Süper Lig Gameweek 23 Sun, Feb 28 · 12:00 Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize
Rizespor 12th · 10 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Goztepe 13th · 9 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,180 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Rizespor—%
Draw—%
Goztepe—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Rize)

Forecast from 13 Feb

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Rizespor and Goztepe. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

RizesporGoztepe
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
22 Current StrengthIn forecast 29
22 AttackIn forecast 39
35 DefenceIn forecast 36
17 Form indexContext 37
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Rizespor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Goztepe

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

RizesporGoztepe
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.13
1.38 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00
1.27 xGVia Att/Def 1.69
0.90 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.58
-0.27 Goals minus xGContext +0.44
63% Scored inContext 88%
25% Clean sheetsContext 13%
15.00 ShotsContext 15.25
4.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.50
32% On target shareContext 36%
8.00 Shots in the boxContext 11.25
57% Box shareContext 73%
7% ConversionContext 14%
1.67 OffsidesContext 2.50
13.50 Shots allowedContext 15.38
4.25 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.25
4.43 BlocksContext 5.43
3.13 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.71
74% Save rateContext 61%
54% PossessionIn forecast 41%
434 PassesContext 278
367 Accurate passesContext 198
85% Pass accuracyContext 71%
6.83 Team ratingContext 6.74
10.25 FoulsContext 14.88
12.25 Fouls sufferedContext 8.75
1.75 Yellow cardsContext 2.63
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90
1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00
1.36 xGVia Att/Def 1.77
1.03 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.50
-0.36 Goals minus xGContext +0.13
60% Scored inContext 80%
20% Clean sheetsContext 10%
15.50 ShotsContext 16.30
4.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.50
30% On target shareContext 34%
8.80 Shots in the boxContext 12.30
59% Box shareContext 74%
7% ConversionContext 12%
1.71 OffsidesContext 2.50
14.10 Shots allowedContext 14.80
4.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.40
4.44 BlocksContext 4.78
3.40 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.78
71% Save rateContext 61%
54% PossessionIn forecast 40%
433 PassesContext 266
367 Accurate passesContext 190
85% Pass accuracyContext 71%
6.81 Team ratingContext 6.74
9.90 FoulsContext 15.40
11.60 Fouls sufferedContext 8.90
1.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.60
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.20
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Rizespor
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,780 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Form 17 · 4 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -2.5 vs expected
  • L16 OctA · Çorum FK1–21.0 xPts
  • L10 OctH · Fenerbahce0–30.9 xPts
  • D20 SepA · Goztepe2–21.3 xPts
  • W12 SepA · Eyüpspor2–01.5 xPts
  • L7 SepH · Alanyaspor0–11.8 xPts
Goztepe
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel1,180 km1,826 km in 14d
Schedule load17%Low
Form 37 · 8 pts vs 9.5 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected
  • W18 OctA · Kocaelispor2–11.4 xPts
  • W12 OctA · Eyüpspor4–01.6 xPts
  • D20 SepH · Rizespor2–21.4 xPts
  • D12 SepA · Alanyaspor2–21.2 xPts
  • L7 SepH · Gazişehir Gaziantep2–41.8 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Rizespor Goztepe
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 5Low · 17
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 21 Feb7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 21 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,180 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,780 km1,826 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Rizespor Last XI · not confirmed
4-1-4-1 · vs Çorum FK (A) 1–2, 16 Oct
75Y. Fofana(G)
17Z. Ariss 93M. Sagnan 21S. Bakayoko 54M. Pala
14T. Antalyalı
7V. Mihăilă 20Q. Laçi 10I. Olawoyin 11A. Awokoya-Mebude
9A. Sowe
Goztepe Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-1-2 · vs Kocaelispor (A) 2–1, 18 Oct
1A. Özçimen(G)
26M. Bokele 19J. Sonko Sundberg 4T. Altıkardeş
12R. Akonnor 20N. Miroshi 5Rhaldney 2A. Kurtulan
8A. Antunes
9Juan 7André Henrique

