Goztepe vs Samsunspor – 24 Jan 2027

Süper Lig Gameweek 18 Sun, Jan 24 · 12:00 Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı, İzmir

Goztepe 13th · 9 pts · 8 played LDDWW

VS— Compare

Samsunspor 17th · 4 pts · 8 played LLLLL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel847 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Goztepe—%

Draw—%

Samsunspor—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (İzmir)

Forecast from 9 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Team strength

Goztepe

Samsunspor

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

29 Current StrengthIn forecast 23

39 AttackIn forecast 15

36 DefenceIn forecast 18

37 Form indexContext 4

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Goztepe

Attack—

Defense risk—

Samsunspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Goztepe

Samsunspor

2.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.88

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.38

1.69 xGVia Att/Def 0.94

1.58 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.56

+0.44 Goals minus xGContext -0.06

88% Scored inContext 50%

13% Clean sheetsContext 13%

15.25 ShotsContext 12.38

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.43

36% On target shareContext 24%

11.25 Shots in the boxContext 7.25

73% Box shareContext 55%

14% ConversionContext 7%

2.50 OffsidesContext 2.20

15.38 Shots allowedContext 15.50

4.25 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.13

5.43 BlocksContext 3.88

2.71 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.88

61% Save rateContext 63%

41% PossessionIn forecast 55%

278 PassesContext 473

198 Accurate passesContext 399

71% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.74 Team ratingContext 6.61

14.88 FoulsContext 12.75

8.75 Fouls sufferedContext 12.00

2.63 Yellow cardsContext 1.00

0.13 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.20

1.77 xGVia Att/Def 0.94

1.50 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.81

+0.13 Goals minus xGContext +0.06

80% Scored inContext 50%

10% Clean sheetsContext 20%

16.30 ShotsContext 12.00

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.67

34% On target shareContext 28%

12.30 Shots in the boxContext 7.10

74% Box shareContext 56%

12% ConversionContext 8%

2.50 OffsidesContext 2.00

14.80 Shots allowedContext 16.50

4.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00

4.78 BlocksContext 4.00

2.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.90

61% Save rateContext 65%

40% PossessionIn forecast 56%

266 PassesContext 461

190 Accurate passesContext 385

71% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.74 Team ratingContext 6.66

15.40 FoulsContext 12.50

8.90 Fouls sufferedContext 12.50

2.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.30

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Goztepe LDDWW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 37 · 8 pts vs 9.5 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected

W18 OctA · Kocaelispor2–11.4 xPts
W12 OctA · Eyüpspor4–01.6 xPts
D20 SepH · Rizespor2–21.4 xPts
D12 SepA · Alanyaspor2–21.2 xPts
L7 SepH · Gazişehir Gaziantep2–41.8 xPts

Samsunspor LLLLL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel847 km1,238 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 4 · 0 pts vs 8.8 for an average club · -6.4 vs expected

L18 OctA · Kasimpasa1–41.1 xPts
L10 OctH · Trabzonspor0–31.2 xPts
L20 SepA · Erzurumspor FK0–11.1 xPts
L12 SepH · Çorum FK1–51.7 xPts
L6 SepA · Kocaelispor0–11.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Goztepe	Samsunspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 17 Jan	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 17 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	847 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	1,238 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 1	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Goztepe Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-1-2 · vs Kocaelispor (A) 2–1, 18 Oct

1A. Özçimen(G)

26M. Bokele 19J. Sonko Sundberg 4T. Altıkardeş

12R. Akonnor 20N. Miroshi 5Rhaldney 2A. Kurtulan

8A. Antunes

9Juan 7André Henrique

Samsunspor Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Kasimpasa (A) 1–4, 18 Oct

1O. Kocuk(G)

17L. Tómasson 34G. Guarino 22Y. Çift 2J. Mendes

4Elliot Watt 19O. Øhlenschlæger

11E. Kılınç 20Y. Kayan 10T. Coulibaly

18M. Bayo

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Goztepe Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Samsunspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Goztepe · Home 0.33points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-2
Scored: 1.33
Conceded: 2.33

Samsunspor · Away 0.75points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-3
Scored: 0.75
Conceded: 1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Goztepe	Samsunspor
Kocaelispor	W 2–1 A	L 0–1 A
Rizespor	D 2–2 H	W 2–0 A
Points	4 of 6 · 2.00 per game	3 of 6 · 1.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

1 Goztepe wins2 draws2 Samsunspor wins

Goals per game2.00 – 2.40 Over 2.580% Both scored60% Clean sheets20% · 20%

17 Aug 2026Samsunspor3–3Goztepe
16 May 2026Samsunspor3–0Goztepe
21 Dec 2025Goztepe2–0Samsunspor
3 Mar 2025Goztepe2–2Samsunspor
28 Sep 2024Samsunspor4–3Goztepe

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Goztepe	Samsunspor
Scored per game	2.13	0.88
Conceded per game	2.00	2.38
Match goals	4.13	3.25
Over 1.5	88%	75%
Over 2.5	88%	50%
Over 3.5	75%	38%
Both teams scored	75%	38%
Clean sheets	13%	13%
Failed to score	13%	50%
Games	8	8

	Goztepe	Samsunspor
Scored per game	1.90	1.00
Conceded per game	2.00	2.20
Match goals	3.90	3.20
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	90%	60%
Over 3.5	60%	30%
Both teams scored	70%	30%
Clean sheets	10%	20%
Failed to score	20%	50%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Goztepe	Samsunspor	League
Corners
Corners won	4.88	4.00
Corners conceded	4.38	5.63
Match total	9.26	9.63	9.12
Over 8.5	63% 5/8	63% 5/8
Over 9.5	50% 4/8	50% 4/8
Over 10.5	50% 4/8	38% 3/8
Cards
Cards	2.75	1.00
Opponent cards	2.00	2.00
Match total	4.75	3.00	4.04
Over 3.5	88% 7/8	38% 3/8
Over 4.5	63% 5/8	25% 2/8

	Goztepe	Samsunspor	League
Corners
Corners won	5.22	4.11
Corners conceded	4.56	5.22
Match total	9.78	9.33	9.12
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	56% 5/9
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	44% 4/9
Over 10.5	56% 5/9	33% 3/9
Cards
Cards	2.80	1.30
Opponent cards	2.10	2.20
Match total	4.90	3.50	4.04
Over 3.5	90% 9/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.