Galatasaray vs Genclerbirligi

Süper Lig Gameweek 25 Sun, Mar 14 · 12:00 Rams Global Stadium, İstanbul

Galatasaray 1st · 19 pts · 8 played WWLWW

VS— Compare

Genclerbirligi 15th · 8 pts · 8 played LLLDL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel352 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Galatasaray—%

Draw—%

Genclerbirligi—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 27 Feb

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Galatasaray

Genclerbirligi

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

62 Current StrengthIn forecast 15

57 AttackIn forecast 13

55 DefenceIn forecast 16

59 Form indexContext 7

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Galatasaray

Attack—

Defense risk—

Genclerbirligi

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Galatasaray

Genclerbirligi

2.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.88

1.38 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

2.29 xGVia Att/Def 0.95

0.93 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.83

-0.16 Goals minus xGContext -0.07

88% Scored inContext 63%

38% Clean sheetsContext 13%

22.13 ShotsContext 11.88

7.38 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.14

33% On target shareContext 31%

15.13 Shots in the boxContext 7.25

69% Box shareContext 58%

10% ConversionContext 7%

2.83 OffsidesContext 2.40

10.75 Shots allowedContext 17.25

3.86 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.88

3.71 BlocksContext 4.14

2.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.13

78% Save rateContext 75%

60% PossessionIn forecast 43%

475 PassesContext 327

411 Accurate passesContext 261

87% Pass accuracyContext 80%

7.02 Team ratingContext 6.81

11.75 FoulsContext 11.63

11.63 Fouls sufferedContext 11.38

1.63 Yellow cardsContext 1.75

0.25 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

1.97 xGVia Att/Def 1.13

1.22 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.68

-0.07 Goals minus xGContext +0.17

90% Scored inContext 70%

30% Clean sheetsContext 20%

19.20 ShotsContext 12.10

6.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.67

34% On target shareContext 35%

13.20 Shots in the boxContext 7.30

69% Box shareContext 58%

10% ConversionContext 11%

3.43 OffsidesContext 2.17

11.50 Shots allowedContext 15.80

4.78 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.20

3.56 BlocksContext 3.78

2.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.70

64% Save rateContext 76%

57% PossessionIn forecast 44%

460 PassesContext 327

397 Accurate passesContext 260

86% Pass accuracyContext 79%

6.86 Team ratingContext 6.84

11.60 FoulsContext 11.50

11.60 Fouls sufferedContext 12.70

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Galatasaray WLWLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected

W17 OctA · Genclerbirligi1–02.2 xPts
L13 OctH · Barcelona1–40.7 xPts
W9 OctH · Kasimpasa3–12.3 xPts
L19 SepA · Trabzonspor0–41.9 xPts
W13 SepH · Kocaelispor1–02.4 xPts

Genclerbirligi LLLDL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel352 km1,349 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 7 · 1 pts vs 8.1 for an average club · -3.8 vs expected

L17 OctH · Galatasaray0–10.6 xPts
D10 OctH · Amed2–21.0 xPts
L19 SepA · Istanbul Basaksehir0–41.0 xPts
L13 SepH · Kasimpasa1–21.4 xPts
L6 SepA · Trabzonspor0–50.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Galatasaray	Genclerbirligi
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 7 Mar	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 7 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	352 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	1,349 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Galatasaray Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Genclerbirligi (A) 1–0, 17 Oct

1U. Çakır(G)

17E. Elmalı 42A. Bardakcı 6D. Sánchez 7R. Sallai

8Gabriel Sara 99M. Lemina

53B. Yılmaz 83A. Batrakov 10L. Sané

45V. Osimhen

Genclerbirligi Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Galatasaray (H) 0–1, 17 Oct

70İ. Eğribayat(G)

2T. da Silva 6D. Goutas 90M. Baltacı 88F. Üzüm

42Ousmane Diabate

7Tiago Gouveia 10F. Tongya 48S. Uçan 83R. Luis

9Pedro Mendes

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Galatasaray Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Genclerbirligi Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Galatasaray · Home 2.50points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 3-1-0
Scored: 2.25
Conceded: 1.25

Genclerbirligi · Away 1.00points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-2
Scored: 0.33
Conceded: 3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

Opponent	Galatasaray	Genclerbirligi
Kasimpasa	W 3–1 H	L 1–2 H
Trabzonspor	L 0–4 A	L 0–5 A
Istanbul Basaksehir	W 3–2 A	L 0–4 A
Goztepe	W 3–2 H	W 1–0 A
Erzurumspor FK	W 4–0 A	D 1–1 H
Points	12 of 15 · 2.40 per game	4 of 15 · 0.80 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 3 of 3 meetings

3 Galatasaray wins0 draws0 Genclerbirligi wins

Goals per game2.00 – 1.00 Over 2.567% Both scored67% Clean sheets33% · 0%

17 Oct 2026Genclerbirligi0–1Galatasaray
18 Apr 2026Genclerbirligi1–2Galatasaray
22 Nov 2025Galatasaray3–2Genclerbirligi

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Galatasaray	Genclerbirligi
Scored per game	2.13	0.88
Conceded per game	1.38	2.00
Match goals	3.50	2.88
Over 1.5	75%	75%
Over 2.5	75%	63%
Over 3.5	75%	38%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Clean sheets	38%	13%
Failed to score	13%	38%
Games	8	8

	Galatasaray	Genclerbirligi
Scored per game	1.90	1.30
Conceded per game	1.80	1.80
Match goals	3.70	3.10
Over 1.5	80%	80%
Over 2.5	80%	70%
Over 3.5	80%	40%
Both teams scored	60%	50%
Clean sheets	30%	20%
Failed to score	10%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Galatasaray	Genclerbirligi	League
Corners
Corners won	7.38	4.63
Corners conceded	3.13	6.50
Match total	10.51	11.13	9.12
Over 8.5	63% 5/8	75% 6/8
Over 9.5	38% 3/8	50% 4/8
Over 10.5	38% 3/8	50% 4/8
Cards
Cards	1.88	1.75
Opponent cards	2.00	2.13
Match total	3.88	3.88	4.04
Over 3.5	63% 5/8	50% 4/8
Over 4.5	38% 3/8	38% 3/8

	Galatasaray	Genclerbirligi	League
Corners
Corners won	6.40	4.50
Corners conceded	3.20	6.10
Match total	9.60	10.60	9.12
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	2.00	1.90
Opponent cards	1.80	2.80
Match total	3.80	4.70	4.04
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.