Samsunspor vs Eyüpspor

Süper Lig Gameweek 34 Sun, May 23 · 13:00 Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, Samsun

Samsunspor 17th · 4 pts · 8 played LLLLL

VS— Compare

Eyüpspor 18th · 3 pts · 8 played LLLLL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel619 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Samsunspor—%

Draw—%

Eyüpspor—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Samsun)

Forecast from 8 May

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Streaks

Team strength

Samsunspor

Eyüpspor

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

23 Current StrengthIn forecast 13

15 AttackIn forecast 9

18 DefenceIn forecast 10

4 Form indexContext 5

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Samsunspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Eyüpspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Samsunspor

Eyüpspor

0.88 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.25

2.38 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.75

0.94 xGVia Att/Def 0.71

1.56 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.00

-0.06 Goals minus xGContext -0.46

50% Scored inContext 13%

13% Clean sheetsContext 0%

12.38 ShotsContext 11.00

3.43 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.25

24% On target shareContext 30%

7.25 Shots in the boxContext 6.71

55% Box shareContext 58%

7% ConversionContext 2%

2.20 OffsidesContext 1.33

15.50 Shots allowedContext 13.38

6.13 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.63

3.88 BlocksContext 3.75

3.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

63% Save rateContext 53%

55% PossessionIn forecast 50%

473 PassesContext 397

399 Accurate passesContext 338

84% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.61 Team ratingContext 6.52

12.75 FoulsContext 10.00

12.00 Fouls sufferedContext 16.00

1.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.38

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.90

2.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.50

0.94 xGVia Att/Def 0.74

1.81 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.78

+0.06 Goals minus xGContext +0.16

50% Scored inContext 30%

20% Clean sheetsContext 10%

12.00 ShotsContext 10.40

3.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.40

28% On target shareContext 33%

7.10 Shots in the boxContext 5.78

56% Box shareContext 51%

8% ConversionContext 9%

2.00 OffsidesContext 1.50

16.50 Shots allowedContext 13.80

6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.60

4.00 BlocksContext 3.90

3.90 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.20

65% Save rateContext 57%

56% PossessionIn forecast 46%

461 PassesContext 368

385 Accurate passesContext 308

84% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.66 Team ratingContext 6.61

12.50 FoulsContext 10.10

12.50 Fouls sufferedContext 14.70

1.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.40

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Samsunspor LLLLL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km956 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 4 · 0 pts vs 8.8 for an average club · -6.4 vs expected

L18 OctA · Kasimpasa1–41.1 xPts
L10 OctH · Trabzonspor0–31.2 xPts
L20 SepA · Erzurumspor FK0–11.1 xPts
L12 SepH · Çorum FK1–51.7 xPts
L6 SepA · Kocaelispor0–11.3 xPts

Eyüpspor LLLLL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel619 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 5 · 0 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · -4.6 vs expected

L17 OctA · Erzurumspor FK0–20.6 xPts
L12 OctH · Goztepe0–41.2 xPts
L20 SepA · Fenerbahce0–80.4 xPts
L12 SepH · Rizespor0–21.3 xPts
L6 SepA · Çorum FK0–31.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Samsunspor	Eyüpspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 16 May	7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 16 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	619 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	956 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	—	—

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Samsunspor Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Kasimpasa (A) 1–4, 18 Oct

1O. Kocuk(G)

17L. Tómasson 34G. Guarino 22Y. Çift 2J. Mendes

4Elliot Watt 19O. Øhlenschlæger

11E. Kılınç 20Y. Kayan 10T. Coulibaly

18M. Bayo

Eyüpspor Last XI · not confirmed

5-3-2 · vs Erzurumspor FK (A) 0–2, 17 Oct

1E. Bilgin(G)

21S. Giordano 33Z. Jules 4S. Yaşar 5J. El Yamiq 77K. Michalak

15Charles-Andre Raux Yao 28T. İlter 88C. Massanga

9Y. Barası 98B. Boutobba

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Samsunspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Eyüpspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Samsunspor · Home 0.25points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-3
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 3.25

Eyüpspor · Away 0.00points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-4
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 3.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

Opponent	Samsunspor	Eyüpspor
Erzurumspor FK	L 0–1 A	L 0–2 A
Çorum FK	L 1–5 H	L 0–3 A
Fenerbahce	L 0–2 H	L 0–8 A
Rizespor	W 2–0 A	L 0–2 H
Goztepe	D 3–3 H	L 0–4 H
Points	4 of 15 · 0.80 per game	0 of 15 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

3 Samsunspor wins0 draws1 Eyüpspor wins

Goals per game1.50 – 1.00 Over 2.575% Both scored25% Clean sheets50% · 25%

13 Apr 2026Eyüpspor1–2Samsunspor
9 Nov 2025Samsunspor1–0Eyüpspor
4 May 2025Samsunspor3–0Eyüpspor
8 Dec 2024Eyüpspor3–0Samsunspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Samsunspor	Eyüpspor
Scored per game	0.88	0.25
Conceded per game	2.38	2.75
Match goals	3.25	3.00
Over 1.5	75%	75%
Over 2.5	50%	50%
Over 3.5	38%	25%
Both teams scored	38%	13%
Clean sheets	13%	0%
Failed to score	50%	88%
Games	8	8

	Samsunspor	Eyüpspor
Scored per game	1.00	0.90
Conceded per game	2.20	2.50
Match goals	3.20	3.40
Over 1.5	80%	80%
Over 2.5	60%	60%
Over 3.5	30%	40%
Both teams scored	30%	20%
Clean sheets	20%	10%
Failed to score	50%	70%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Samsunspor	Eyüpspor	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	3.25
Corners conceded	5.63	5.00
Match total	9.63	8.25	9.12
Over 8.5	63% 5/8	63% 5/8
Over 9.5	50% 4/8	38% 3/8
Over 10.5	38% 3/8	25% 2/8
Cards
Cards	1.00	1.63
Opponent cards	2.00	1.63
Match total	3.00	3.26	4.04
Over 3.5	38% 3/8	50% 4/8
Over 4.5	25% 2/8	25% 2/8

	Samsunspor	Eyüpspor	League
Corners
Corners won	4.11	3.22
Corners conceded	5.22	5.11
Match total	9.33	8.33	9.12
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	67% 6/9
Over 9.5	44% 4/9	33% 3/9
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	22% 2/9
Cards
Cards	1.30	1.60
Opponent cards	2.20	1.80
Match total	3.50	3.40	4.04
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.