Süper Lig Gameweek 34 Sun, May 23 · 13:00 Seyrantepe Spor Kompleksi Stadyumu 1, Diyarbakır
Amed 2nd · 17 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Fenerbahce 3rd · 16 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,026 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Amed—%
Draw—%
Fenerbahce—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Diyarbakır)

Forecast from 8 May

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Amed and Fenerbahce. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

AmedFenerbahce
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
34 Current StrengthIn forecast 62
38 AttackIn forecast 75
46 DefenceIn forecast 53
66 Form indexContext 65
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Amed

Attack—
Defense risk—

Fenerbahce

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

AmedFenerbahce
2.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.75
1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.75
1.84 xGVia Att/Def 2.72
0.75 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.16
+0.41 Goals minus xGContext +0.03
88% Scored inContext 88%
38% Clean sheetsContext 63%
14.25 ShotsContext 18.57
4.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.71
33% On target shareContext 42%
7.63 Shots in the boxContext 13.43
53% Box shareContext 70%
16% ConversionContext 17%
2.83 OffsidesContext 2.43
9.25 Shots allowedContext 13.43
3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50
3.00 BlocksContext 3.29
2.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.33
68% Save rateContext 79%
47% PossessionIn forecast 53%
386 PassesContext 474
317 Accurate passesContext 414
82% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.93 Team ratingContext 7.13
14.00 FoulsContext 13.00
10.25 Fouls sufferedContext 9.00
3.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.38
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
2.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.40
1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20
1.84 xGVia Att/Def 2.57
0.75 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.34
+0.41 Goals minus xGContext -0.17
88% Scored inContext 80%
38% Clean sheetsContext 50%
14.25 ShotsContext 16.11
4.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.56
33% On target shareContext 41%
7.63 Shots in the boxContext 11.33
53% Box shareContext 69%
16% ConversionContext 17%
2.83 OffsidesContext 2.33
9.25 Shots allowedContext 14.33
3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.25
3.00 BlocksContext 3.56
2.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.63
68% Save rateContext 74%
47% PossessionIn forecast 49%
386 PassesContext 429
317 Accurate passesContext 369
82% Pass accuracyContext 86%
6.93 Team ratingContext 7.00
14.00 FoulsContext 12.89
10.25 Fouls sufferedContext 11.00
3.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.90
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 8 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Amed
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km2,288 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Form 66 · 11 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · +3.0 vs expected
  • W17 OctH · Konyaspor1–02.0 xPts
  • D10 OctA · Genclerbirligi2–21.8 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Besiktas3–21.4 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Istanbul Basaksehir5–01.5 xPts
  • D6 SepA · Kasimpasa2–21.3 xPts
Fenerbahce
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel1,026 km1,807 km in 14d
Schedule load17%Low
Form 65 · 10 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · +0.5 vs expected
  • W17 OctH · Alanyaspor3–02.3 xPts
  • L14 OctA · Aston Villa0–60.8 xPts
  • W10 OctA · Rizespor3–01.9 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Eyüpspor8–02.5 xPts
  • D14 SepA · Gazişehir Gaziantep0–01.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Amed Fenerbahce
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 5Low · 17
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 16 May7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 16 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,026 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways2,288 km1,807 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one——

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Amed Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Konyaspor (H) 1–0, 17 Oct
40A. Lafont(G)
17C. Meraş 4D. Bates 21Mehmet Yeşil 7E. Krasniqi
8F. Soyalp 22R. Raveloson
10S. Ballet 91D. Sabi'a 93R. Lutin
99G. Orban
Fenerbahce Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Alanyaspor (H) 3–0, 17 Oct
31Ederson(G)
22M. Mercan 15N. Aké 37M. Škriniar 27Nélson Semedo
6M. Guendouzi 91N. Kanté
70O. Aydın 11M. Greenwood 17İ. Kahveci
9R. Lukaku

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Amed Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Fenerbahce Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Amed · Home 3.00points per game · 5 home games
W-D-L
5-0-0
Scored
2.80
Conceded
0.60
Fenerbahce · Away 1.75points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
2-1-1
Scored
1.50
Conceded
0.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentAmedFenerbahce
Konyaspor W 1–0 H W 4–2 H
Genclerbirligi D 2–2 A L 1–2 A
Besiktas W 3–2 H L 1–2 H
Points7 of 9 · 2.33 per game3 of 9 · 1.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

AmedFenerbahceForecast
Scored per game 2.252.75
Conceded per game 1.130.75
Match goals 3.383.50
Over 1.5 88%88%
Over 2.5 75%75%
Over 3.5 50%25%
Both teams scored 50%38%
Clean sheets 38%63%
Failed to score 13%13%
Games88
AmedFenerbahceForecast
Scored per game 2.252.40
Conceded per game 1.131.20
Match goals 3.383.60
Over 1.5 88%90%
Over 2.5 75%70%
Over 3.5 50%30%
Both teams scored 50%40%
Clean sheets 38%50%
Failed to score 13%20%
Games810

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

AmedFenerbahceLeague
Corners
Corners won4.256.29
Corners conceded3.753.14
Match total8.009.439.12
Over 8.538% 3/857% 4/7
Over 9.538% 3/843% 3/7
Over 10.513% 1/829% 2/7
Cards
Cards3.131.38
Opponent cards2.631.38
Match total5.762.764.04
Over 3.563% 5/825% 2/8
Over 4.550% 4/825% 2/8
AmedFenerbahceLeague
Corners
Corners won4.255.22
Corners conceded3.754.22
Match total8.009.449.12
Over 8.538% 3/856% 5/9
Over 9.538% 3/844% 4/9
Over 10.513% 1/833% 3/9
Cards
Cards3.131.90
Opponent cards2.631.40
Match total5.763.304.04
Over 3.563% 5/840% 4/10
Over 4.550% 4/830% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Amed8 games · scored 18 · conceded 9
1 1 0-15
2 2 16-30
2 31-45
5 3 46-60
4 61-75
4 3 76-90
Fenerbahce8 games · scored 22 · conceded 6
6 1 0-15
3 16-30
4 2 31-45
4 1 46-60
1 1 61-75
4 1 76-90
Amed8 games · scored 18 · conceded 9
1 1 0-15
2 2 16-30
2 31-45
5 3 46-60
4 61-75
4 3 76-90
Fenerbahce10 games · scored 24 · conceded 12
5 2 0-15
5 16-30
4 4 31-45
5 46-60
1 4 61-75
4 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Süper Lig

View all fixtures →
Besiktas Goztepe May 2313:00 Istanbul Basaksehir Alanyaspor May 2313:00 Konyaspor Çorum FK May 2313:00 Galatasaray Gazişehir Gaziantep May 2313:00 Genclerbirligi Rizespor May 2313:00 Trabzonspor Erzurumspor FK May 2313:00 Kasimpasa Kocaelispor May 2313:00 Amed Fenerbahce May 2313:00 Samsunspor Eyüpspor May 2313:00