Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Feb 14 2026 · 15:30 Erve Asito, Almelo
Heracles
First leg1–2 0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.11 – 1.26
NAC Breda
  • 80’ (P) C. Leemans
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Leemans goal decides it for NAC Breda

Heracles entered as narrow favourites, but NAC Breda won 1–0 through a Leemans goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.11 and 1.26. On the chances created, Heracles deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Heracles44%
Draw25%
NAC Breda ✓31%

Model vs reality

Heracles goals
0
Model 1.63 · xG 1.11
NAC Breda goals
1
Model 1.33 · xG 1.26
Total goals
1
Model 2.96 · xG 2.37
Score 0–1
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
No
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. te WierikHeracles
7.3
  • RefereeDanny Makkelie
  • CoachesE. Faber · C. Hoefkens
  • VenueErve Asito
  • Table before kick-offHeracles 17th · NAC Breda 18th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ D. OdoiFor L. Greiml
    36’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. L. HoltbyYellow card · Tripping
    57’
  4. ⇄ Rhys BozinovskiFor M. Benita
    60’
  5. ⇄ E. AhlstrandFor W. Ould-Chikh
    61’
  6. ⇄ A. SalamaFor M. Soumano
    76’
  7. C. Leemans (pen) 0–1
    80’
  8. ⇄ B. LucassenFor C. Brym
    84’
  9. ⇄ E. MahmutovićFor C. Leemans
    85’
  10. ⇄ T. van GilstFor D. van der Kust
    90’
  11. ⇄ T. BrunsFor N. Ünüvar
    90’
  12. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Heracles14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
NAC Breda13 shots · 6 in box, 7 outside
HeraclesNAC Breda
53% Possession 47%
1.11 Expected goals (xG) 1.26
1.25 Expected points (xPts) 1.47
14 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
6 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
10 Shots inside the box 6
4 Shots outside the box 7
361 Passes 331
74% Pass accuracy 76%
4 Corners 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Fouls 11
5 Offsides 4
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.78 Team rating 6.57

Line-ups

Heracles 3-4-2-1

226.3 R. Pasveer(G)
246.5 I. Mesík 66.5 S. Čestić 237.3★ M. te Wierik
56.7 D. van der Kust ↓90’ 47.3 D. Mirani 706.6 A. Hrustić 26.6 M. Benita ↓60’
97.0 N. Ünüvar ↓90’ 736.5 W. Ould-Chikh ↓61’
197.3 L. Kulenović
  • 22R. Pasveer (G)6.3
  • 24I. Mesík6.5
  • 6S. Čestić6.5
  • 23M. te Wierik ★7.3
  • 5D. van der Kust↓90’6.7
  • 4D. Mirani7.3
  • 70A. Hrustić6.6
  • 2M. Benita↓60’6.6
  • 9N. Ünüvar↓90’7.0
  • 73W. Ould-Chikh↓61’6.5
  • 19L. Kulenović7.3

Substitutes used

  • 20Rhys Bozinovski↑60’6.2
  • 14E. Ahlstrand↑61’6.9
  • 10T. Bruns↑90’
  • 17T. van Gilst↑90’

Unused: R. Mantel, T. Jansink, J. Tijink, J. Žambůrek, Sil Blokhuis

Coach: E. Faber

NAC Breda 4-3-3

996.3 D. Bielica(G)
46.6 B. Kemper 86.7 C. Leemans ↓85’ 126.6 L. Greiml ↓36’ 256.3 C. Valerius
146.6 K. Sowah 166.6 M. Balard 906.7 L. Holtby
96.2 M. Soumano ↓76’ 246.7 A. Ayew 76.9 C. Brym ↓84’
  • 99D. Bielica (G)6.3
  • 4B. Kemper6.6
  • 8C. Leemans↓85’6.7
  • 12L. Greiml↓36’6.6
  • 25C. Valerius6.3
  • 14K. Sowah6.6
  • 16M. Balard6.6
  • 90L. Holtby6.7
  • 9M. Soumano↓76’6.2
  • 24A. Ayew6.7
  • 7C. Brym↓84’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 3D. Odoi↑36’6.6
  • 19A. Salama↑76’6.9
  • 15E. Mahmutović↑85’6.9
  • 2B. Lucassen↑84’6.7

Unused: R. Kortsmit, K. Lamprou, J. Candelaria, R. Paula, J. Talvitie, M. Nassoh, B. Ghalidi, P. Reulen

Coach: C. Hoefkens

Player stats

Top rated
M. te WierikHeracles7.3
2nd
D. MiraniHeracles7.3
3rd
L. KulenovićHeracles7.3

Heracles

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
R. Pasveer G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 72% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
I. Mesík D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 70% 43 3 1 0/0 3/0 6.5
S. Čestić D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 87% 55 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.5
M. te Wierik D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 71% 41 3 2 1/1 1/3 7.3
D. van der Kust D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 22 4 3 0/0 2/1 6.7
D. Mirani D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 27 3 0 2/2 0/0 7.3
A. Hrustić M 90 0 0 2 (1) 3 76% 41 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.6
M. Benita D 60 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 16 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
N. Ünüvar M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 65% 17 2 1 1/1 1/0 7.0
W. Ould-Chikh M 61 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 21 1 0 2/2 2/1 6.5
L. Kulenović F 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 52% 25 1 0 1/1 0/2 7.3
Rhys Bozinovski 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 9 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
E. Ahlstrand M 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 2 0 0/1 0/1 6.9
T. Bruns M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
T. van Gilst F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

NAC Breda

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Bielica G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 46% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
B. Kemper D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 63% 35 0 1 0/1 1/1 6.6
C. Leemans M 85 1 0 3 (2) 2 76% 54 1 1 1/1 0/0 6.7
L. Greiml D 36 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 24 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.6
C. Valerius D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 20 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
K. Sowah M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 79% 28 3 0 2/3 1/0 6.6
M. Balard M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 32 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
L. Holtby M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 27 3 0 1/2 1/1 6.7
M. Soumano F 76 0 0 2 (1) 1 75% 16 0 0 0/2 5/3 6.2
A. Ayew F 90 0 0 3 (1) 0 68% 19 1 0 3/5 0/2 6.7
C. Brym F 84 0 0 1 (1) 0 67% 21 0 2 1/4 1/2 6.9
D. Odoi D 54 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 15 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.6
A. Salama F 14 0 0 0 (0) 2 89% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
E. Mahmutović D 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
B. Lucassen D 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.