Galatasaray vs Rizespor

Süper Lig Gameweek 14 Fri, Dec 4 · 17:00 Rams Global Stadium, İstanbul

Galatasaray 1st · 19 pts · 8 played WWLWW

VS— Compare

Rizespor 12th · 10 pts · 8 played LWDLL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel970 kmRest days4 · 7Matches / 14d3 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Galatasaray—%

Draw—%

Rizespor—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 19 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Galatasaray

Rizespor

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

62 Current StrengthIn forecast 22

57 AttackIn forecast 22

55 DefenceIn forecast 35

59 Form indexContext 17

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Galatasaray

Attack—

Defense risk—

Rizespor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Galatasaray

Rizespor

2.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.38 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.38

2.29 xGVia Att/Def 1.27

0.93 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.90

-0.16 Goals minus xGContext -0.27

88% Scored inContext 63%

38% Clean sheetsContext 25%

22.13 ShotsContext 15.00

7.38 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.75

33% On target shareContext 32%

15.13 Shots in the boxContext 8.00

69% Box shareContext 57%

10% ConversionContext 7%

2.83 OffsidesContext 1.67

10.75 Shots allowedContext 13.50

3.86 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.25

3.71 BlocksContext 4.43

2.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.13

78% Save rateContext 74%

60% PossessionIn forecast 54%

475 PassesContext 434

411 Accurate passesContext 367

87% Pass accuracyContext 85%

7.02 Team ratingContext 6.83

11.75 FoulsContext 10.25

11.63 Fouls sufferedContext 12.25

1.63 Yellow cardsContext 1.75

0.25 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70

1.97 xGVia Att/Def 1.36

1.22 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.03

-0.07 Goals minus xGContext -0.36

90% Scored inContext 60%

30% Clean sheetsContext 20%

19.20 ShotsContext 15.50

6.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.70

34% On target shareContext 30%

13.20 Shots in the boxContext 8.80

69% Box shareContext 59%

10% ConversionContext 7%

3.43 OffsidesContext 1.71

11.50 Shots allowedContext 14.10

4.78 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.80

3.56 BlocksContext 4.44

2.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.40

64% Save rateContext 71%

57% PossessionIn forecast 54%

460 PassesContext 433

397 Accurate passesContext 367

86% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.86 Team ratingContext 6.81

11.60 FoulsContext 9.90

11.60 Fouls sufferedContext 11.60

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.50

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Galatasaray WLWLW

Rest4 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load15%Low

Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected

W17 OctA · Genclerbirligi1–02.2 xPts
L13 OctH · Barcelona1–40.7 xPts
W9 OctH · Kasimpasa3–12.3 xPts
L19 SepA · Trabzonspor0–41.9 xPts
W13 SepH · Kocaelispor1–02.4 xPts

Rizespor LWDLL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel970 km693 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 17 · 4 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -2.5 vs expected

L16 OctA · Çorum FK1–21.0 xPts
L10 OctH · Fenerbahce0–30.9 xPts
D20 SepA · Goztepe2–21.3 xPts
W12 SepA · Eyüpspor2–01.5 xPts
L7 SepH · Alanyaspor0–11.8 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Galatasaray	Rizespor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 15	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4Süper Lig 2026-2027, 30 Nov	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 27 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	970 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	693 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 4	1 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	4.1	8.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Galatasaray Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Genclerbirligi (A) 1–0, 17 Oct

1U. Çakır(G)

17E. Elmalı 42A. Bardakcı 6D. Sánchez 7R. Sallai

8Gabriel Sara 99M. Lemina

53B. Yılmaz 83A. Batrakov 10L. Sané

45V. Osimhen

Rizespor Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Çorum FK (A) 1–2, 16 Oct

75Y. Fofana(G)

17Z. Ariss 93M. Sagnan 21S. Bakayoko 54M. Pala

14T. Antalyalı

7V. Mihăilă 20Q. Laçi 10I. Olawoyin 11A. Awokoya-Mebude

9A. Sowe

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Galatasaray Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Rizespor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Galatasaray · Home 2.50points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 3-1-0
Scored: 2.25
Conceded: 1.25

Rizespor · Away 2.00points per game · 5 away games

W-D-L: 3-1-1
Scored: 1.60
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Galatasaray	Rizespor
Goztepe	W 3–2 H	D 2–2 A
Çorum FK	D 2–2 H	L 1–2 A
Points	4 of 6 · 2.00 per game	1 of 6 · 0.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

6 Galatasaray wins0 draws0 Rizespor wins

Goals per game3.33 – 0.67 Over 2.583% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 0%

8 Feb 2026Rizespor0–3Galatasaray
30 Aug 2025Galatasaray3–1Rizespor
17 Feb 2025Rizespor1–2Galatasaray
14 Sep 2024Galatasaray5–0Rizespor
8 Mar 2024Galatasaray6–2Rizespor
28 Oct 2023Rizespor0–1Galatasaray

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Galatasaray	Rizespor
Scored per game	2.13	1.00
Conceded per game	1.38	1.38
Match goals	3.50	2.38
Over 1.5	75%	75%
Over 2.5	75%	50%
Over 3.5	75%	13%
Both teams scored	50%	38%
Clean sheets	38%	25%
Failed to score	13%	38%
Games	8	8

	Galatasaray	Rizespor
Scored per game	1.90	1.00
Conceded per game	1.80	1.70
Match goals	3.70	2.70
Over 1.5	80%	80%
Over 2.5	80%	60%
Over 3.5	80%	30%
Both teams scored	60%	40%
Clean sheets	30%	20%
Failed to score	10%	40%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Galatasaray	Rizespor	League
Corners
Corners won	7.38	5.43
Corners conceded	3.13	3.86
Match total	10.51	9.29	9.12
Over 8.5	63% 5/8	43% 3/7
Over 9.5	38% 3/8	29% 2/7
Over 10.5	38% 3/8	29% 2/7
Cards
Cards	1.88	1.88
Opponent cards	2.00	1.38
Match total	3.88	3.26	4.04
Over 3.5	63% 5/8	50% 4/8
Over 4.5	38% 3/8	25% 2/8

	Galatasaray	Rizespor	League
Corners
Corners won	6.40	5.78
Corners conceded	3.20	3.67
Match total	9.60	9.45	9.12
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	56% 5/9
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	33% 3/9
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	33% 3/9
Cards
Cards	2.00	1.60
Opponent cards	1.80	1.40
Match total	3.80	3.00	4.04
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.