Besiktas vs Trabzonspor

Süper Lig Gameweek 25 Sun, Mar 14 · 12:00 Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul

Besiktas 5th · 15 pts · 8 played WWLWL

VS— Compare

Trabzonspor 4th · 16 pts · 8 played WLWWW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel904 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Besiktas—%

Draw—%

Trabzonspor—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 27 Feb

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Team strength

Besiktas

Trabzonspor

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

50 Current StrengthIn forecast 46

60 AttackIn forecast 54

48 DefenceIn forecast 48

62 Form indexContext 78

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Besiktas

Attack—

Defense risk—

Trabzonspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Besiktas

Trabzonspor

2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25

1.25 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.63

1.70 xGVia Att/Def 1.58

1.09 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.46

+0.30 Goals minus xGContext +0.67

75% Scored inContext 88%

25% Clean sheetsContext 50%

16.57 ShotsContext 13.25

6.14 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.63

37% On target shareContext 50%

9.29 Shots in the boxContext 10.00

56% Box shareContext 70%

11% ConversionContext 17%

3.43 OffsidesContext 2.57

9.57 Shots allowedContext 13.50

4.43 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

3.40 BlocksContext 2.86

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.38

68% Save rateContext 88%

61% PossessionIn forecast 53%

488 PassesContext 430

422 Accurate passesContext 365

87% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.98 Team ratingContext 7.12

13.71 FoulsContext 10.38

15.00 Fouls sufferedContext 16.13

2.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

2.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.80

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

2.06 xGVia Att/Def 1.58

1.27 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.46

+0.14 Goals minus xGContext +0.22

70% Scored inContext 70%

10% Clean sheetsContext 40%

16.75 ShotsContext 13.25

6.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.63

37% On target shareContext 50%

10.88 Shots in the boxContext 10.00

64% Box shareContext 70%

14% ConversionContext 17%

3.00 OffsidesContext 2.57

11.25 Shots allowedContext 13.50

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

3.38 BlocksContext 3.22

2.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.38

64% Save rateContext 88%

59% PossessionIn forecast 52%

481 PassesContext 430

410 Accurate passesContext 365

85% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.97 Team ratingContext 7.12

11.44 FoulsContext 10.00

15.22 Fouls sufferedContext 16.30

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.30

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Besiktas WLWWL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km394 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 62 · 9 pts vs 7.6 for an average club · +1.0 vs expected

L19 OctA · Trabzonspor0–21.5 xPts
W15 OctA · 1899 Hoffenheim3–21.3 xPts
W11 OctH · Kocaelispor2–12.2 xPts
L20 SepA · Amed2–31.4 xPts
W17 SepH · Marseille4–11.6 xPts

Trabzonspor WLWWW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel904 km1,807 km in 14d

Schedule load17%Low

Form 78 · 12 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · +4.9 vs expected

W19 OctH · Besiktas2–01.3 xPts
W10 OctA · Samsunspor3–01.6 xPts
W19 SepH · Galatasaray4–00.9 xPts
L12 SepA · Konyaspor0–11.5 xPts
W6 SepH · Genclerbirligi5–01.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Besiktas	Trabzonspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 17
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 7 Mar	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 7 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	904 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	394 km	1,807 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Besiktas Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Trabzonspor (A) 0–2, 19 Oct

1A. Nübel(G)

33R. Yılmaz 53E. Topçu 12E. Agbadou 62A. Murillo

6S. Özcan

19L. Trossard 21F. Miretti 15Junior Olaitan 18V. Černý

28D. Vlahović

Trabzonspor Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Besiktas (H) 2–0, 19 Oct

24A. Onana(G)

55Sidny Lopes Cabral 15S. Savić 27Chibuike Nwaiwu 20Wagner Pina

6Fabinho 11O. Tufan

58D. Şimşir 7E. Muçi 10Mohamed Salah

9F. Gluda Djú

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Besiktas Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Trabzonspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Besiktas · Home 3.00points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 4-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 0.75

Trabzonspor · Away 1.00points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 1-1-2
Scored: 1.25
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

Opponent	Besiktas	Trabzonspor
Amed	L 2–3 A	L 1–2 A
Points	0 of 3 · 0.00 per game	0 of 3 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 7 of 7 meetings

2 Besiktas wins2 draws3 Trabzonspor wins

Goals per game1.29 – 1.71 Over 2.557% Both scored57% Clean sheets14% · 29%

19 Oct 2026Trabzonspor2–0Besiktas
9 May 2026Besiktas1–2Trabzonspor
14 Dec 2025Trabzonspor3–3Besiktas
15 Feb 2025Besiktas2–1Trabzonspor
15 Sep 2024Trabzonspor1–1Besiktas
4 Feb 2024Besiktas2–0Trabzonspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Besiktas	Trabzonspor
Scored per game	2.00	2.25
Conceded per game	1.25	0.63
Match goals	3.25	2.88
Over 1.5	75%	88%
Over 2.5	63%	63%
Over 3.5	25%	25%
Both teams scored	50%	38%
Clean sheets	25%	50%
Failed to score	25%	13%
Games	8	8

	Besiktas	Trabzonspor
Scored per game	2.20	1.80
Conceded per game	1.40	1.00
Match goals	3.60	2.80
Over 1.5	80%	80%
Over 2.5	70%	60%
Over 3.5	40%	30%
Both teams scored	60%	30%
Clean sheets	10%	40%
Failed to score	30%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Besiktas	Trabzonspor	League
Corners
Corners won	6.71	5.13
Corners conceded	4.14	3.25
Match total	10.85	8.38	9.12
Over 8.5	86% 6/7	50% 4/8
Over 9.5	71% 5/7	13% 1/8
Over 10.5	43% 3/7	13% 1/8
Cards
Cards	2.50	2.13
Opponent cards	2.88	2.88
Match total	5.38	5.01	4.04
Over 3.5	63% 5/8	75% 6/8
Over 4.5	63% 5/8	63% 5/8

	Besiktas	Trabzonspor	League
Corners
Corners won	5.78	5.20
Corners conceded	4.44	4.00
Match total	10.22	9.20	9.12
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	2.20	2.30
Opponent cards	2.60	2.90
Match total	4.80	5.20	4.04
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.