Como vs Genoa – 30 May 2027

Serie A Gameweek 38 Sun, May 30 · 17:30 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como

Como 5th · 14 pts · 7 played WWLDW

VS— Compare

Genoa 17th · 4 pts · 7 played LDLWL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel156 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Como—%

Draw—%

Genoa—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Como)

Forecast from 15 May

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Como

Genoa

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

65 Current StrengthIn forecast 29

72 AttackIn forecast 23

67 DefenceIn forecast 44

50 Form indexContext 24

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Como

Attack—

Defense risk—

Genoa

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Como

Genoa

1.71 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.71

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.86

1.88 xGVia Att/Def 0.96

1.61 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.12

-0.17 Goals minus xGContext -0.25

71% Scored inContext 57%

14% Clean sheetsContext 0%

21.43 ShotsContext 11.14

6.86 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.86

32% On target shareContext 26%

13.43 Shots in the boxContext 7.57

62% Box shareContext 68%

8% ConversionContext 6%

2.67 OffsidesContext 2.29

14.71 Shots allowedContext 15.00

3.71 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.29

2.86 BlocksContext 6.17

2.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.83

69% Save rateContext 61%

61% PossessionIn forecast 45%

588 PassesContext 380

527 Accurate passesContext 306

90% Pass accuracyContext 81%

7.01 Team ratingContext 6.56

8.29 FoulsContext 9.43

9.57 Fouls sufferedContext 11.29

1.29 Yellow cardsContext 2.86

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

2.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.60

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.60

1.88 xGVia Att/Def 0.93

1.41 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.17

+0.32 Goals minus xGContext -0.33

80% Scored inContext 50%

10% Clean sheetsContext 10%

19.00 ShotsContext 10.60

6.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.60

34% On target shareContext 25%

12.10 Shots in the boxContext 7.20

63% Box shareContext 68%

12% ConversionContext 6%

3.20 OffsidesContext 2.00

13.60 Shots allowedContext 13.40

3.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.00

2.70 BlocksContext 5.38

2.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.75

69% Save rateContext 60%

60% PossessionIn forecast 48%

571 PassesContext 395

513 Accurate passesContext 322

90% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.97 Team ratingContext 6.62

9.70 FoulsContext 9.40

11.00 Fouls sufferedContext 12.00

1.60 Yellow cardsContext 2.20

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Como WLDLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,030 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 50 · 7 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · -1.9 vs expected

W18 OctA · Fiorentina3–11.8 xPts
L14 OctA · Feyenoord2–31.2 xPts
D11 OctH · AS Roma0–01.4 xPts
L20 SepA · Frosinone0–22.1 xPts
W14 SepH · Parma2–12.4 xPts

Genoa LDLWL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel156 km1,176 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 24 · 4 pts vs 7.3 for an average club · -1.6 vs expected

L17 OctA · AS Roma0–20.5 xPts
W10 OctH · Fiorentina2–11.3 xPts
L20 SepA · Parma1–21.2 xPts
D12 SepH · Frosinone1–11.6 xPts
L4 SepH · Como1–41.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Como	Genoa
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Serie A 2026-2027, 23 May	7Serie A 2026-2027, 23 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	156 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,030 km	1,176 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	—	—

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Como Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Fiorentina (A) 3–1, 18 Oct

1J. Butez(G)

3Álex Valle 2M. Kempf 99T. Chalobah 28I. Smolčić

7L. da Cunha 6Luis Milla

8M. Caqueret 10N. Paz 30M. Liberali

9A. Douvikas

Genoa Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs AS Roma (A) 0–2, 17 Oct

1J. Bijlow(G)

22J. Vásquez 5L. Østigård 27A. Marcandalli

31D. Puczka 32M. Frendrup 71S. Wiafe 77M. Ellertsson

92S. El Shaarawy 10J. Messias

18M. Osmajić

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Como Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Genoa Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Como · Home 2.00points per game · 2 home games

W-D-L: 1-1-0
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 0.50

Genoa · Away 0.00points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-3
Scored: 0.33
Conceded: 1.67

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

Opponent	Como	Genoa
Fiorentina	W 3–1 A	W 2–1 H
AS Roma	D 0–0 H	L 0–2 A
Frosinone	L 0–2 A	D 1–1 H
Parma	W 2–1 H	L 1–2 A
Napoli	W 2–1 A	L 0–2 H
Points	10 of 15 · 2.00 per game	4 of 15 · 0.80 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

3 Como wins2 draws0 Genoa wins

Goals per game1.80 – 0.60 Over 2.520% Both scored60% Clean sheets40% · 0%

4 Sep 2026Genoa1–4Como
26 Apr 2026Genoa0–2Como
15 Sep 2025Como1–1Genoa
27 Apr 2025Como1–0Genoa
7 Nov 2024Genoa1–1Como

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Como	Genoa
Scored per game	1.71	0.71
Conceded per game	1.00	1.86
Match goals	2.71	2.57
Over 1.5	86%	86%
Over 2.5	57%	43%
Over 3.5	29%	14%
Both teams scored	71%	57%
Clean sheets	14%	0%
Failed to score	29%	43%
Games	7	7

	Como	Genoa
Scored per game	2.20	0.60
Conceded per game	1.20	1.60
Match goals	3.40	2.20
Over 1.5	90%	70%
Over 2.5	70%	40%
Over 3.5	50%	10%
Both teams scored	80%	50%
Clean sheets	10%	10%
Failed to score	20%	50%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Como	Genoa	League
Corners
Corners won	7.29	4.43
Corners conceded	4.57	4.57
Match total	11.86	9.00	9.38
Over 8.5	86% 6/7	43% 3/7
Over 9.5	57% 4/7	29% 2/7
Over 10.5	57% 4/7	14% 1/7
Cards
Cards	1.29	3.00
Opponent cards	2.14	1.86
Match total	3.43	4.86	3.43
Over 3.5	43% 3/7	71% 5/7
Over 4.5	43% 3/7	57% 4/7

	Como	Genoa	League
Corners
Corners won	5.70	4.40
Corners conceded	4.40	4.10
Match total	10.10	8.50	9.38
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	30% 3/10
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	20% 2/10
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	10% 1/10
Cards
Cards	1.60	2.30
Opponent cards	2.70	1.80
Match total	4.30	4.10	3.43
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.