Süper Lig Gameweek 25 Sun, Mar 14 · 12:00 Eyüp Stadı, İstanbul
Eyüpspor 18th · 3 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Erzurumspor FK 11th · 11 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,049 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Eyüpspor—%
Draw—%
Erzurumspor FK—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 27 Feb

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Eyüpspor and Erzurumspor FK. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

EyüpsporErzurumspor FK
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
13 Current StrengthIn forecast 27
9 AttackIn forecast 17
10 DefenceIn forecast 38
5 Form indexContext 56
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Eyüpspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Erzurumspor FK

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

EyüpsporErzurumspor FK
0.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.63
2.75 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.38
0.71 xGVia Att/Def 0.82
2.00 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.10
-0.46 Goals minus xGContext -0.19
13% Scored inContext 50%
0% Clean sheetsContext 50%
11.00 ShotsContext 9.43
3.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.29
30% On target shareContext 35%
6.71 Shots in the boxContext 6.29
58% Box shareContext 63%
2% ConversionContext 8%
1.33 OffsidesContext 1.50
13.38 Shots allowedContext 11.29
5.63 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.43
3.75 BlocksContext 2.20
3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50
53% Save rateContext 75%
50% PossessionIn forecast 46%
397 PassesContext 409
338 Accurate passesContext 341
85% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.52 Team ratingContext 6.67
10.00 FoulsContext 11.71
16.00 Fouls sufferedContext 9.86
1.38 Yellow cardsContext 1.38
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.63
2.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.38
0.74 xGVia Att/Def 0.82
1.78 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.10
+0.16 Goals minus xGContext -0.19
30% Scored inContext 50%
10% Clean sheetsContext 50%
10.40 ShotsContext 9.43
3.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.29
33% On target shareContext 35%
5.78 Shots in the boxContext 6.29
51% Box shareContext 63%
9% ConversionContext 8%
1.50 OffsidesContext 1.50
13.80 Shots allowedContext 11.29
5.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.43
3.90 BlocksContext 2.20
3.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50
57% Save rateContext 75%
46% PossessionIn forecast 46%
368 PassesContext 409
308 Accurate passesContext 341
84% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.61 Team ratingContext 6.67
10.10 FoulsContext 11.71
14.70 Fouls sufferedContext 9.86
1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.38
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 8 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Eyüpspor
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km656 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 5 · 0 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · -4.6 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Erzurumspor FK0–20.6 xPts
  • L12 OctH · Goztepe0–41.2 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Fenerbahce0–80.4 xPts
  • L12 SepH · Rizespor0–21.3 xPts
  • L6 SepA · Çorum FK0–31.1 xPts
Erzurumspor FK
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel1,049 km888 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Form 56 · 10 pts vs 9.3 for an average club · +2.7 vs expected
  • W17 OctH · Eyüpspor2–02.2 xPts
  • D10 OctA · Alanyaspor0–01.1 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Samsunspor1–01.6 xPts
  • L11 SepA · Besiktas0–30.7 xPts
  • W5 SepH · Konyaspor1–01.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Eyüpspor Erzurumspor FK
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 7 Mar7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 7 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,049 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways656 km888 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Eyüpspor Last XI · not confirmed
5-3-2 · vs Erzurumspor FK (A) 0–2, 17 Oct
1E. Bilgin(G)
21S. Giordano 33Z. Jules 4S. Yaşar 5J. El Yamiq 77K. Michalak
15Charles-Andre Raux Yao 28T. İlter 88C. Massanga
9Y. Barası 98B. Boutobba
Erzurumspor FK Last XI · not confirmed
5-3-2 · vs Eyüpspor (H) 2–0, 17 Oct
1M. Taşkıran(G)
15G. Giorbelidze 18N. Mujakić 22M. Yumlu 4A. Gerxhaliu 53O. Ovacıklı
65M. Rodríguez 42E. Owusu 6B. Baiye
20Miguel Cardoso 10E. Tozlu

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Eyüpspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Erzurumspor FK Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Eyüpspor · Home 0.75points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-0-3
Scored
0.50
Conceded
2.00
Erzurumspor FK · Away 0.50points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
0-2-2
Scored
0.25
Conceded
1.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

OpponentEyüpsporErzurumspor FK
Alanyaspor W 2–1 H D 0–0 A
Besiktas L 0–1 A L 0–3 A
Points3 of 6 · 1.50 per game1 of 6 · 0.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

0 Eyüpspor wins0 draws1 Erzurumspor FK wins
Goals per game0.00 – 2.00 Over 2.50% Both scored0% Clean sheets0% · 100%
  • 17 Oct 2026Erzurumspor FK2–0Eyüpspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

EyüpsporErzurumspor FKForecast
Scored per game 0.250.63
Conceded per game 2.751.38
Match goals 3.002.00
Over 1.5 75%63%
Over 2.5 50%38%
Over 3.5 25%13%
Both teams scored 13%13%
Clean sheets 0%50%
Failed to score 88%50%
Games88
EyüpsporErzurumspor FKForecast
Scored per game 0.900.63
Conceded per game 2.501.38
Match goals 3.402.00
Over 1.5 80%63%
Over 2.5 60%38%
Over 3.5 40%13%
Both teams scored 20%13%
Clean sheets 10%50%
Failed to score 70%50%
Games108

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

EyüpsporErzurumspor FKLeague
Corners
Corners won3.253.43
Corners conceded5.003.14
Match total8.256.579.12
Over 8.563% 5/80% 0/7
Over 9.538% 3/80% 0/7
Over 10.525% 2/80% 0/7
Cards
Cards1.631.38
Opponent cards1.632.13
Match total3.263.514.04
Over 3.550% 4/850% 4/8
Over 4.525% 2/850% 4/8
EyüpsporErzurumspor FKLeague
Corners
Corners won3.223.43
Corners conceded5.113.14
Match total8.336.579.12
Over 8.567% 6/90% 0/7
Over 9.533% 3/90% 0/7
Over 10.522% 2/90% 0/7
Cards
Cards1.601.38
Opponent cards1.802.13
Match total3.403.514.04
Over 3.550% 5/1050% 4/8
Over 4.530% 3/1050% 4/8

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Eyüpspor8 games · scored 2 · conceded 22
5 0-15
5 16-30
1 2 31-45
6 46-60
61-75
1 4 76-90
Erzurumspor FK8 games · scored 5 · conceded 11
1 0-15
2 3 16-30
1 1 31-45
2 1 46-60
3 61-75
2 76-90
Eyüpspor10 games · scored 9 · conceded 25
5 0-15
3 5 16-30
3 2 31-45
6 46-60
1 61-75
3 6 76-90
Erzurumspor FK8 games · scored 5 · conceded 11
1 0-15
2 3 16-30
1 1 31-45
2 1 46-60
3 61-75
2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Süper Lig

View all fixtures →
Besiktas Trabzonspor Mar 1412:00 Konyaspor Amed Mar 1412:00 Galatasaray Genclerbirligi Mar 1412:00 Goztepe Kocaelispor Mar 1412:00 Alanyaspor Fenerbahce Mar 1412:00 Rizespor Çorum FK Mar 1412:00 Gazişehir Gaziantep Istanbul Basaksehir Mar 1412:00 Eyüpspor Erzurumspor FK Mar 1412:00 Samsunspor Kasimpasa Mar 1412:00