Süper Lig Gameweek 18 Sun, Jan 24 · 12:00 Çorum Şehir Stadyumu, Çorum
Çorum FK 6th · 13 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Galatasaray 1st · 19 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel508 kmRest days7 · 4.8Matches / 14d1 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Çorum FK—%
Draw—%
Galatasaray—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Çorum)

Forecast from 9 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Çorum FK and Galatasaray. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Çorum FKGalatasaray
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
32 Current StrengthIn forecast 62
31 AttackIn forecast 57
36 DefenceIn forecast 55
70 Form indexContext 59
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Çorum FK

Attack—
Defense risk—

Galatasaray

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Çorum FKGalatasaray
2.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.13
1.63 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.38
1.12 xGVia Att/Def 2.29
1.42 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.93
+1.13 Goals minus xGContext -0.16
88% Scored inContext 88%
25% Clean sheetsContext 38%
12.25 ShotsContext 22.13
4.88 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.38
40% On target shareContext 33%
7.00 Shots in the boxContext 15.13
55% Box shareContext 69%
18% ConversionContext 10%
1.86 OffsidesContext 2.83
14.75 Shots allowedContext 10.75
4.75 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.86
4.50 BlocksContext 3.71
3.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.57
68% Save rateContext 78%
53% PossessionIn forecast 60%
466 PassesContext 475
403 Accurate passesContext 411
87% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.92 Team ratingContext 7.02
12.88 FoulsContext 11.75
9.38 Fouls sufferedContext 11.63
2.13 Yellow cardsContext 1.63
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.25
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
2.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90
1.63 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80
1.12 xGVia Att/Def 1.97
1.42 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.22
+1.13 Goals minus xGContext -0.07
88% Scored inContext 90%
25% Clean sheetsContext 30%
12.25 ShotsContext 19.20
4.88 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.50
40% On target shareContext 34%
7.00 Shots in the boxContext 13.20
55% Box shareContext 69%
18% ConversionContext 10%
1.86 OffsidesContext 3.43
14.75 Shots allowedContext 11.50
4.75 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.78
4.50 BlocksContext 3.56
3.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.78
68% Save rateContext 64%
53% PossessionIn forecast 57%
466 PassesContext 460
403 Accurate passesContext 397
87% Pass accuracyContext 86%
6.92 Team ratingContext 6.86
12.88 FoulsContext 11.60
9.38 Fouls sufferedContext 11.60
2.13 Yellow cardsContext 1.80
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.20
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 8 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Çorum FK
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 70 · 12 pts vs 9.6 for an average club · +4.4 vs expected
  • W16 OctH · Rizespor2–11.7 xPts
  • W11 OctA · Gazişehir Gaziantep3–01.3 xPts
  • L19 SepH · Alanyaspor1–21.8 xPts
  • W12 SepA · Samsunspor5–11.1 xPts
  • W6 SepH · Eyüpspor3–01.7 xPts
Galatasaray
Rest4.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel508 km1,700 km in 14d
Schedule load11%Low
Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected
  • W17 OctA · Genclerbirligi1–02.2 xPts
  • L13 OctH · Barcelona1–40.7 xPts
  • W9 OctH · Kasimpasa3–12.3 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Trabzonspor0–41.9 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Kocaelispor1–02.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Çorum FK Galatasaray
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 11
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 17 Jan4.8UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 19 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km508 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km1,700 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 12 / 2 / 2
Next matchdays after this one73.3

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Çorum FK Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-3 · vs Rizespor (H) 2–1, 16 Oct
1Marcos Felipe(G)
6H. Smolčić 2Ç. Söyüncü 5Alexandre Penetra
24A. Borza 10M. Diomande 3B. Özdemir 11G. Sazdağı
89A. Kyziridis 19J. Ramírez 7C. Ünder
Galatasaray Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Genclerbirligi (A) 1–0, 17 Oct
1U. Çakır(G)
17E. Elmalı 42A. Bardakcı 6D. Sánchez 7R. Sallai
8Gabriel Sara 99M. Lemina
53B. Yılmaz 83A. Batrakov 10L. Sané
45V. Osimhen

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Çorum FK Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Galatasaray Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Çorum FK · Home 1.50points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
2-0-2
Scored
1.50
Conceded
1.00
Galatasaray · Away 2.25points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
3-0-1
Scored
2.00
Conceded
1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

OpponentÇorum FKGalatasaray
Kasimpasa L 0–1 H W 3–1 H
Points0 of 3 · 0.00 per game3 of 3 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

0 Çorum FK wins1 draws0 Galatasaray wins
Goals per game2.00 – 2.00 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%
  • 14 Aug 2026Galatasaray2–2Çorum FK

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Çorum FKGalatasarayForecast
Scored per game 2.252.13
Conceded per game 1.631.38
Match goals 3.883.50
Over 1.5 88%75%
Over 2.5 88%75%
Over 3.5 38%75%
Both teams scored 63%50%
Clean sheets 25%38%
Failed to score 13%13%
Games88
Çorum FKGalatasarayForecast
Scored per game 2.251.90
Conceded per game 1.631.80
Match goals 3.883.70
Over 1.5 88%80%
Over 2.5 88%80%
Over 3.5 38%80%
Both teams scored 63%60%
Clean sheets 25%30%
Failed to score 13%10%
Games810

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Çorum FKGalatasarayLeague
Corners
Corners won3.867.38
Corners conceded6.003.13
Match total9.8610.519.12
Over 8.571% 5/763% 5/8
Over 9.557% 4/738% 3/8
Over 10.543% 3/738% 3/8
Cards
Cards2.251.88
Opponent cards1.382.00
Match total3.633.884.04
Over 3.550% 4/863% 5/8
Over 4.513% 1/838% 3/8
Çorum FKGalatasarayLeague
Corners
Corners won3.866.40
Corners conceded6.003.20
Match total9.869.609.12
Over 8.571% 5/750% 5/10
Over 9.557% 4/730% 3/10
Over 10.543% 3/730% 3/10
Cards
Cards2.252.00
Opponent cards1.381.80
Match total3.633.804.04
Over 3.550% 4/860% 6/10
Over 4.513% 1/840% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Çorum FK8 games · scored 18 · conceded 13
4 3 0-15
1 16-30
2 2 31-45
3 2 46-60
3 3 61-75
5 3 76-90
Galatasaray8 games · scored 17 · conceded 11
1 1 0-15
2 1 16-30
3 2 31-45
2 1 46-60
3 4 61-75
6 2 76-90
Çorum FK8 games · scored 18 · conceded 13
4 3 0-15
1 16-30
2 2 31-45
3 2 46-60
3 3 61-75
5 3 76-90
Galatasaray10 games · scored 19 · conceded 18
2 1 0-15
3 2 16-30
3 3 31-45
2 4 46-60
3 6 61-75
6 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Süper Lig

View all fixtures →
Fenerbahce Genclerbirligi Jan 2412:00 Goztepe Samsunspor Jan 2412:00 Alanyaspor Gazişehir Gaziantep Jan 2412:00 Trabzonspor Kasimpasa Jan 2412:00 Rizespor Konyaspor Jan 2412:00 Erzurumspor FK Amed Jan 2412:00 Eyüpspor Besiktas Jan 2412:00 Çorum FK Galatasaray Jan 2412:00 Kocaelispor Istanbul Basaksehir Jan 2412:00