Istanbul Basaksehir vs Besiktas

Süper Lig Gameweek 26 Sun, Mar 21 · 12:00 Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, İstanbul

Istanbul Basaksehir 10th · 11 pts · 8 played LLWDW

VS— Compare

Besiktas 5th · 15 pts · 8 played WWLWL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel0 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Istanbul Basaksehir—%

Draw—%

Besiktas—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 6 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Istanbul Basaksehir

Besiktas

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

36 Current StrengthIn forecast 50

32 AttackIn forecast 60

35 DefenceIn forecast 48

33 Form indexContext 62

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir

Attack—

Defense risk—

Besiktas

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Istanbul Basaksehir

Besiktas

1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.25

1.46 xGVia Att/Def 1.70

1.40 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.09

+0.04 Goals minus xGContext +0.30

75% Scored inContext 75%

38% Clean sheetsContext 25%

11.88 ShotsContext 16.57

4.57 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.14

34% On target shareContext 37%

6.88 Shots in the boxContext 9.29

54% Box shareContext 56%

13% ConversionContext 11%

2.00 OffsidesContext 3.43

12.00 Shots allowedContext 9.57

4.71 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.43

3.50 BlocksContext 3.40

3.29 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

70% Save rateContext 68%

52% PossessionIn forecast 61%

451 PassesContext 488

383 Accurate passesContext 422

85% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.75 Team ratingContext 6.98

13.88 FoulsContext 13.71

11.38 Fouls sufferedContext 15.00

2.38 Yellow cardsContext 2.50

0.13 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.20

1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

1.75 xGVia Att/Def 2.06

1.18 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.27

-0.05 Goals minus xGContext +0.14

80% Scored inContext 70%

40% Clean sheetsContext 10%

12.30 ShotsContext 16.75

4.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.25

34% On target shareContext 37%

7.70 Shots in the boxContext 10.88

59% Box shareContext 64%

14% ConversionContext 14%

1.80 OffsidesContext 3.00

11.50 Shots allowedContext 11.25

4.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50

3.30 BlocksContext 3.38

3.11 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.88

72% Save rateContext 64%

50% PossessionIn forecast 59%

431 PassesContext 481

364 Accurate passesContext 410

84% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.79 Team ratingContext 6.97

14.20 FoulsContext 11.44

11.60 Fouls sufferedContext 15.22

2.30 Yellow cardsContext 2.20

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Istanbul Basaksehir LLWDW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,700 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

Form 33 · 7 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected

W18 OctH · Gazişehir Gaziantep2–12.0 xPts
D11 OctA · Konyaspor0–01.4 xPts
W19 SepH · Genclerbirligi4–01.8 xPts
L13 SepA · Amed0–51.2 xPts
L4 SepH · Galatasaray2–31.0 xPts

Besiktas WLWWL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km394 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 62 · 9 pts vs 7.6 for an average club · +1.0 vs expected

L19 OctA · Trabzonspor0–21.5 xPts
W15 OctA · 1899 Hoffenheim3–21.3 xPts
W11 OctH · Kocaelispor2–12.2 xPts
L20 SepA · Amed2–31.4 xPts
W17 SepH · Marseille4–11.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Istanbul Basaksehir	Besiktas
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 5	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 14 Mar	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 14 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	0 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,700 km	394 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	14	14

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Istanbul Basaksehir Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Gazişehir Gaziantep (H) 2–1, 18 Oct

16M. Şengezer(G)

38S. Kharebashvili 27O. Ba 23E. Bayram 33M. Karbownik

18J. Kałuziński 8O. Kemen

77I. Brnić 14E. Shomurodov 70A. Skov Olsen

17U. Bozok

Besiktas Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Trabzonspor (A) 0–2, 19 Oct

1A. Nübel(G)

33R. Yılmaz 53E. Topçu 12E. Agbadou 62A. Murillo

6S. Özcan

19L. Trossard 21F. Miretti 15Junior Olaitan 18V. Černý

28D. Vlahović

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Istanbul Basaksehir Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Besiktas Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Istanbul Basaksehir · Home 2.00points per game · 5 home games

W-D-L: 3-1-1
Scored: 2.20
Conceded: 1.00

Besiktas · Away 0.75points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-3
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 1.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

Opponent	Istanbul Basaksehir	Besiktas
Amed	L 0–5 A	L 2–3 A
Trabzonspor	L 1–2 A	L 0–2 A
Kocaelispor	W 2–0 H	W 2–1 H
Points	3 of 9 · 1.00 per game	3 of 9 · 1.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

1 Istanbul Basaksehir wins2 draws3 Besiktas wins

Goals per game1.00 – 1.17 Over 2.533% Both scored50% Clean sheets33% · 33%

15 Feb 2026Istanbul Basaksehir2–3Besiktas
13 Sep 2025Besiktas2–1Istanbul Basaksehir
12 Apr 2025Besiktas0–2Istanbul Basaksehir
10 Nov 2024Istanbul Basaksehir0–0Besiktas
4 Apr 2024Istanbul Basaksehir1–1Besiktas
12 Nov 2023Besiktas1–0Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Istanbul Basaksehir	Besiktas
Scored per game	1.50	2.00
Conceded per game	1.50	1.25
Match goals	3.00	3.25
Over 1.5	88%	75%
Over 2.5	63%	63%
Over 3.5	38%	25%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Clean sheets	38%	25%
Failed to score	25%	25%
Games	8	8

	Istanbul Basaksehir	Besiktas
Scored per game	1.70	2.20
Conceded per game	1.30	1.40
Match goals	3.00	3.60
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	70%	70%
Over 3.5	30%	40%
Both teams scored	50%	60%
Clean sheets	40%	10%
Failed to score	20%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Istanbul Basaksehir	Besiktas	League
Corners
Corners won	4.25	6.71
Corners conceded	3.88	4.14
Match total	8.13	10.85	9.12
Over 8.5	50% 4/8	86% 6/7
Over 9.5	25% 2/8	71% 5/7
Over 10.5	13% 1/8	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	2.50	2.50
Opponent cards	1.88	2.88
Match total	4.38	5.38	4.04
Over 3.5	63% 5/8	63% 5/8
Over 4.5	38% 3/8	63% 5/8

	Istanbul Basaksehir	Besiktas	League
Corners
Corners won	3.90	5.78
Corners conceded	4.20	4.44
Match total	8.10	10.22	9.12
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	67% 6/9
Over 9.5	20% 2/10	56% 5/9
Over 10.5	10% 1/10	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	2.40	2.20
Opponent cards	1.90	2.60
Match total	4.30	4.80	4.04
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.