Everton vs Crystal Palace – 22 Aug 2026

Premier League Gameweek 1 Sat, Aug 22 · 15:00 Goodison Park, Liverpool

Everton

2–0Full time

Crystal Palace

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Everton were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Crystal Palace. Everton had 90 days of rest, Crystal Palace 90 and had to travel 286 km. Conditions were neutral.

Away travel286 kmRest days90 · 90Matches / 14d0 · 0

Everton42%

Draw26%

Crystal Palace33%

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.27

Everton44%

Draw26%

Crystal Palace30%

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.20

Everton42%

Draw26%

Crystal Palace32%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.25

Everton35%

Draw26%

Crystal Palace40%

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.42

Everton42%

Draw25%

Crystal Palace33%

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.30

Over 2.5 52% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Liverpool)

18°CPartly cloudy

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 17 km/h
Humidity 57%

RefereePaul Tierney

Cards per match 3.9
Penalties per match 0.17
Matches 125

Team strength

Everton

Crystal Palace

67 L90 StrengthIn forecast 67

67 Current StrengthIn forecast 64

61 AttackIn forecast 64

66 DefenceIn forecast 54

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Everton

Attack—

Defense risk—

Crystal Palace

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Everton

Crystal Palace

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20

1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70

1.31 xGVia Att/Def 1.59

1.59 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.38

+0.19 Goals minus xGContext -0.39

80% Scored inContext 70%

20% Clean sheetsContext 20%

11.50 ShotsContext 11.30

4.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.20

42% On target shareContext 37%

8.10 Shots in the boxContext 8.75

71% Box shareContext 71%

13% ConversionContext 11%

2.14 OffsidesContext 1.86

15.20 Shots allowedContext 13.40

4.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.90

5.56 BlocksContext 4.00

2.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.67

60% Save rateContext 67%

44% PossessionIn forecast 43%

383 PassesContext 347

309 Accurate passesContext 270

81% Pass accuracyContext 78%

6.86 Team ratingContext 6.82

11.40 FoulsContext 9.60

9.10 Fouls sufferedContext 10.60

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.70

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Everton

Rest90 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Crystal Palace

Rest90 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel286 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Everton	Crystal Palace
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	90Premier League 2025-2026, 24 May	90Premier League 2025-2026, 24 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	286 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	7	6.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Everton Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1J. Pickford(G)

16V. Mykolenko 4J. Branthwaite 6J. Tarkowski 34M. Röhl

30H. Hackney 45H. Armstrong

19T. George 8K. Dewsbury-Hall 10I. Ndiaye

11T. Barry

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Crystal Palace Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

1D. Henderson(G)

4C. Riad 26Chris Richards 6J. Canvot

3T. Mitchell 18Daichi Kamada 20A. Wharton 2D. Muñoz

9E. Nketiah 11D. McNeil

14J. Mateta

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Everton Absences are shown before kick-off

Crystal Palace Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Everton-0.3 pp
Draw-0.1 pp
Crystal Palace+0.4 pp

Home / Away this season

Everton · Home No home games yet this season.

Crystal Palace · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 10 of 12 meetings

6 Everton wins3 draws1 Crystal Palace wins

Goals per game1.90 – 1.30 Over 2.580% Both scored80% Clean sheets20% · 10%

10 May 2026Crystal Palace2–2Everton
5 Oct 2025Everton2–1Crystal Palace
15 Feb 2025Crystal Palace1–2Everton
28 Sep 2024Everton2–1Crystal Palace
19 Feb 2024Everton1–1Crystal Palace
11 Nov 2023Crystal Palace2–3Everton

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Everton	Crystal Palace	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	52%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	55%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Everton	Crystal Palace	Forecast
Scored per game	1.50	1.10
Conceded per game	1.70	1.70
Match goals	3.20	2.80	2.74
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	70%	80%	52%
Over 3.5	40%	40%
Both teams scored	60%	60%	55%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Failed to score	20%	40%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Everton	Crystal Palace	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	8.50
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	2.50
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Everton	Crystal Palace	League
Corners
Corners won	4.50	3.50
Corners conceded	5.40	6.90
Match total	9.90	10.40	8.50
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	1.90	1.70
Opponent cards	1.00	1.60
Match total	2.90	3.30	2.50
Over 3.5	30% 3/10	40% 4/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Paul Tierney 125 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.81league 2.50

Red cards0.12league 0.00

Cards 5+41%league 0%

Fouls22.1league 21.0

Penalties0.17league 0.00

Home wins38%league 100%

Everton7 with this referee

Record1-1-5 Cards · opp.2.7 · 1.7 Pens for · against0 · 2

L15 Apr 24A · Chelsea0–64
D19 Feb 24H · Crystal Palace1–10
W2 Dec 23A · Nottingham Forest1–00
L15 Oct 22A · Tottenham0–24
L26 Feb 22H · Manchester City0–13

Crystal Palace13 with this referee

Record5-6-2 Cards · opp.1.7 · 1.6 Pens for · against3 · 0

L6 Apr 24H · Manchester City2–41
D19 Feb 24A · Everton1–12
L20 Jan 24A · Arsenal0–50
D16 Dec 23A · Manchester City2–21
D23 Sep 23H · Fulham0–03

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.