Eintracht Frankfurt
Attack—
Defense risk—
Eintracht Frankfurt
7th · 27 pts · 18 played
WDDLD
1–3Full time
1899 Hoffenheim
3rd · 33 pts · 17 played
LWDWW
Our take
Eintracht Frankfurt were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Eintracht Frankfurt had 7.8 days of rest, 1899 Hoffenheim 7 and had to travel 97 km.
Away travel97 kmRest days7.8 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Eintracht Frankfurt45%
Draw26%
1899 Hoffenheim30%
Eintracht Frankfurt44%
Draw27%
1899 Hoffenheim29%
Eintracht Frankfurt45%
Draw26%
1899 Hoffenheim30%
Eintracht Frankfurt37%
Draw26%
1899 Hoffenheim37%
Eintracht Frankfurt44%
Draw27%
1899 Hoffenheim29%
Over 2.5 56%
Both score 59%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Frankfurt am Main)
No weather data yet
Referee · GermanySven Jablonski
- Cards per match 4.0
- Penalties per match 0.18
- Matches 96
Team strength
Eintracht Frankfurt1899 Hoffenheim
59
L90 StrengthIn forecast
58
48
Current StrengthIn forecast
49
54
AttackIn forecast
46
37
DefenceIn forecast
43
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysis1899 Hoffenheim
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Eintracht Frankfurt1899 Hoffenheim
2.11
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.06
2.17
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.24
1.32
xGVia Att/Def
1.59
1.39
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.32
+0.79
Goals minus xGContext
+0.47
89%
Scored inContext
82%
17%
Clean sheetsContext
24%
12.00
ShotsContext
13.06
4.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.88
38%
On target shareContext
37%
8.33
Shots in the boxContext
9.25
70%
Box shareContext
67%
18%
ConversionContext
16%
1.69
OffsidesContext
2.21
11.94
Shots allowedContext
11.24
4.88
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.00
2.50
BlocksContext
3.38
2.63
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.27
53%
Save rateContext
77%
53%
PossessionIn forecast
54%
479
PassesContext
462
396
Accurate passesContext
373
83%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.78
Team ratingContext
6.91
10.50
FoulsContext
14.59
9.33
Fouls sufferedContext
9.29
1.72
Yellow cardsContext
1.82
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.40
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.30
2.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.90
1.06
xGVia Att/Def
1.61
1.92
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.24
+0.34
Goals minus xGContext
+0.69
80%
Scored inContext
80%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
9.40
ShotsContext
13.20
3.80
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.90
40%
On target shareContext
37%
6.90
Shots in the boxContext
9.10
73%
Box shareContext
66%
15%
ConversionContext
17%
2.71
OffsidesContext
2.50
14.20
Shots allowedContext
11.70
5.20
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.90
3.90
BlocksContext
3.56
2.80
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.33
54%
Save rateContext
83%
45%
PossessionIn forecast
55%
408
PassesContext
488
323
Accurate passesContext
396
79%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.64
Team ratingContext
6.98
12.10
FoulsContext
14.20
8.20
Fouls sufferedContext
9.40
1.70
Yellow cardsContext
1.70
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Eintracht Frankfurt
Rest7.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km963 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
1899 Hoffenheim
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel97 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
1899 Hoffenheim |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.8Bundesliga 2025-2026, 16 Jan | 7Bundesliga 2025-2026, 17 Jan |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 97 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 963 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 2 / 3 | 1 / 2 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 3.2 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Eintracht Frankfurt
Confirmed XI
40Kauã Santos(G)
5A. Amenda
4R. Koch
34P. Collins
21N. Brown
15E. Skhiri
8F. Chaïbi
13R. Kristensen
42C. Uzun
20R. Doan
25A. Kalimuendo
1899 Hoffenheim
Confirmed XI
1O. Baumann(G)
13Bernardo
21A. Hajdari
5O. Kabak
22A. Prass
18W. Burger
7L. Avdullahu
34V. Coufal
11F. Asllani
27A. Kramarić
33M. Moerstedt
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Eintracht Frankfurt
Scores -0.03 · concedes 0.00 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
1899 Hoffenheim
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Eintracht Frankfurt+0.1 pp
- Draw-0.1 pp
- 1899 Hoffenheim-0.1 pp
Home / Away this season
Eintracht Frankfurt · Home
1.75points per game · 8 home games
- W-D-L
- 4-2-2
- Scored
- 1.88
- Conceded
- 1.50
1899 Hoffenheim · Away
1.88points per game · 8 away games