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Rizespor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Goztepe Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Rizespor · Home 0.00points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
0-0-3
Scored
0.00
Conceded
2.00
Goztepe · Away 1.60points per game · 5 away games
W-D-L
2-2-1
Scored
2.60
Conceded
1.80

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

OpponentRizesporGoztepe
Eyüpspor W 2–0 A W 4–0 A
Alanyaspor L 0–1 H D 2–2 A
Gazişehir Gaziantep W 2–1 A L 2–4 H
Samsunspor L 0–2 H D 3–3 A
Points6 of 12 · 1.50 per game5 of 12 · 1.25 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

1 Rizespor wins1 draws3 Goztepe wins
Goals per game1.80 – 2.80 Over 2.5100% Both scored60% Clean sheets0% · 40%
  • 20 Sep 2026Goztepe2–2Rizespor
  • 19 Jan 2026Goztepe3–1Rizespor
  • 10 Aug 2025Rizespor0–3Goztepe
  • 18 May 2025Rizespor6–3Goztepe
  • 22 Dec 2024Goztepe3–0Rizespor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

RizesporGoztepeForecast
Scored per game 1.002.13
Conceded per game 1.382.00
Match goals 2.384.13
Over 1.5 75%88%
Over 2.5 50%88%
Over 3.5 13%75%
Both teams scored 38%75%
Clean sheets 25%13%
Failed to score 38%13%
Games88
RizesporGoztepeForecast
Scored per game 1.001.90
Conceded per game 1.702.00
Match goals 2.703.90
Over 1.5 80%90%
Over 2.5 60%90%
Over 3.5 30%60%
Both teams scored 40%70%
Clean sheets 20%10%
Failed to score 40%20%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

RizesporGoztepeLeague
Corners
Corners won5.434.88
Corners conceded3.864.38
Match total9.299.269.12
Over 8.543% 3/763% 5/8
Over 9.529% 2/750% 4/8
Over 10.529% 2/750% 4/8
Cards
Cards1.882.75
Opponent cards1.382.00
Match total3.264.754.04
Over 3.550% 4/888% 7/8
Over 4.525% 2/863% 5/8
RizesporGoztepeLeague
Corners
Corners won5.785.22
Corners conceded3.674.56
Match total9.459.789.12
Over 8.556% 5/967% 6/9
Over 9.533% 3/956% 5/9
Over 10.533% 3/956% 5/9
Cards
Cards1.602.80
Opponent cards1.402.10
Match total3.004.904.04
Over 3.550% 5/1090% 9/10
Over 4.520% 2/1060% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Rizespor8 games · scored 8 · conceded 11
1 2 0-15
1 16-30
2 2 31-45
46-60
1 2 61-75
3 5 76-90
Goztepe8 games · scored 17 · conceded 16
3 2 0-15
3 1 16-30
4 31-45
4 2 46-60
3 4 61-75
4 3 76-90
Rizespor10 games · scored 10 · conceded 17
1 2 0-15
2 2 16-30
3 3 31-45
1 46-60
1 3 61-75
3 6 76-90
Goztepe10 games · scored 19 · conceded 20
4 2 0-15
3 1 16-30
5 31-45
4 3 46-60
3 4 61-75
5 5 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Süper Lig

View all fixtures →
Besiktas Amed Feb 2812:00 Konyaspor Kasimpasa Feb 2812:00 Galatasaray Trabzonspor Feb 2812:00 Alanyaspor Çorum FK Feb 2812:00 Genclerbirligi Istanbul Basaksehir Feb 2812:00 Rizespor Goztepe Feb 2812:00 Gazişehir Gaziantep Kocaelispor Feb 2812:00 Eyüpspor Fenerbahce Feb 2812:00 Samsunspor Erzurumspor FK Feb 2812:00