Süper Lig Gameweek 34 Sun, May 23 · 13:00 Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Konya
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Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel366 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Konyaspor—%
Draw—%
Çorum FK—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Konya)

Forecast from 8 May

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Konyaspor and Çorum FK. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

KonyasporÇorum FK
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
18 Current StrengthIn forecast 32
13 AttackIn forecast 31
31 DefenceIn forecast 36
23 Form indexContext 70
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Konyaspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Çorum FK

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

KonyasporÇorum FK
0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25
1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.63
0.91 xGVia Att/Def 1.12
1.12 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.42
-0.41 Goals minus xGContext +1.13
38% Scored inContext 88%
38% Clean sheetsContext 25%
10.38 ShotsContext 12.25
3.71 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.88
31% On target shareContext 40%
6.75 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
64% Box shareContext 55%
5% ConversionContext 18%
2.80 OffsidesContext 1.86
12.88 Shots allowedContext 14.75
5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.75
3.50 BlocksContext 4.50
4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.57
80% Save rateContext 68%
49% PossessionIn forecast 53%
396 PassesContext 466
325 Accurate passesContext 403
82% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.75 Team ratingContext 6.92
11.88 FoulsContext 12.88
12.38 Fouls sufferedContext 9.38
2.38 Yellow cardsContext 2.13
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25
1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.63
0.91 xGVia Att/Def 1.12
1.33 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.42
-0.41 Goals minus xGContext +1.13
40% Scored inContext 88%
30% Clean sheetsContext 25%
10.80 ShotsContext 12.25
3.44 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.88
29% On target shareContext 40%
7.10 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
65% Box shareContext 55%
5% ConversionContext 18%
2.43 OffsidesContext 1.86
13.80 Shots allowedContext 14.75
6.11 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.75
3.40 BlocksContext 4.50
4.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.57
78% Save rateContext 68%
49% PossessionIn forecast 53%
391 PassesContext 466
322 Accurate passesContext 403
82% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.73 Team ratingContext 6.92
12.30 FoulsContext 12.88
11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 9.38
2.30 Yellow cardsContext 2.13
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.13
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 8 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Konyaspor
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km926 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 23 · 5 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Amed0–10.8 xPts
  • D11 OctH · Istanbul Basaksehir0–01.4 xPts
  • D18 SepA · Kasimpasa0–01.1 xPts
  • W12 SepH · Trabzonspor1–01.2 xPts
  • L5 SepA · Erzurumspor FK0–11.1 xPts
Çorum FK
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel366 km1,079 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 70 · 12 pts vs 9.6 for an average club · +4.4 vs expected
  • W16 OctH · Rizespor2–11.7 xPts
  • W11 OctA · Gazişehir Gaziantep3–01.3 xPts
  • L19 SepH · Alanyaspor1–21.8 xPts
  • W12 SepA · Samsunspor5–11.1 xPts
  • W6 SepH · Eyüpspor3–01.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Konyaspor Çorum FK
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 16 May7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 16 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km366 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways926 km1,079 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one——

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Konyaspor Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Amed (A) 0–1, 17 Oct
13B. Güngördü(G)
26A. Masuaku 15C. Awaziem 22R. Baniya 17Y. Andzouana
8M. Jevtović 77M. İbrahimoğlu
7Diogo Gonçalves 66R. Tóth 9D. Türüç
11J. Muleka
Çorum FK Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-3 · vs Rizespor (H) 2–1, 16 Oct
1Marcos Felipe(G)
6H. Smolčić 2Ç. Söyüncü 5Alexandre Penetra
24A. Borza 10M. Diomande 3B. Özdemir 11G. Sazdağı
89A. Kyziridis 19J. Ramírez 7C. Ünder

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Konyaspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Çorum FK Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Konyaspor · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
0.50
Conceded
0.75
Çorum FK · Away 1.75points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
2-1-1
Scored
3.00
Conceded
2.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goal timing

Konyaspor8 games · scored 4 · conceded 9
2 1 0-15
2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
1 3 76-90
Çorum FK8 games · scored 18 · conceded 13
4 3 0-15
1 16-30
2 2 31-45
3 2 46-60
3 3 61-75
5 3 76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 5 · conceded 14
2 2 0-15
2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 3 46-60
3 61-75
1 3 76-90
Çorum FK8 games · scored 18 · conceded 13
4 3 0-15
1 16-30
2 2 31-45
3 2 46-60
3 3 61-75
5 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

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