Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Augsburg – 11 Jan 2026

Bundesliga Gameweek 16 Sun, Jan 11 · 14:30 BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach 12th · 16 pts · 15 played WDWLL

4–0Full time

FC Augsburg 15th · 14 pts · 15 played WLWLD

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Borussia Mönchengladbach were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Borussia Mönchengladbach had 22.8 days of rest, FC Augsburg 22 and had to travel 447 km.

Away travel447 kmRest days22.8 · 22Matches / 14d0 · 0

Borussia Mönchengladbach47%

Draw26%

FC Augsburg27%

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.20

Borussia Mönchengladbach46%

Draw26%

FC Augsburg27%

Expected goals 1.57 – 1.14

Borussia Mönchengladbach47%

Draw26%

FC Augsburg27%

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.20

Borussia Mönchengladbach40%

Draw26%

FC Augsburg34%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.34

Borussia Mönchengladbach46%

Draw26%

FC Augsburg27%

Expected goals 1.57 – 1.14

Over 2.5 54% Both score 57% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Mönchengladbach)

No weather data yet

Referee · GermanyHarm Osmers

Cards per match 4.2
Penalties per match 0.30
Matches 94

Team strength

Borussia Mönchengladbach

FC Augsburg

44 L90 StrengthIn forecast 39

36 Current StrengthIn forecast 50

34 AttackIn forecast 72

21 DefenceIn forecast 23

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Attack—

Defense risk—

FC Augsburg

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Borussia Mönchengladbach

FC Augsburg

1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.13

1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.87

1.27 xGVia Att/Def 0.95

1.36 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.55

-0.07 Goals minus xGContext +0.18

53% Scored inContext 67%

40% Clean sheetsContext 20%

11.33 ShotsContext 11.93

4.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.87

37% On target shareContext 32%

8.29 Shots in the boxContext 7.43

69% Box shareContext 62%

11% ConversionContext 10%

2.46 OffsidesContext 2.64

13.53 Shots allowedContext 13.07

4.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.43

3.47 BlocksContext 4.38

3.07 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.83

64% Save rateContext 60%

46% PossessionIn forecast 45%

429 PassesContext 392

357 Accurate passesContext 312

83% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.85 Team ratingContext 6.74

10.13 FoulsContext 11.87

10.20 Fouls sufferedContext 11.67

1.33 Yellow cardsContext 3.00

0.07 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 15 and 15 games

1.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.90

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.60

1.25 xGVia Att/Def 1.07

1.27 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.27

+0.05 Goals minus xGContext -0.17

60% Scored inContext 50%

50% Clean sheetsContext 30%

9.60 ShotsContext 12.20

4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.90

38% On target shareContext 32%

7.22 Shots in the boxContext 7.56

68% Box shareContext 61%

14% ConversionContext 7%

2.22 OffsidesContext 2.67

13.60 Shots allowedContext 12.80

4.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.89

3.40 BlocksContext 4.44

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.38

71% Save rateContext 56%

45% PossessionIn forecast 44%

417 PassesContext 399

343 Accurate passesContext 315

82% Pass accuracyContext 79%

6.95 Team ratingContext 6.74

9.00 FoulsContext 10.30

10.90 Fouls sufferedContext 11.70

1.10 Yellow cardsContext 2.60

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Rest22.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

FC Augsburg

Rest22 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel447 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	FC Augsburg
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	22.8Bundesliga 2025-2026, 19 Dec	22Bundesliga 2025-2026, 20 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	447 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 1	0 / 0 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	3.2	4.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

33M. Nicolas(G)

4K. Diks 30N. Elvedi 16P. Sander

20L. Netz 6Y. Engelhardt 27R. Reitz 29J. Scally

10F. Neuhaus 9F. Honorat

15H. Tabaković

FC Augsburg Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

1F. Dahmen(G)

16C. Zesiger 31K. Schlotterbeck 40N. Banks

3M. Pedersen 4H. Massengo 36M. Kömür 19Robin Fellhauer

20A. Claude-Maurice 32F. Rieder

30A. Kade

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Borussia Mönchengladbach Absences are shown before kick-off

FC Augsburg Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Borussia Mönchengladbach+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
FC Augsburg+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Borussia Mönchengladbach · Home 0.75points per game · 8 home games

