Süper Lig Gameweek 25 Sun, Mar 14 · 12:00 Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
Gazişehir Gaziantep 14th · 8 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Istanbul Basaksehir 10th · 11 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel850 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Gazişehir Gaziantep—%
Draw—%
Istanbul Basaksehir—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Gaziantep)

Forecast from 27 Feb

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Gazişehir Gaziantep and Istanbul Basaksehir. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Gazişehir GaziantepIstanbul Basaksehir
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
16 Current StrengthIn forecast 36
15 AttackIn forecast 32
18 DefenceIn forecast 34
20 Form indexContext 33
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Attack—
Defense risk—

Istanbul Basaksehir

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Gazişehir GaziantepIstanbul Basaksehir
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50
1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50
1.10 xGVia Att/Def 1.46
1.35 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.40
-0.10 Goals minus xGContext +0.04
63% Scored inContext 75%
25% Clean sheetsContext 38%
12.86 ShotsContext 11.88
3.57 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.57
28% On target shareContext 34%
7.57 Shots in the boxContext 6.88
59% Box shareContext 54%
9% ConversionContext 13%
2.71 OffsidesContext 2.00
13.29 Shots allowedContext 12.00
4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.71
3.57 BlocksContext 3.50
2.29 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.29
57% Save rateContext 70%
52% PossessionIn forecast 52%
431 PassesContext 451
358 Accurate passesContext 383
83% Pass accuracyContext 85%
6.87 Team ratingContext 6.75
11.14 FoulsContext 13.88
17.00 Fouls sufferedContext 11.38
2.25 Yellow cardsContext 2.38
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.70
1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.30
0.99 xGVia Att/Def 1.75
1.55 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.18
+0.01 Goals minus xGContext -0.05
70% Scored inContext 80%
20% Clean sheetsContext 40%
12.56 ShotsContext 12.30
3.56 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.67
28% On target shareContext 34%
7.67 Shots in the boxContext 7.70
61% Box shareContext 59%
9% ConversionContext 14%
2.44 OffsidesContext 1.80
13.44 Shots allowedContext 11.50
4.22 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.33
3.33 BlocksContext 3.30
2.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.11
61% Save rateContext 72%
53% PossessionIn forecast 50%
425 PassesContext 431
352 Accurate passesContext 364
83% Pass accuracyContext 84%
6.84 Team ratingContext 6.79
11.00 FoulsContext 14.20
17.33 Fouls sufferedContext 11.60
2.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.30
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Gazişehir Gaziantep
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km883 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 20 · 4 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · -1.1 vs expected
  • L18 OctA · Istanbul Basaksehir1–20.8 xPts
  • L11 OctH · Çorum FK0–31.4 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Kocaelispor0–21.1 xPts
  • D14 SepH · Fenerbahce0–00.8 xPts
  • W7 SepA · Goztepe4–21.0 xPts
Istanbul Basaksehir
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel850 km704 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Form 33 · 7 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected
  • W18 OctH · Gazişehir Gaziantep2–12.0 xPts
  • D11 OctA · Konyaspor0–01.4 xPts
  • W19 SepH · Genclerbirligi4–01.8 xPts
  • L13 SepA · Amed0–51.2 xPts
  • L4 SepH · Galatasaray2–31.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Gazişehir Gaziantep Istanbul Basaksehir
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 7 Mar7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 7 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km850 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways883 km704 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Gazişehir Gaziantep Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs Istanbul Basaksehir (A) 1–2, 18 Oct
25K. Tobiasz(G)
21L. Sylla 14L. Abena 4A. Kızıldağ 2Luis Pérez
3D. Camara 61O. Özçiçek 8V. Gidado 18D. Sorescu
10K. Kozłowski 9T. Stewart
Istanbul Basaksehir Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Gazişehir Gaziantep (H) 2–1, 18 Oct
16M. Şengezer(G)
38S. Kharebashvili 27O. Ba 23E. Bayram 33M. Karbownik
18J. Kałuziński 8O. Kemen
77I. Brnić 14E. Shomurodov 70A. Skov Olsen
17U. Bozok

