La Liga Gameweek 38 Sun, May 30 · 16:00 Estadio Coliseum, Getafe
Getafe 14th · 9 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
Barcelona 1st · 27 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel510 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Getafe—%
Draw—%
Barcelona—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Getafe)

Forecast from 15 May

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Getafe and Barcelona. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

GetafeBarcelona
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
48 Current StrengthIn forecast 93
27 AttackIn forecast 97
59 DefenceIn forecast 92
42 Form indexContext 96
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Getafe

Attack—
Defense risk—

Barcelona

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

GetafeBarcelona
0.56 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 4.33
1.22 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
0.62 xGVia Att/Def 3.73
1.49 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.98
-0.06 Goals minus xGContext +0.60
56% Scored inContext 100%
22% Clean sheetsContext 44%
10.78 ShotsContext 21.11
2.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 8.44
25% On target shareContext 40%
5.44 Shots in the boxContext 14.56
48% Box shareContext 70%
5% ConversionContext 21%
2.17 OffsidesContext 3.11
15.22 Shots allowedContext 6.78
4.89 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50
4.78 BlocksContext 1.60
3.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.43
73% Save rateContext 68%
37% PossessionIn forecast 70%
292 PassesContext 697
217 Accurate passesContext 632
74% Pass accuracyContext 91%
6.68 Team ratingContext 7.42
14.00 FoulsContext 9.67
12.78 Fouls sufferedContext 10.22
3.44 Yellow cardsContext 1.33
0.11 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
0.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 4.30
1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10
0.58 xGVia Att/Def 3.55
1.39 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.95
+0.02 Goals minus xGContext +0.75
60% Scored inContext 100%
30% Clean sheetsContext 30%
10.30 ShotsContext 22.40
2.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 8.90
26% On target shareContext 40%
5.20 Shots in the boxContext 15.00
48% Box shareContext 67%
6% ConversionContext 19%
2.00 OffsidesContext 3.30
14.80 Shots allowedContext 6.30
4.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.44
4.50 BlocksContext 1.43
3.70 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.25
76% Save rateContext 64%
38% PossessionIn forecast 72%
289 PassesContext 712
214 Accurate passesContext 651
74% Pass accuracyContext 91%
6.73 Team ratingContext 7.38
14.30 FoulsContext 9.50
13.50 Fouls sufferedContext 10.20
3.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.30
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Getafe
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,358 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 42 · 5 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · -0.3 vs expected
  • D19 OctH · Rayo Vallecano1–11.3 xPts
  • L10 OctA · Barcelona0–30.2 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Malaga1–01.5 xPts
  • L17 SepA · Real Betis0–10.8 xPts
  • D13 SepH · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.4 xPts
Barcelona
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel510 km803 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 96 · 15 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +3.0 vs expected
  • W17 OctA · Real Betis5–22.1 xPts
  • W13 OctA · Galatasaray4–12.1 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Getafe3–02.7 xPts
  • W19 SepA · Sevilla3–12.3 xPts
  • W16 SepH · Racing Santander7–22.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Getafe Barcelona
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7La Liga 2026-2027, 23 May7La Liga 2026-2027, 23 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km510 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,358 km803 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one——

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Getafe Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs Rayo Vallecano (H) 1–1, 19 Oct
13David Soria(G)
22J. Mojica 26J. Valou 2D. Dakonam
10M. Satriano 6Mario Martín 8N. Gudelj 17Kiko Femenía
19E. Ünal 11Ramon Terrats
Barcelona Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Real Betis (A) 5–2, 17 Oct
1Joan García(G)
12Xavi Espart 18Gerard Martín 5Pau Cubarsí 23J. Koundé
8Pedri 16Rodri
14K. Adeyemi 7Fermín López 10Lamine Yamal
9G. de Jesus

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Getafe Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Barcelona Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Getafe · Home 1.80points per game · 5 home games
W-D-L
2-3-0
Scored
1.00
Conceded
0.60
Barcelona · Away 3.00points per game · 5 away games
W-D-L
5-0-0
Scored
4.40
Conceded
1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentGetafeBarcelona
Rayo Vallecano D 1–1 H W 5–2 H
Real Betis L 0–1 A W 5–2 A
Racing Santander W 1–0 H W 7–2 H
Points4 of 9 · 1.33 per game9 of 9 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 13 meetings

0 Getafe wins4 draws6 Barcelona wins
Goals per game0.10 – 1.50 Over 2.530% Both scored10% Clean sheets30% · 90%
  • 10 Oct 2026Barcelona3–0Getafe
  • 25 Apr 2026Getafe0–2Barcelona
  • 21 Sep 2025Barcelona3–0Getafe
  • 18 Jan 2025Getafe1–1Barcelona
  • 25 Sep 2024Barcelona1–0Getafe
  • 24 Feb 2024Barcelona4–0Getafe

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

GetafeBarcelonaForecast
Scored per game 0.564.33
Conceded per game 1.221.00
Match goals 1.785.33
Over 1.5 56%100%
Over 2.5 22%89%
Over 3.5 0%78%
Both teams scored 33%56%
Clean sheets 22%44%
Failed to score 44%0%
Games99
GetafeBarcelonaForecast
Scored per game 0.604.30
Conceded per game 1.101.10
Match goals 1.705.40
Over 1.5 50%100%
Over 2.5 20%90%
Over 3.5 0%80%
Both teams scored 30%70%
Clean sheets 30%30%
Failed to score 40%0%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

GetafeBarcelonaLeague
Corners
Corners won4.336.00
Corners conceded6.002.88
Match total10.338.889.91
Over 8.556% 5/938% 3/8
Over 9.556% 5/938% 3/8
Over 10.544% 4/938% 3/8
Cards
Cards3.891.33
Opponent cards2.561.78
Match total6.453.114.73
Over 3.5100% 9/944% 4/9
Over 4.578% 7/933% 3/9
GetafeBarcelonaLeague
Corners
Corners won4.106.33
Corners conceded5.802.44
Match total9.908.779.91
Over 8.550% 5/1033% 3/9
Over 9.550% 5/1033% 3/9
Over 10.540% 4/1033% 3/9
Cards
Cards3.601.30
Opponent cards2.501.80
Match total6.103.104.73
Over 3.590% 9/1040% 4/10
Over 4.570% 7/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Getafe9 games · scored 5 · conceded 11
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
1 1 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 3 76-90
Barcelona9 games · scored 39 · conceded 9
6 1 0-15
7 3 16-30
5 31-45
5 2 46-60
7 1 61-75
9 2 76-90
Getafe10 games · scored 6 · conceded 11
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
2 1 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 3 76-90
Barcelona10 games · scored 43 · conceded 11
6 1 0-15
8 4 16-30
5 31-45
8 2 46-60
6 1 61-75
10 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures La Liga

View all fixtures →
Athletic Club Rayo Vallecano May 3016:00 Malaga Sevilla May 3016:00 Levante Celta Vigo May 3016:00 Espanyol Alaves May 3016:00 Real Madrid Deportivo La Coruna May 3016:00 Real Betis Atletico Madrid May 3016:00 Getafe Barcelona May 3016:00 Real Sociedad Villarreal May 3016:00 Osasuna Valencia May 3016:00 Elche Racing Santander May 3016:00