Galatasaray vs Trabzonspor

Süper Lig Gameweek 23 Sun, Feb 28 · 12:00 Rams Global Stadium, İstanbul

Galatasaray 1st · 19 pts · 8 played WWLWW

VS— Compare

Trabzonspor 4th · 16 pts · 8 played WLWWW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel904 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Galatasaray—%

Draw—%

Trabzonspor—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 13 Feb

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Team strength

Galatasaray

Trabzonspor

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

62 Current StrengthIn forecast 46

57 AttackIn forecast 54

55 DefenceIn forecast 48

59 Form indexContext 78

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Galatasaray

Attack—

Defense risk—

Trabzonspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Galatasaray

Trabzonspor

2.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25

1.38 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.63

2.29 xGVia Att/Def 1.58

0.93 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.46

-0.16 Goals minus xGContext +0.67

88% Scored inContext 88%

38% Clean sheetsContext 50%

22.13 ShotsContext 13.25

7.38 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.63

33% On target shareContext 50%

15.13 Shots in the boxContext 10.00

69% Box shareContext 70%

10% ConversionContext 17%

2.83 OffsidesContext 2.57

10.75 Shots allowedContext 13.50

3.86 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

3.71 BlocksContext 2.86

2.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.38

78% Save rateContext 88%

60% PossessionIn forecast 53%

475 PassesContext 430

411 Accurate passesContext 365

87% Pass accuracyContext 85%

7.02 Team ratingContext 7.12

11.75 FoulsContext 10.38

11.63 Fouls sufferedContext 16.13

1.63 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.25 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.80

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

1.97 xGVia Att/Def 1.58

1.22 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.46

-0.07 Goals minus xGContext +0.22

90% Scored inContext 70%

30% Clean sheetsContext 40%

19.20 ShotsContext 13.25

6.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.63

34% On target shareContext 50%

13.20 Shots in the boxContext 10.00

69% Box shareContext 70%

10% ConversionContext 17%

3.43 OffsidesContext 2.57

11.50 Shots allowedContext 13.50

4.78 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

3.56 BlocksContext 3.22

2.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.38

64% Save rateContext 88%

57% PossessionIn forecast 52%

460 PassesContext 430

397 Accurate passesContext 365

86% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.86 Team ratingContext 7.12

11.60 FoulsContext 10.00

11.60 Fouls sufferedContext 16.30

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.30

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Galatasaray WLWLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km394 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected

W17 OctA · Genclerbirligi1–02.2 xPts
L13 OctH · Barcelona1–40.7 xPts
W9 OctH · Kasimpasa3–12.3 xPts
L19 SepA · Trabzonspor0–41.9 xPts
W13 SepH · Kocaelispor1–02.4 xPts

Trabzonspor WLWWW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel904 km1,187 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 78 · 12 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · +4.9 vs expected

W19 OctH · Besiktas2–01.3 xPts
W10 OctA · Samsunspor3–01.6 xPts
W19 SepH · Galatasaray4–00.9 xPts
L12 SepA · Konyaspor0–11.5 xPts
W6 SepH · Genclerbirligi5–01.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Galatasaray	Trabzonspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 21 Feb	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 21 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	904 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	394 km	1,187 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Galatasaray Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Genclerbirligi (A) 1–0, 17 Oct

1U. Çakır(G)

17E. Elmalı 42A. Bardakcı 6D. Sánchez 7R. Sallai

8Gabriel Sara 99M. Lemina

53B. Yılmaz 83A. Batrakov 10L. Sané

45V. Osimhen

Trabzonspor Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Besiktas (H) 2–0, 19 Oct

24A. Onana(G)

55Sidny Lopes Cabral 15S. Savić 27Chibuike Nwaiwu 20Wagner Pina

6Fabinho 11O. Tufan

58D. Şimşir 7E. Muçi 10Mohamed Salah

9F. Gluda Djú

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Galatasaray Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Trabzonspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Galatasaray · Home 2.50points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 3-1-0
Scored: 2.25
Conceded: 1.25

Trabzonspor · Away 1.00points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 1-1-2
Scored: 1.25
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

Opponent	Galatasaray	Trabzonspor
Genclerbirligi	W 1–0 A	W 5–0 H
Kasimpasa	W 3–1 H	D 1–1 A
Istanbul Basaksehir	W 3–2 A	W 2–1 H
Points	9 of 9 · 3.00 per game	7 of 9 · 2.33 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 7 of 7 meetings

4 Galatasaray wins1 draws2 Trabzonspor wins

Goals per game2.00 – 1.43 Over 2.557% Both scored43% Clean sheets43% · 29%

19 Sep 2026Trabzonspor4–0Galatasaray
4 Apr 2026Trabzonspor2–1Galatasaray
1 Nov 2025Galatasaray0–0Trabzonspor
10 May 2025Trabzonspor0–2Galatasaray
16 Dec 2024Galatasaray4–3Trabzonspor
21 Jan 2024Trabzonspor1–5Galatasaray

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Galatasaray	Trabzonspor
Scored per game	2.13	2.25
Conceded per game	1.38	0.63
Match goals	3.50	2.88
Over 1.5	75%	88%
Over 2.5	75%	63%
Over 3.5	75%	25%
Both teams scored	50%	38%
Clean sheets	38%	50%
Failed to score	13%	13%
Games	8	8

	Galatasaray	Trabzonspor
Scored per game	1.90	1.80
Conceded per game	1.80	1.00
Match goals	3.70	2.80
Over 1.5	80%	80%
Over 2.5	80%	60%
Over 3.5	80%	30%
Both teams scored	60%	30%
Clean sheets	30%	40%
Failed to score	10%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Galatasaray	Trabzonspor	League
Corners
Corners won	7.38	5.13
Corners conceded	3.13	3.25
Match total	10.51	8.38	9.12
Over 8.5	63% 5/8	50% 4/8
Over 9.5	38% 3/8	13% 1/8
Over 10.5	38% 3/8	13% 1/8
Cards
Cards	1.88	2.13
Opponent cards	2.00	2.88
Match total	3.88	5.01	4.04
Over 3.5	63% 5/8	75% 6/8
Over 4.5	38% 3/8	63% 5/8

	Galatasaray	Trabzonspor	League
Corners
Corners won	6.40	5.20
Corners conceded	3.20	4.00
Match total	9.60	9.20	9.12
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	2.00	2.30
Opponent cards	1.80	2.90
Match total	3.80	5.20	4.04
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	70% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.