2

	Besiktas	Hapoel Beer Sheva
Scored per game	2.20	1.38
Conceded per game	1.40	1.25
Match goals	3.60	2.63
Over 1.5	80%	75%
Over 2.5	70%	50%
Over 3.5	40%	13%
Both teams scored	60%	50%
Clean sheets	10%	50%
Failed to score	30%	13%
Games	10	8

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Besiktas	Hapoel Beer Sheva	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	3.50
Corners conceded	5.50	3.50
Match total	9.50	7.00	9.76
Over 8.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Over 9.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Cards
Cards	1.50	2.00
Opponent cards	2.50	2.00
Match total	4.00	4.00	3.76
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2

	Besiktas	Hapoel Beer Sheva	League
Corners
Corners won	5.78	3.20
Corners conceded	4.44	4.60
Match total	10.22	7.80	9.76
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	20% 1/5
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	20% 1/5
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	20% 1/5
Cards
Cards	2.20	3.30
Opponent cards	2.60	2.10
Match total	4.80	5.40	3.76
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	60% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.