Hull City
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel178 kmRest days7.1 · 7.1Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Hull City—%
Draw—%
Liverpool—%
Weather (Hull)
Forecast from 11 Dec
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Hull City and Liverpool. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Insight
Liverpool
+0.60
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.89xG against1.29
-
Insight
Hull City
3
Clean sheets
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Trend
Liverpool
1.9
Goals scored per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Hull City
1.0
Goals conceded per match
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Liverpool
3
Clean sheets
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet
Attack
Defence
-
Insight
Hull City
3
Clean sheets
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Insight
Hull City
1.0
Goals conceded per match
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Liverpool
3
Clean sheets
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
Hull CityLiverpool
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
37
Current StrengthIn forecast
84
37
AttackIn forecast
85
50
DefenceIn forecast
84
36
Form indexContext
87
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisLiverpool
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Hull CityLiverpool
1.14
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.29
1.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.14
0.98
xGVia Att/Def
1.55
1.56
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.20
+0.16
Goals minus xGContext
-0.26
71%
Scored inContext
71%
43%
Clean sheetsContext
43%
10.71
ShotsContext
15.71
4.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.00
32%
On target shareContext
32%
5.50
Shots in the boxContext
8.71
45%
Box shareContext
55%
11%
ConversionContext
8%
1.40
OffsidesContext
2.14
14.57
Shots allowedContext
11.86
4.86
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.43
4.29
BlocksContext
3.86
3.71
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.29
77%
Save rateContext
67%
32%
PossessionIn forecast
56%
275
PassesContext
482
197
Accurate passesContext
408
72%
Pass accuracyContext
85%
6.75
Team ratingContext
6.90
10.86
FoulsContext
13.86
7.57
Fouls sufferedContext
10.29
3.00
Yellow cardsContext
2.57
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.80
0.80
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.30
1.14
xGVia Att/Def
1.89
1.32
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.29
+0.06
Goals minus xGContext
-0.09
70%
Scored inContext
80%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
10.30
ShotsContext
17.40
4.22
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.70
37%
On target shareContext
33%
5.88
Shots in the boxContext
11.00
50%
Box shareContext
62%
12%
ConversionContext
10%
1.57
OffsidesContext
2.50
13.80
Shots allowedContext
11.50
4.30
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.40
4.10
BlocksContext
3.20
3.30
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.10
77%
Save rateContext
62%
33%
PossessionIn forecast
56%
267
PassesContext
487
182
Accurate passesContext
417
68%
Pass accuracyContext
86%
6.82
Team ratingContext
6.99
10.10
FoulsContext
12.10
8.90
Fouls sufferedContext
9.80
2.70
Yellow cardsContext
2.10
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Hull City
DDLDL
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km258 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 36 · 3 pts vs 4.6 for an average club · -1.0 vs expected
Liverpool
DWLWW
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel178 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 87 · 10 pts vs 4.7 for an average club · +2.5 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Hull City |
Liverpool |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7.1Premier League 2026-2027, 19 Dec | 7.1Premier League 2026-2027, 19 Dec |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 178 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 258 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 5 | 0 / 1 / 6 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 3.1 | 4.1 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Hull City
Last XI · not confirmed
19K. Tzolakis(G)
18B. Norton-Cuffy
22L. Herrington
15J. Egan
6S. Ajayi
2L. Coyle
7B. Thomas
27R. Slater
25M. Crooks
10M. Belloumi
9O. McBurnie
Liverpool
Last XI · not confirmed
1A. Becker(G)
6M. Kerkez
4V. van Dijk
5J. Jacquet
33R. Araujo
8D. Szoboszlai
10A. Mac Allister
29B. Barcola
7F. Wirtz
23Víctor Muñoz
9A. Isak
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Hull City
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Liverpool
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Hull City · Home
1.67points per game · 3 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-2-0
- Scored
- 1.33
- Conceded
- 0.67
Liverpool · Away
2.50points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 3-1-0
- Scored
- 1.75
- Conceded
- 0.75
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 2 this season
| Opponent | Hull City | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Fulham | L 0–1 A | D 0–0 H |
| Newcastle | L 1–2 A | D 2–2 A |
| Points | 0 of 6 · 0.00 per game | 2 of 6 · 1.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Hull City | Liverpool | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.14 | 1.29 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.14 | |
| Match goals | 2.14 | 2.43 | |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 71% | |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 57% | |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 29% | |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 43% | |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 43% | |
| Failed to score | 29% | 29% | |
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Hull City | Liverpool | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.14 | 1.80 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.30 | |
| Match goals | 2.14 | 3.10 | |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 60% | |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 60% | |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 29% | 20% | |
| Games | 7 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Hull City | Liverpool | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.71 | 4.86 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.71 | 4.43 | |
| Match total | 10.42 | 9.29 | 9.49 |
| Over 8.5 | 57% 4/7 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Over 9.5 | 57% 4/7 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Over 10.5 | 57% 4/7 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.00 | 2.71 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.00 | 2.43 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 5.14 | 4.17 |
| Over 3.5 | 57% 4/7 | 71% 5/7 | |
| Over 4.5 | 57% 4/7 | 57% 4/7 | |
| Hull City | Liverpool | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.89 | 6.60 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.44 | 4.10 | |
| Match total | 10.33 | 10.70 | 9.49 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 56% 5/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 56% 5/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.70 | 2.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.10 | 2.20 | |
| Match total | 3.80 | 4.40 | 4.17 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 5/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Hull City7 games · scored 8 · conceded 7
3
0-15
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
76-90
Liverpool7 games · scored 9 · conceded 8
2
1
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
1
76-90
Hull City10 games · scored 12 · conceded 8
3
0-15
3
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
76-90
Liverpool10 games · scored 18 · conceded 13
2
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
6
1
46-60
4
6
61-75
2
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
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