Süper Lig Gameweek 18 Sun, Jan 24 · 12:00 Eyüp Stadı, İstanbul
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Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel0 kmRest days7 · 2.8Matches / 14d1 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Eyüpspor—%
Draw—%
Besiktas—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 9 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Eyüpspor and Besiktas. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

EyüpsporBesiktas
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
13 Current StrengthIn forecast 50
9 AttackIn forecast 60
10 DefenceIn forecast 48
5 Form indexContext 62
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Eyüpspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Besiktas

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

EyüpsporBesiktas
0.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00
2.75 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.25
0.71 xGVia Att/Def 1.70
2.00 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.09
-0.46 Goals minus xGContext +0.30
13% Scored inContext 75%
0% Clean sheetsContext 25%
11.00 ShotsContext 16.57
3.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.14
30% On target shareContext 37%
6.71 Shots in the boxContext 9.29
58% Box shareContext 56%
2% ConversionContext 11%
1.33 OffsidesContext 3.43
13.38 Shots allowedContext 9.57
5.63 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.43
3.75 BlocksContext 3.40
3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00
53% Save rateContext 68%
50% PossessionIn forecast 61%
397 PassesContext 488
338 Accurate passesContext 422
85% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.52 Team ratingContext 6.98
10.00 FoulsContext 13.71
16.00 Fouls sufferedContext 15.00
1.38 Yellow cardsContext 2.50
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.20
2.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40
0.74 xGVia Att/Def 2.06
1.78 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.27
+0.16 Goals minus xGContext +0.14
30% Scored inContext 70%
10% Clean sheetsContext 10%
10.40 ShotsContext 16.75
3.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.25
33% On target shareContext 37%
5.78 Shots in the boxContext 10.88
51% Box shareContext 64%
9% ConversionContext 14%
1.50 OffsidesContext 3.00
13.80 Shots allowedContext 11.25
5.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50
3.90 BlocksContext 3.38
3.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.88
57% Save rateContext 64%
46% PossessionIn forecast 59%
368 PassesContext 481
308 Accurate passesContext 410
84% Pass accuracyContext 85%
6.61 Team ratingContext 6.97
10.10 FoulsContext 11.44
14.70 Fouls sufferedContext 15.22
1.40 Yellow cardsContext 2.20
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Eyüpspor
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 5 · 0 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · -4.6 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Erzurumspor FK0–20.6 xPts
  • L12 OctH · Goztepe0–41.2 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Fenerbahce0–80.4 xPts
  • L12 SepH · Rizespor0–21.3 xPts
  • L6 SepA · Çorum FK0–31.1 xPts
Besiktas
Rest2.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km656 km in 14d
Schedule load8%Low
Form 62 · 9 pts vs 7.6 for an average club · +1.0 vs expected
  • L19 OctA · Trabzonspor0–21.5 xPts
  • W15 OctA · 1899 Hoffenheim3–21.3 xPts
  • W11 OctH · Kocaelispor2–12.2 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Amed2–31.4 xPts
  • W17 SepH · Marseille4–11.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Eyüpspor Besiktas
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 8
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 17 Jan2.8UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 21 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km0 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km656 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 12 / 2 / 2
Next matchdays after this one74.3

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Eyüpspor Last XI · not confirmed
5-3-2 · vs Erzurumspor FK (A) 0–2, 17 Oct
1E. Bilgin(G)
21S. Giordano 33Z. Jules 4S. Yaşar 5J. El Yamiq 77K. Michalak
15Charles-Andre Raux Yao 28T. İlter 88C. Massanga
9Y. Barası 98B. Boutobba
Besiktas Last XI · not confirmed
4-1-4-1 · vs Trabzonspor (A) 0–2, 19 Oct
1A. Nübel(G)
33R. Yılmaz 53E. Topçu 12E. Agbadou 62A. Murillo
6S. Özcan
19L. Trossard 21F. Miretti 15Junior Olaitan 18V. Černý
28D. Vlahović

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Eyüpspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Besiktas Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Eyüpspor · Home 0.75points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-0-3
Scored
0.50
Conceded
2.00
Besiktas · Away 0.75points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
1-0-3
Scored
1.00
Conceded
1.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

0 Eyüpspor wins1 draws4 Besiktas wins
Goals per game1.00 – 2.00 Over 2.580% Both scored80% Clean sheets0% · 20%
  • 16 Aug 2026Besiktas1–0Eyüpspor
  • 26 Jan 2026Eyüpspor2–2Besiktas
  • 17 Aug 2025Besiktas2–1Eyüpspor
  • 21 Feb 2025Eyüpspor1–3Besiktas
  • 22 Sep 2024Besiktas2–1Eyüpspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goal timing

Eyüpspor8 games · scored 2 · conceded 22
5 0-15
5 16-30
1 2 31-45
6 46-60
61-75
1 4 76-90
Besiktas8 games · scored 16 · conceded 10
1 1 0-15
4 4 16-30
3 31-45
2 2 46-60
3 2 61-75
3 1 76-90
Eyüpspor10 games · scored 9 · conceded 25
5 0-15
3 5 16-30
3 2 31-45
6 46-60
1 61-75
3 6 76-90
Besiktas10 games · scored 22 · conceded 14
2 1 0-15
3 5 16-30
3 31-45
5 2 46-60
4 4 61-75
5 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.