Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, May 15 · 16:00 Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond
St. Truiden 12th · 8 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Club Brugge KV 2nd · 21 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Rest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
St. Truiden—%
Draw—%
Club Brugge KV—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (St.-Trond)

Forecast from 30 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for St. Truiden and Club Brugge KV. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

St. TruidenClub Brugge KV
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
35 Current StrengthIn forecast 75
37 AttackIn forecast 86
32 DefenceIn forecast 58
11 Form indexContext 86
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

St. Truiden

Attack—
Defense risk—

Club Brugge KV

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

St. TruidenClub Brugge KV
1.88 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.38
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.50
2.01 xGVia Att/Def 2.55
1.75 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.00
-0.13 Goals minus xGContext -0.17
63% Scored inContext 100%
13% Clean sheetsContext 63%
17.00 ShotsContext 18.25
5.14 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.00
27% On target shareContext 33%
11.88 Shots in the boxContext 13.88
68% Box shareContext 75%
11% ConversionContext 13%
1.86 OffsidesContext 1.86
13.63 Shots allowedContext 13.63
4.88 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50
3.00 BlocksContext 3.88
3.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.88
69% Save rateContext 82%
56% PossessionIn forecast 64%
520 PassesContext 601
437 Accurate passesContext 535
84% Pass accuracyContext 89%
6.82 Team ratingContext 7.27
10.38 FoulsContext 7.88
9.63 Fouls sufferedContext 11.38
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.38
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.50
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
2.01 xGVia Att/Def 2.61
1.75 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.74
-0.21 Goals minus xGContext -0.11
70% Scored inContext 100%
20% Clean sheetsContext 50%
17.00 ShotsContext 17.00
5.14 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.80
27% On target shareContext 34%
11.88 Shots in the boxContext 13.70
68% Box shareContext 76%
11% ConversionContext 15%
1.86 OffsidesContext 1.67
13.63 Shots allowedContext 15.70
4.88 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.60
3.10 BlocksContext 4.60
3.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50
69% Save rateContext 76%
56% PossessionIn forecast 62%
520 PassesContext 580
437 Accurate passesContext 515
84% Pass accuracyContext 89%
6.82 Team ratingContext 7.17
10.80 FoulsContext 9.20
9.60 Fouls sufferedContext 11.10
2.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.80
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

St. Truiden
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 11 · 3 pts vs 8.8 for an average club · -5.4 vs expected
  • L11 OctA · KV Mechelen3–41.5 xPts
  • L20 SepH · KVC Westerlo0–21.9 xPts
  • L12 SepA · SK Beveren0–21.7 xPts
  • W5 SepH · RAAL La Louvière4–02.1 xPts
  • L2 SepH · Union St. Gilloise0–31.3 xPts
Club Brugge KV
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel—0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 86 · 12 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · +3.1 vs expected
  • W13 OctA · Inter4–30.9 xPts
  • W10 OctA · RAAL La Louvière4–12.3 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Genk3–01.9 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Antwerp3–12.4 xPts
  • L8 SepH · Aston Villa2–31.5 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
St. Truiden Club Brugge KV
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 8 May7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 8 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km—
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

St. Truiden Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs KV Mechelen (A) 3–4, 11 Oct
16L. Kokubo(G)
3T. Hata 5S. Taniguchi 4K. Takai 60R. Vanwesemael
8A. Sissako 14R. Merlen
10I. Sebaoui 71R. Araki 38Kaito Matsuzawa
9S. Baždar
Club Brugge KV Last XI · not confirmed
4-5-1 · vs Inter (A) 4–3, 13 Oct
1Y. Sommer(G)
65J. Seys 44B. Mechele 58J. Spileers 64K. Sabbe
11J. Virgili 20H. Vanaken 8F. Potts 10H. Vetlesen 9Carlos Forbs
7N. Tresoldi

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
St. Truiden Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Club Brugge KV Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

St. Truiden · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
1.25
Conceded
1.50
Club Brugge KV · Away 2.25points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
3-0-1
Scored
2.25
Conceded
0.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

OpponentSt. TruidenClub Brugge KV
RAAL La Louvière W 4–0 H W 4–1 A
Antwerp W 4–1 A W 3–1 H
Cercle Brugge D 3–3 A W 1–0 H
Lommel United D 1–1 H W 1–0 A
Points8 of 12 · 2.00 per game12 of 12 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

2 St. Truiden wins1 draws3 Club Brugge KV wins
Goals per game1.17 – 1.67 Over 2.550% Both scored67% Clean sheets0% · 33%
  • 9 May 2026Club Brugge KV2–0St. Truiden
  • 11 Apr 2026St. Truiden1–2Club Brugge KV
  • 6 Dec 2025St. Truiden3–2Club Brugge KV
  • 21 Sep 2025Club Brugge KV2–0St. Truiden
  • 17 Mar 2024St. Truiden2–1Club Brugge KV
  • 1 Oct 2023Club Brugge KV1–1St. Truiden

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

St. TruidenClub Brugge KVForecast
Scored per game 1.882.38
Conceded per game 2.000.50
Match goals 3.882.88
Over 1.5 100%75%
Over 2.5 63%75%
Over 3.5 50%25%
Both teams scored 50%38%
Clean sheets 13%63%
Failed to score 38%0%
Games88
St. TruidenClub Brugge KVForecast
Scored per game 1.802.50
Conceded per game 2.001.00
Match goals 3.803.50
Over 1.5 90%80%
Over 2.5 60%80%
Over 3.5 50%40%
Both teams scored 50%50%
Clean sheets 20%50%
Failed to score 30%0%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

St. TruidenClub Brugge KVLeague
Corners
Corners won5.388.25
Corners conceded3.633.13
Match total9.0111.3810.01
Over 8.550% 4/875% 6/8
Over 9.538% 3/875% 6/8
Over 10.525% 2/850% 4/8
Cards
Cards2.001.50
Opponent cards1.252.00
Match total3.253.503.36
Over 3.538% 3/838% 3/8
Over 4.525% 2/838% 3/8
St. TruidenClub Brugge KVLeague
Corners
Corners won5.507.30
Corners conceded3.503.40
Match total9.0010.7010.01
Over 8.550% 5/1070% 7/10
Over 9.540% 4/1060% 6/10
Over 10.530% 3/1040% 4/10
Cards
Cards2.201.90
Opponent cards1.302.10
Match total3.504.003.36
Over 3.540% 4/1050% 5/10
Over 4.530% 3/1050% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

St. Truiden8 games · scored 15 · conceded 16
2 0-15
4 16-30
3 3 31-45
3 5 46-60
4 2 61-75
3 2 76-90
Club Brugge KV8 games · scored 19 · conceded 4
2 0-15
2 1 16-30
5 1 31-45
4 46-60
3 1 61-75
3 1 76-90
St. Truiden10 games · scored 18 · conceded 20
2 0-15
6 16-30
4 3 31-45
3 6 46-60
4 2 61-75
5 3 76-90
Club Brugge KV10 games · scored 25 · conceded 10
2 1 0-15
4 2 16-30
5 3 31-45
4 46-60
6 1 61-75
4 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
KVC Westerlo Lommel United May 1516:00 KV Mechelen OH Leuven May 1516:00 Anderlecht Antwerp May 1516:00 Zulte Waregem RAAL La Louvière May 1516:00 Gent Union St. Gilloise May 1516:00 Standard Liege Genk May 1516:00 St. Truiden Club Brugge KV May 1516:00 Charleroi Kortrijk May 1516:00 Cercle Brugge SK Beveren May 1516:00