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Gazişehir Gaziantep Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Istanbul Basaksehir Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Gazişehir Gaziantep · Home 0.50points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
0-2-2
Scored
0.50
Conceded
1.50
Istanbul Basaksehir · Away 0.33points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
0-1-2
Scored
0.33
Conceded
2.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

OpponentGazişehir GaziantepIstanbul Basaksehir
Kocaelispor L 0–2 A W 2–0 H
Points0 of 3 · 0.00 per game3 of 3 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 7 of 7 meetings

1 Gazişehir Gaziantep wins0 draws6 Istanbul Basaksehir wins
Goals per game1.00 – 2.14 Over 2.571% Both scored57% Clean sheets14% · 29%
  • 18 Oct 2026Istanbul Basaksehir2–1Gazişehir Gaziantep
  • 16 May 2026Gazişehir Gaziantep1–2Istanbul Basaksehir
  • 22 Dec 2025Istanbul Basaksehir5–1Gazişehir Gaziantep
  • 20 Apr 2025Istanbul Basaksehir2–1Gazişehir Gaziantep
  • 23 Nov 2024Gazişehir Gaziantep3–0Istanbul Basaksehir
  • 24 Feb 2024Gazişehir Gaziantep0–2Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Gazişehir GaziantepIstanbul BasaksehirForecast
Scored per game 1.001.50
Conceded per game 1.501.50
Match goals 2.503.00
Over 1.5 75%88%
Over 2.5 50%63%
Over 3.5 13%38%
Both teams scored 50%50%
Clean sheets 25%38%
Failed to score 38%25%
Games88
Gazişehir GaziantepIstanbul BasaksehirForecast
Scored per game 1.001.70
Conceded per game 1.601.30
Match goals 2.603.00
Over 1.5 80%90%
Over 2.5 60%70%
Over 3.5 10%30%
Both teams scored 60%50%
Clean sheets 20%40%
Failed to score 30%20%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Gazişehir GaziantepIstanbul BasaksehirLeague
Corners
Corners won3.604.25
Corners conceded4.403.88
Match total8.008.139.12
Over 8.560% 3/550% 4/8
Over 9.540% 2/525% 2/8
Over 10.540% 2/513% 1/8
Cards
Cards2.382.50
Opponent cards2.501.88
Match total4.884.384.04
Over 3.563% 5/863% 5/8
Over 4.550% 4/838% 3/8
Gazişehir GaziantepIstanbul BasaksehirLeague
Corners
Corners won4.293.90
Corners conceded4.714.20
Match total9.008.109.12
Over 8.571% 5/750% 5/10
Over 9.543% 3/720% 2/10
Over 10.543% 3/710% 1/10
Cards
Cards2.302.40
Opponent cards2.401.90
Match total4.704.304.04
Over 3.570% 7/1070% 7/10
Over 4.540% 4/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Gazişehir Gaziantep8 games · scored 8 · conceded 12
2 2 0-15
1 16-30
2 2 31-45
1 3 46-60
2 61-75
1 4 76-90
Istanbul Basaksehir8 games · scored 12 · conceded 12
3 1 0-15
2 1 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 3 46-60
3 3 61-75
2 3 76-90
Gazişehir Gaziantep10 games · scored 10 · conceded 16
2 4 0-15
2 16-30
2 2 31-45
3 3 46-60
2 61-75
1 5 76-90
Istanbul Basaksehir10 games · scored 17 · conceded 13
5 1 0-15
3 1 16-30
2 1 31-45
1 4 46-60
3 3 61-75
3 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Süper Lig

View all fixtures →
Besiktas Trabzonspor Mar 1412:00 Konyaspor Amed Mar 1412:00 Galatasaray Genclerbirligi Mar 1412:00 Goztepe Kocaelispor Mar 1412:00 Alanyaspor Fenerbahce Mar 1412:00 Rizespor Çorum FK Mar 1412:00 Gazişehir Gaziantep Istanbul Basaksehir Mar 1412:00 Eyüpspor Erzurumspor FK Mar 1412:00 Samsunspor Kasimpasa Mar 1412:00