Fenerbahce vs Genclerbirligi

Süper Lig Gameweek 18 Sun, Jan 24 · 12:00 Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, İstanbul

Fenerbahce 3rd · 16 pts · 8 played LDWWW

VS— Compare

Genclerbirligi 15th · 8 pts · 8 played LLLDL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel352 kmRest days3.8 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Fenerbahce—%

Draw—%

Genclerbirligi—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 9 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Fenerbahce

Genclerbirligi

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

62 Current StrengthIn forecast 15

75 AttackIn forecast 13

53 DefenceIn forecast 16

65 Form indexContext 7

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Fenerbahce

Attack—

Defense risk—

Genclerbirligi

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Fenerbahce

Genclerbirligi

2.75 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.88

0.75 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

2.72 xGVia Att/Def 0.95

1.16 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.83

+0.03 Goals minus xGContext -0.07

88% Scored inContext 63%

63% Clean sheetsContext 13%

18.57 ShotsContext 11.88

7.71 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.14

42% On target shareContext 31%

13.43 Shots in the boxContext 7.25

70% Box shareContext 58%

17% ConversionContext 7%

2.43 OffsidesContext 2.40

13.43 Shots allowedContext 17.25

5.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.88

3.29 BlocksContext 4.14

4.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.13

79% Save rateContext 75%

53% PossessionIn forecast 43%

474 PassesContext 327

414 Accurate passesContext 261

87% Pass accuracyContext 80%

7.13 Team ratingContext 6.81

13.00 FoulsContext 11.63

9.00 Fouls sufferedContext 11.38

1.38 Yellow cardsContext 1.75

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

2.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

2.57 xGVia Att/Def 1.13

1.34 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.68

-0.17 Goals minus xGContext +0.17

80% Scored inContext 70%

50% Clean sheetsContext 20%

16.11 ShotsContext 12.10

6.56 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.67

41% On target shareContext 35%

11.33 Shots in the boxContext 7.30

69% Box shareContext 58%

17% ConversionContext 11%

2.33 OffsidesContext 2.17

14.33 Shots allowedContext 15.80

6.25 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.20

3.56 BlocksContext 3.78

4.63 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.70

74% Save rateContext 76%

49% PossessionIn forecast 44%

429 PassesContext 327

369 Accurate passesContext 260

86% Pass accuracyContext 79%

7.00 Team ratingContext 6.84

12.89 FoulsContext 11.50

11.00 Fouls sufferedContext 12.70

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Fenerbahce DWWLW

Rest3.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 65 · 10 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · +0.5 vs expected

W17 OctH · Alanyaspor3–02.3 xPts
L14 OctA · Aston Villa0–60.8 xPts
W10 OctA · Rizespor3–01.9 xPts
W20 SepH · Eyüpspor8–02.5 xPts
D14 SepA · Gazişehir Gaziantep0–01.9 xPts

Genclerbirligi LLLDL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel352 km1,320 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 7 · 1 pts vs 8.1 for an average club · -3.8 vs expected

L17 OctH · Galatasaray0–10.6 xPts
D10 OctH · Amed2–21.0 xPts
L19 SepA · Istanbul Basaksehir0–41.0 xPts
L13 SepH · Kasimpasa1–21.4 xPts
L6 SepA · Trabzonspor0–50.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Fenerbahce	Genclerbirligi
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	3.8UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 20 Jan	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 17 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	352 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	1,320 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	2 / 2 / 2	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	3.3	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Fenerbahce Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Alanyaspor (H) 3–0, 17 Oct

31Ederson(G)

22M. Mercan 15N. Aké 37M. Škriniar 27Nélson Semedo

6M. Guendouzi 91N. Kanté

70O. Aydın 11M. Greenwood 17İ. Kahveci

9R. Lukaku

Genclerbirligi Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Galatasaray (H) 0–1, 17 Oct

70İ. Eğribayat(G)

2T. da Silva 6D. Goutas 90M. Baltacı 88F. Üzüm

42Ousmane Diabate

7Tiago Gouveia 10F. Tongya 48S. Uçan 83R. Luis

9Pedro Mendes

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Fenerbahce Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Genclerbirligi Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Fenerbahce · Home 2.25points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 3-0-1
Scored: 4.00
Conceded: 1.00

Genclerbirligi · Away 1.00points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-2
Scored: 0.33
Conceded: 3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 3 of 3 meetings

2 Fenerbahce wins0 draws1 Genclerbirligi wins

Goals per game2.33 – 1.33 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%

15 Aug 2026Genclerbirligi2–1Fenerbahce
9 Feb 2026Fenerbahce3–1Genclerbirligi
31 Aug 2025Genclerbirligi1–3Fenerbahce

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Fenerbahce	Genclerbirligi
Scored per game	2.75	0.88
Conceded per game	0.75	2.00
Match goals	3.50	2.88
Over 1.5	88%	75%
Over 2.5	75%	63%
Over 3.5	25%	38%
Both teams scored	38%	50%
Clean sheets	63%	13%
Failed to score	13%	38%
Games	8	8

	Fenerbahce	Genclerbirligi
Scored per game	2.40	1.30
Conceded per game	1.20	1.80
Match goals	3.60	3.10
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	70%	70%
Over 3.5	30%	40%
Both teams scored	40%	50%
Clean sheets	50%	20%
Failed to score	20%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Fenerbahce	Genclerbirligi	League
Corners
Corners won	6.29	4.63
Corners conceded	3.14	6.50
Match total	9.43	11.13	9.12
Over 8.5	57% 4/7	75% 6/8
Over 9.5	43% 3/7	50% 4/8
Over 10.5	29% 2/7	50% 4/8
Cards
Cards	1.38	1.75
Opponent cards	1.38	2.13
Match total	2.76	3.88	4.04
Over 3.5	25% 2/8	50% 4/8
Over 4.5	25% 2/8	38% 3/8

	Fenerbahce	Genclerbirligi	League
Corners
Corners won	5.22	4.50
Corners conceded	4.22	6.10
Match total	9.44	10.60	9.12
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	44% 4/9	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	1.90	1.90
Opponent cards	1.40	2.80
Match total	3.30	4.70	4.04
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.