Premier League Gameweek 16 Sun, Dec 14 2025 · 16:30 Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
Brentford
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.72 – 1.52
Leeds
  • J. Henderson 70’
  • 82’ D. Calvert-Lewin
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Brentford and Leeds share the points

Brentford entered as favourites and led 1–0 after 70 minutes through a Henderson goal. But Calvert-Lewin scored to rescue a draw for Leeds. Leeds finished with the higher xG (1.52 vs 0.72). On the chances created, Leeds deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Brentford49%
Draw ✓25%
Leeds26%

Model vs reality

Brentford goals
1
Model 1.67 · xG 0.72
Leeds goals
1
Model 1.15 · xG 1.52
Total goals
2
Model 2.82 · xG 2.24
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. HendersonBrentford · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeJohn Brooks
  • VenueGtech Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrentford 15th · Leeds 17th

Timeline

  1. VAR D. OuattaraPenalty cancelled
    38’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ R. HenryFor A. Hickey
    61’
  4. ⇄ M. DamsgaardFor K. Lewis-Potter
    61’
  5. J. Henderson 1–0
    70’
  6. ⇄ B. AaronsonFor A. Tanaka
    73’
  7. ⇄ D. GnontoFor J. Bijol
    73’
  8. ⇄ Y. YarmoliukFor V. Janelt
    80’
  9. ⇄ K. AjerFor M. Jensen
    81’
  10. D. Calvert-Lewin 1–1Assist D. Gnonto
    82’
  11. ⇄ J. JustinFor G. Gudmundsson
    89’
  12. ⇄ J. HarrisonFor N. Okafor
    90+2’
  13. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Brentford7 shots · 4 in box, 3 outside
Leeds18 shots · 11 in box, 7 outside
BrentfordLeeds
57% Possession 43%
0.72 Expected goals (xG) 1.52
0.79 Expected points (xPts) 1.95
7 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 4
4 Shots off target 6
1 Blocked shots 8
4 Shots inside the box 11
3 Shots outside the box 7
497 Passes 361
81% Pass accuracy 75%
0 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.94 Team rating 6.73

Line-ups

Brentford 4-2-3-1

17.5 C. Kelleher(G)
26.5 A. Hickey ↓61’ 47.3 S. van den Berg 227.0 N. Collins 337.3 M. Kayode
277.3 V. Janelt ↓80’ 67.9★ J. Henderson
236.6 K. Lewis-Potter ↓61’ 87.0 M. Jensen ↓81’ 196.0 D. Ouattara
96.0 Thiago
  • 1C. Kelleher (G)7.5
  • 2A. Hickey↓61’6.5
  • 4S. van den Berg7.3
  • 22N. Collins7.0
  • 33M. Kayode7.3
  • 27V. Janelt↓80’7.3
  • 6J. Henderson ★7.9
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter↓61’6.6
  • 8M. Jensen↓81’7.0
  • 19D. Ouattara6.0
  • 9Thiago6.0

Substitutes used

  • 20K. Ajer↑81’6.3
  • 3R. Henry↑61’6.3
  • 24M. Damsgaard↑61’6.9
  • 18Y. Yarmoliuk↑80’6.7

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, E. Pinnock, O. Onyeka, M. Peart-Harris, R. Donovan

Leeds 3-5-2

15.9 Lucas Perri(G)
57.2 P. Struijk 156.9 J. Bijol ↓73’ 66.6 J. Rodon
36.6 G. Gudmundsson ↓89’ 186.2 A. Stach 47.0 E. Ampadu 226.2 A. Tanaka ↓73’ 27.2 J. Bogle
196.9 N. Okafor ↓90’ 97.2 D. Calvert-Lewin
  • 1Lucas Perri (G)5.9
  • 5P. Struijk7.2
  • 15J. Bijol↓73’6.9
  • 6J. Rodon6.6
  • 3G. Gudmundsson↓89’6.6
  • 18A. Stach6.2
  • 4E. Ampadu7.0
  • 22A. Tanaka↓73’6.2
  • 2J. Bogle7.2
  • 19N. Okafor↓90’6.9
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin7.2

Substitutes used

  • 24J. Justin↑89’
  • 20J. Harrison↑90’
  • 11B. Aaronson↑73’6.9
  • 29D. GnontoA↑73’7.0

Unused: K. Darlow, S. Bornauw, S. Byram, J. Piroe, I. Gruev

Player stats

Top rated
J. HendersonBrentford7.9
2nd
C. KelleherBrentford7.5
3rd
S. van den BergBrentford7.3

Brentford

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
C. Kelleher G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 63% 43 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
A. Hickey D 61 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 32 0 1 0/2 1/0 6.5
S. van den Berg D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 66 0 2 0/0 0/1 7.3
N. Collins D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 77% 79 0 1 0/0 1/0 7.0
M. Kayode D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 55 5 0 1/2 0/1 7.3
V. Janelt M 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 29 3 2 0/1 0/1 7.3
J. Henderson M 90 1 0 2 (1) 2 79% 70 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
K. Lewis-Potter F 61 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 14 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
M. Jensen M 81 0 0 1 (0) 0 94% 32 1 0 2/2 1/0 7.0
D. Ouattara F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 21 1 0 1/5 2/2 6.0
Thiago F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 16 0 0 0/2 2/0 6.0
K. Ajer D 9 0 0 0 (0) 1 43% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
R. Henry D 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 46% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
M. Damsgaard M 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 62% 13 1 2 0/1 1/2 6.9
Y. Yarmoliuk M 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Leeds

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Lucas Perri G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 30% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
P. Struijk D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 59 4 1 0/0 1/1 7.2
J. Bijol D 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 33 1 2 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. Rodon D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 25 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
G. Gudmundsson D 89 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 34 2 0 2/2 3/3 6.6
A. Stach M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 79% 39 1 2 1/2 0/1 6.2
E. Ampadu D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 92% 50 1 1 1/2 0/0 7.0
A. Tanaka M 73 0 0 1 (0) 1 84% 19 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
J. Bogle D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 77% 30 3 1 3/5 2/2 7.2
N. Okafor F 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 68% 19 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
D. Calvert-Lewin F 90 1 0 3 (2) 0 50% 10 1 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
J. Justin D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
J. Harrison F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
B. Aaronson M 17 0 0 1 (1) 0 67% 9 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
D. Gnonto F 17 0 1 0 (0) 2 57% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.