- W-D-L
- 4-3-1
- Scored
- 1.75
- Conceded
- 1.13
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 15 this season
| Opponent | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1899 Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | L 2–3 A | D 0–0 A |
| Borussia Dortmund | D 3–3 H | L 0–2 A |
| Hamburger SV | D 1–1 A | W 4–1 H |
| FC Augsburg | W 1–0 H | W 3–0 H |
| RB Leipzig | L 0–6 A | W 3–1 H |
| VfL Wolfsburg | D 1–1 H | W 3–2 A |
| 1.FC Köln | W 4–3 A | L 0–1 H |
| FSV Mainz 05 | W 1–0 H | D 1–1 A |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | D 1–1 A | W 3–1 H |
| FC St. Pauli | W 2–0 H | W 3–0 A |
| SC Freiburg | D 2–2 A | D 1–1 A |
| Bayern München | L 0–3 H | L 1–4 H |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | W 6–4 A | W 5–1 H |
| Union Berlin | L 3–4 H | W 4–2 A |
| Bayer Leverkusen | L 1–3 A | W 1–0 HW 2–1 A |
| Points | 20 of 45 · 1.33 per game | 33 of 48 · 2.06 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 9 of 9 meetings
5 Eintracht Frankfurt wins2 draws2 1899 Hoffenheim wins
Goals per game2.56 – 1.78
Over 2.5100%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 30 Aug 20251899 Hoffenheim1–3Eintracht Frankfurt
- 26 Jan 20251899 Hoffenheim2–2Eintracht Frankfurt
- 31 Aug 2024Eintracht Frankfurt3–11899 Hoffenheim
- 10 Mar 2024Eintracht Frankfurt3–11899 Hoffenheim
- 21 Oct 20231899 Hoffenheim1–3Eintracht Frankfurt
- 6 May 20231899 Hoffenheim3–1Eintracht Frankfurt
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1899 Hoffenheim | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.11 | 2.06 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.17 | 1.24 | |
| Match goals | 4.28 | 3.29 | 2.91 |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 82% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 65% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 61% | 47% | |
| Both teams scored | 72% | 65% | 59% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 24% | |
| Failed to score | 11% | 18% | |
| Games | 18 | 17 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1899 Hoffenheim | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.70 | 2.30 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.10 | 0.90 | |
| Match goals | 3.80 | 3.20 | 2.91 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 59% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1899 Hoffenheim | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.31 | 4.82 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.75 | 5.06 | |
| Match total | 8.06 | 9.88 | 9.63 |
| Over 8.5 | 44% 7/16 | 71% 12/17 | |
| Over 9.5 | 38% 6/16 | 59% 10/17 | |
| Over 10.5 | 19% 3/16 | 41% 7/17 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.72 | 1.82 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.06 | 1.47 | |
| Match total | 3.78 | 3.29 | 3.93 |
| Over 3.5 | 56% 10/18 | 47% 8/17 | |
| Over 4.5 | 39% 7/18 | 18% 3/17 | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1899 Hoffenheim | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.88 | 4.20 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.38 | 4.10 | |
| Match total | 9.26 | 8.30 | 9.63 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 4/8 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 4/8 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 25% 2/8 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.70 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.70 | 1.40 | |
| Match total | 3.40 | 3.10 | 3.93 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Sven Jablonski Germany · 96 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.89league 3.78
Red cards0.11league 0.19
Cards 5+41%league 39%
Fouls20.1league 21.2
Penalties0.18league 0.31
Home wins43%league 45%
Eintracht Frankfurt8 with this referee
Record2-5-1
Cards · opp.1.6 · 2.3
Pens for · against1 · 0
- L21 Sep 25H · Union Berlin3–43
- W14 Jan 25H · SC Freiburg4–11
- D10 Feb 24H · VfL Bochum1–12
- W4 Nov 23A · Union Berlin3–01
- D15 Apr 23H · Borussia Mönchengladbach1–11
1899 Hoffenheim8 with this referee
Record3-3-2
Cards · opp.2.3 · 1.5
Pens for · against0 · 0
- W19 Oct 25A · FC St. Pauli3–03
- W12 Apr 25H · FSV Mainz 052–04
- D8 Dec 24H · SC Freiburg1–11
- L19 Aug 23H · SC Freiburg1–20
- L22 Oct 22H · Bayern München0–23
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Eintracht Frankfurt18 games · scored 38 · conceded 39
4
7
0-15
7
4
16-30
8
5
31-45
8
5
46-60
4
5
61-75
7
13
76-90
1899 Hoffenheim17 games · scored 35 · conceded 21
4
4
0-15
7
3
16-30
9
2
31-45
5
5
46-60
4
3
61-75
6
4
76-90
Eintracht Frankfurt10 games · scored 14 · conceded 25
3
3
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
31-45
1
5
46-60
2
6
61-75
5
6
76-90
1899 Hoffenheim10 games · scored 23 · conceded 9
3
2
0-15
6
16-30
7
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
