Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Eintracht Frankfurt – 27 Sep 2025

Bundesliga Gameweek 5 Sat, Sep 27 · 17:30 BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th · 2 pts · 4 played DLLD

4–6Full time

Eintracht Frankfurt 7th · 6 pts · 4 played WWLL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Eintracht Frankfurt were slight favourites.

Eintracht Frankfurt were the stronger side on L90 Strength (69 vs 41). Borussia Mönchengladbach had 6 days of rest, Eintracht Frankfurt 6.1 and had to travel 198 km.

Away travel198 kmRest days6 · 6.1Matches / 14d2 · 1

Borussia Mönchengladbach27%

Draw25%

Eintracht Frankfurt49%

Expected goals 1.23 – 1.73

Borussia Mönchengladbach27%

Draw26%

Eintracht Frankfurt46%

Expected goals 1.14 – 1.57

Borussia Mönchengladbach27%

Draw25%

Eintracht Frankfurt48%

Expected goals 1.23 – 1.70

Borussia Mönchengladbach21%

Draw23%

Eintracht Frankfurt56%

Expected goals 1.10 – 1.94

Borussia Mönchengladbach27%

Draw26%

Eintracht Frankfurt47%

Expected goals 1.14 – 1.59

Over 2.5 57% Both score 59% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Mönchengladbach)

No weather data yet

Referee · GermanyFlorian Exner

Cards per match 5.2
Penalties per match 0.25
Matches 16

Team strength

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Eintracht Frankfurt

41 L90 StrengthIn forecast 69

36 Current StrengthIn forecast 48

34 AttackIn forecast 54

21 DefenceIn forecast 37

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Attack—

Defense risk—

Eintracht Frankfurt

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Eintracht Frankfurt

0.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.75

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.25

1.30 xGVia Att/Def 1.68

1.26 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.26

-1.05 Goals minus xGContext +1.07

25% Scored inContext 100%

25% Clean sheetsContext 0%

15.75 ShotsContext 14.50

4.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.75

30% On target shareContext 40%

10.50 Shots in the boxContext 9.75

69% Box shareContext 65%

2% ConversionContext 19%

2.67 OffsidesContext 1.67

11.50 Shots allowedContext 13.75

5.75 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50

2.50 BlocksContext 1.75

3.75 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

65% Save rateContext 55%

51% PossessionIn forecast 58%

476 PassesContext 482

407 Accurate passesContext 409

85% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.67 Team ratingContext 6.90

12.00 FoulsContext 9.50

9.00 Fouls sufferedContext 10.75

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.25

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 4 and 4 games

1.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.60

2.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

1.29 xGVia Att/Def 1.61

1.67 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.01

-0.19 Goals minus xGContext +0.99

50% Scored inContext 90%

10% Clean sheetsContext 20%

13.80 ShotsContext 11.80

4.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.20

33% On target shareContext 44%

9.50 Shots in the boxContext 8.67

70% Box shareContext 71%

8% ConversionContext 22%

3.00 OffsidesContext 1.88

16.50 Shots allowedContext 11.10

6.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.80

4.70 BlocksContext 1.70

4.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.88

65% Save rateContext 66%

49% PossessionIn forecast 52%

431 PassesContext 436

359 Accurate passesContext 359

83% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.78 Team ratingContext 7.01

9.30 FoulsContext 10.20

8.60 Fouls sufferedContext 10.70

1.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Rest6 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km83 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Eintracht Frankfurt

Rest6.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel198 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Eintracht Frankfurt
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6Bundesliga 2025-2026, 21 Sep	6.1Bundesliga 2025-2026, 21 Sep
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	198 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	83 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 2	1 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	8	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

33M. Nicolas(G)

2F. Chiarodia 30N. Elvedi 4K. Diks

26L. Ullrich 6Y. Engelhardt 27R. Reitz 29J. Scally

17J. Castrop 7K. Stöger

18S. Machino

+6 more reported missing outside this XI

Eintracht Frankfurt Confirmed XI

4-5-1

40Kauã Santos(G)

21N. Brown 3A. Theate 4R. Koch 34P. Collins

7A. Knauff 42C. Uzun 15E. Skhiri 8F. Chaïbi 20R. Doan

9J. Burkardt

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Borussia Mönchengladbach Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Eintracht Frankfurt Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Borussia Mönchengladbach-0.4 pp
Draw-0.2 pp
Eintracht Frankfurt+0.6 pp

Home / Away this season

Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home 0.50points per game · 2 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-1
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 2.00

Eintracht Frankfurt · Away 1.50points per game · 2 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-1
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayer Leverkusen	D 1–1 A	L 1–3 A
Werder Bremen	L 0–4 H	W 4–1 H
Points	1 of 6 · 0.50 per game	3 of 6 · 1.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

0 Borussia Mönchengladbach wins4 draws4 Eintracht Frankfurt wins

Goals per game1.00 – 1.75 Over 2.538% Both scored88% Clean sheets0% · 13%

8 Feb 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach1–1Eintracht Frankfurt
21 Sep 2024Eintracht Frankfurt2–0Borussia Mönchengladbach
11 May 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach1–1Eintracht Frankfurt
20 Dec 2023Eintracht Frankfurt2–1Borussia Mönchengladbach
15 Apr 2023Eintracht Frankfurt1–1Borussia Mönchengladbach
22 Oct 2022Borussia Mönchengladbach1–3Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Eintracht Frankfurt	Forecast
Scored per game	0.25	2.75
Conceded per game	1.50	2.25
Match goals	1.75	5.00	2.96
Over 1.5	50%	100%
Over 2.5	25%	100%	57%
Over 3.5	25%	100%
Both teams scored	25%	100%	59%
Clean sheets	25%	0%
Failed to score	75%	0%
Games	4	4

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Eintracht Frankfurt	Forecast
Scored per game	0.25	2.75
Conceded per game	1.50	2.25
Match goals	1.75	5.00	2.96
Over 1.5	50%	100%
Over 2.5	25%	100%	57%
Over 3.5	25%	100%
Both teams scored	25%	100%	59%
Clean sheets	25%	0%
Failed to score	75%	0%
Games	4	4

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Eintracht Frankfurt	League
Corners
Corners won	7.25	5.67
Corners conceded	4.50	3.00
Match total	11.75	8.67	10.13
Over 8.5	75% 3/4	67% 2/3
Over 9.5	75% 3/4	33% 1/3
Over 10.5	75% 3/4	33% 1/3
Cards
Cards	2.00	2.25
Opponent cards	1.75	3.25
Match total	3.75	5.50	4.62
Over 3.5	25% 1/4	75% 3/4
Over 4.5	25% 1/4	50% 2/4

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Eintracht Frankfurt	League
Corners
Corners won	6.20	5.44
Corners conceded	5.60	3.22
Match total	11.80	8.66	10.13
Over 8.5	80% 8/10	56% 5/9
Over 9.5	80% 8/10	44% 4/9
Over 10.5	70% 7/10	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	1.20	1.80
Opponent cards	1.20	2.20
Match total	2.40	4.00	4.62
Over 3.5	10% 1/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Florian Exner Germany · 16 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.88league 4.34

Red cards0.31league 0.32

Cards 5+50%league 49%

Fouls22.7league 22.7

Penalties0.25league 0.51

Home wins44%league 41%

Borussia Mönchengladbach1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.4.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds1

L22 Feb 25H · FC Augsburg0–34

Eintracht Frankfurt1 with this referee

Record1-0-0 Cards · opp.2.0 · 0.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

W1 Dec 24A · 1. FC Heidenheim4–02

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.