Lecce vs Venezia – 30 May 2027

Serie A Gameweek 38 Sun, May 30 · 17:30 Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce

Lecce 12th · 9 pts · 7 played LWLLW

VS— Compare

Venezia 20th · 3 pts · 7 played LLLLW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel738 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Lecce—%

Draw—%

Venezia—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Lecce)

Forecast from 15 May

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Lecce

Venezia

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

28 Current StrengthIn forecast 15

36 AttackIn forecast 21

30 DefenceIn forecast 14

35 Form indexContext 19

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Lecce

Attack—

Defense risk—

Venezia

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Lecce

Venezia

1.29 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.86

1.71 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.29

1.50 xGVia Att/Def 1.43

1.98 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.38

-0.21 Goals minus xGContext -0.57

57% Scored inContext 57%

29% Clean sheetsContext 14%

11.14 ShotsContext 14.14

4.71 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.43

42% On target shareContext 31%

7.14 Shots in the boxContext 9.29

64% Box shareContext 69%

12% ConversionContext 6%

2.60 OffsidesContext 2.83

14.86 Shots allowedContext 17.29

6.43 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.14

2.83 BlocksContext 4.14

4.43 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.50

69% Save rateContext 69%

40% PossessionIn forecast 54%

346 PassesContext 470

271 Accurate passesContext 400

78% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.78 Team ratingContext 6.75

12.86 FoulsContext 9.86

9.14 Fouls sufferedContext 10.29

1.86 Yellow cardsContext 2.86

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

1.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.30

1.32 xGVia Att/Def 1.33

1.81 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.08

-0.02 Goals minus xGContext -0.33

60% Scored inContext 60%

30% Clean sheetsContext 10%

10.40 ShotsContext 13.00

4.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.10

43% On target shareContext 32%

7.00 Shots in the boxContext 8.60

68% Box shareContext 69%

13% ConversionContext 8%

2.50 OffsidesContext 2.38

13.80 Shots allowedContext 17.10

5.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.50

2.67 BlocksContext 4.50

3.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.56

69% Save rateContext 65%

37% PossessionIn forecast 51%

312 PassesContext 438

239 Accurate passesContext 367

77% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.78 Team ratingContext 6.76

12.10 FoulsContext 10.90

9.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.40

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.30

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Lecce LWLLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,821 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

Form 35 · 6 pts vs 7.7 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected

W18 OctA · Udinese3–00.9 xPts
L11 OctH · Bologna1–21.1 xPts
L20 SepA · AC Milan0–30.5 xPts
W13 SepH · Monza3–21.7 xPts
L7 SepA · Cagliari0–11.1 xPts

Venezia LLLLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel738 km314 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 19 · 3 pts vs 7.1 for an average club · -0.7 vs expected

W17 OctH · Napoli1–00.6 xPts
L12 OctA · Atalanta1–30.5 xPts
L19 SepH · Lazio0–20.6 xPts
L11 SepH · Fiorentina2–41.2 xPts
L6 SepA · Frosinone2–30.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Lecce	Venezia
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 5	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Serie A 2026-2027, 23 May	7Serie A 2026-2027, 23 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	738 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,821 km	314 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	—	—

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Lecce Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Udinese (A) 3–0, 18 Oct

30W. Falcone(G)

25A. Gallo 44Tiago Gabriel 4E. Gaspar 17Danilo Veiga

14Y. Maleh 79Oumar Ngom 29L. Coulibaly

7A. Fatah 69W. Geubbels 11K. N’Dri

Venezia Last XI · not confirmed

3-5-2 · vs Napoli (H) 1–0, 17 Oct

1F. Stanković(G)

15Juan Jesus 2M. Moreno 25R. Halhal

5R. Haps 26T. Bašić 19S. Sohm 71Kike Pérez 18A. Hainaut

45A. Adams 10J. Yeboah

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Lecce Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Venezia Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Lecce · Home 1.00points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-2
Scored: 1.33
Conceded: 2.67

Venezia · Away 0.00points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-3
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 2.67

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

Opponent	Lecce	Venezia
AC Milan	L 0–3 A	L 0–2 A
Points	0 of 3 · 0.00 per game	0 of 3 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 3 of 3 meetings

2 Lecce wins1 draws0 Venezia wins

Goals per game1.33 – 0.33 Over 2.50% Both scored33% Clean sheets67% · 0%

23 Aug 2026Venezia0–2Lecce
6 Apr 2025Lecce1–1Venezia
25 Nov 2024Venezia0–1Lecce

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Lecce	Venezia
Scored per game	1.29	0.86
Conceded per game	1.71	2.29
Match goals	3.00	3.14
Over 1.5	86%	86%
Over 2.5	71%	43%
Over 3.5	29%	43%
Both teams scored	29%	43%
Clean sheets	29%	14%
Failed to score	43%	43%
Games	7	7

	Lecce	Venezia
Scored per game	1.30	0.86
Conceded per game	1.50	2.29
Match goals	2.80	3.14
Over 1.5	70%	86%
Over 2.5	60%	43%
Over 3.5	30%	43%
Both teams scored	30%	43%
Clean sheets	30%	14%
Failed to score	40%	43%
Games	10	7

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Lecce	Venezia	League
Corners
Corners won	4.57	4.33
Corners conceded	3.29	4.17
Match total	7.86	8.50	9.38
Over 8.5	29% 2/7	33% 2/6
Over 9.5	29% 2/7	17% 1/6
Over 10.5	29% 2/7	17% 1/6
Cards
Cards	1.86	2.86
Opponent cards	0.86	1.14
Match total	2.72	4.00	3.43
Over 3.5	43% 3/7	57% 4/7
Over 4.5	14% 1/7	29% 2/7

	Lecce	Venezia	League
Corners
Corners won	4.20	4.56
Corners conceded	3.80	4.89
Match total	8.00	9.45	9.38
Over 8.5	30% 3/10	44% 4/9
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	33% 3/9
Over 10.5	20% 2/10	33% 3/9
Cards
Cards	2.00	2.30
Opponent cards	0.80	1.60
Match total	2.80	3.90	3.43
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.