W-D-L: 1-3-4
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 2.13

FC Augsburg · Away 0.57points per game · 7 away games

W-D-L: 1-1-5
Scored: 1.14
Conceded: 1.86

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 14 this season

Opponent	Borussia Mönchengladbach	FC Augsburg
Borussia Dortmund	L 0–2 A	L 0–1 H
VfL Wolfsburg	L 1–3 H	W 3–1 H
FSV Mainz 05	W 1–0 A	L 1–4 H
RB Leipzig	D 0–0 H	L 0–6 H
1. FC Heidenheim	W 3–0 A	L 1–2 A
1.FC Köln	W 3–1 H	D 1–1 A
FC St. Pauli	W 4–0 A	L 1–2 A
Bayern München	L 0–3 H	L 2–3 H
SC Freiburg	D 0–0 H	W 3–1 A
Eintracht Frankfurt	L 4–6 H	L 0–1 A
Bayer Leverkusen	D 1–1 A	W 2–0 H
Werder Bremen	L 0–4 H	D 0–0 H
VfB Stuttgart	L 0–1 A	L 2–3 A
Hamburger SV	D 0–0 H	W 1–0 H
Points	16 of 42 · 1.14 per game	14 of 42 · 1.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

2 Borussia Mönchengladbach wins1 draws5 FC Augsburg wins

Goals per game1.38 – 1.88 Over 2.563% Both scored50% Clean sheets13% · 38%

22 Feb 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach0–3FC Augsburg
4 Oct 2024FC Augsburg2–1Borussia Mönchengladbach
21 Jan 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach1–2FC Augsburg
19 Aug 2023FC Augsburg4–4Borussia Mönchengladbach
27 May 2023Borussia Mönchengladbach2–0FC Augsburg
25 Jan 2023FC Augsburg1–0Borussia Mönchengladbach

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	FC Augsburg	Forecast
Scored per game	1.20	1.13
Conceded per game	1.60	1.87
Match goals	2.80	3.00	2.84
Over 1.5	67%	73%
Over 2.5	53%	60%	54%
Over 3.5	40%	40%
Both teams scored	33%	53%	57%
Clean sheets	40%	20%
Failed to score	47%	33%
Games	15	15

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	FC Augsburg	Forecast
Scored per game	1.30	0.90
Conceded per game	1.20	1.60
Match goals	2.50	2.50	2.84
Over 1.5	70%	60%
Over 2.5	60%	40%	54%
Over 3.5	40%	30%
Both teams scored	30%	30%	57%
Clean sheets	50%	30%
Failed to score	40%	50%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	FC Augsburg	League
Corners
Corners won	4.86	4.27
Corners conceded	5.57	4.73
Match total	10.43	9.00	9.72
Over 8.5	71% 10/14	47% 7/15
Over 9.5	57% 8/14	40% 6/15
Over 10.5	43% 6/14	33% 5/15
Cards
Cards	1.40	3.07
Opponent cards	2.33	2.07
Match total	3.73	5.14	4.07
Over 3.5	33% 5/15	80% 12/15
Over 4.5	33% 5/15	73% 11/15

	Borussia Mönchengladbach	FC Augsburg	League
Corners
Corners won	3.89	4.30
Corners conceded	6.00	4.90
Match total	9.89	9.20	9.72
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	40% 4/10
Over 9.5	44% 4/9	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	1.20	2.70
Opponent cards	2.60	1.90
Match total	3.80	4.60	4.07
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	70% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Harm Osmers Germany · 94 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.02league 3.89

Red cards0.18league 0.21

Cards 5+43%league 41%

Fouls22.1league 21.1

Penalties0.30league 0.33

Home wins53%league 44%

Borussia Mönchengladbach5 with this referee

Record2-0-3 Cards · opp.2.2 · 2.0 Pens for · against1 · 1

L18 Jan 25A · Bayer Leverkusen1–32
W14 Jan 24H · VfB Stuttgart3–13
L22 Jan 23H · Bayer Leverkusen2–33
L30 Oct 22A · Union Berlin1–22
W14 May 22H · 1899 Hoffenheim5–11

FC Augsburg9 with this referee

Record2-2-5 Cards · opp.1.8 · 1.7 Pens for · against0 · 3

L9 Nov 25A · VfB Stuttgart2–33
L14 Sep 25A · FC St. Pauli1–24
L4 May 25H · Holstein Kiel1–30
D2 Mar 25H · SC Freiburg0–01
W3 Dec 23H · Eintracht Frankfurt2–11

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.