Süper Lig Gameweek 21 Sun, Feb 14 · 12:00 Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Konya
Konyaspor 16th · 5 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Erzurumspor FK 11th · 11 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel794 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Konyaspor—%
Draw—%
Erzurumspor FK—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Konya)

Forecast from 30 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Konyaspor and Erzurumspor FK. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

KonyasporErzurumspor FK
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
18 Current StrengthIn forecast 27
13 AttackIn forecast 17
31 DefenceIn forecast 38
23 Form indexContext 56
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Konyaspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Erzurumspor FK

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

KonyasporErzurumspor FK
0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.63
1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.38
0.91 xGVia Att/Def 0.82
1.12 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.10
-0.41 Goals minus xGContext -0.19
38% Scored inContext 50%
38% Clean sheetsContext 50%
10.38 ShotsContext 9.43
3.71 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.29
31% On target shareContext 35%
6.75 Shots in the boxContext 6.29
64% Box shareContext 63%
5% ConversionContext 8%
2.80 OffsidesContext 1.50
12.88 Shots allowedContext 11.29
5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.43
3.50 BlocksContext 2.20
4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50
80% Save rateContext 75%
49% PossessionIn forecast 46%
396 PassesContext 409
325 Accurate passesContext 341
82% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.75 Team ratingContext 6.67
11.88 FoulsContext 11.71
12.38 Fouls sufferedContext 9.86
2.38 Yellow cardsContext 1.38
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.63
1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.38
0.91 xGVia Att/Def 0.82
1.33 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.10
-0.41 Goals minus xGContext -0.19
40% Scored inContext 50%
30% Clean sheetsContext 50%
10.80 ShotsContext 9.43
3.44 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.29
29% On target shareContext 35%
7.10 Shots in the boxContext 6.29
65% Box shareContext 63%
5% ConversionContext 8%
2.43 OffsidesContext 1.50
13.80 Shots allowedContext 11.29
6.11 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.43
3.40 BlocksContext 2.20
4.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50
78% Save rateContext 75%
49% PossessionIn forecast 46%
391 PassesContext 409
322 Accurate passesContext 341
82% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.73 Team ratingContext 6.67
12.30 FoulsContext 11.71
11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 9.86
2.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.38
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 8 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Konyaspor
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km946 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 23 · 5 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Amed0–10.8 xPts
  • D11 OctH · Istanbul Basaksehir0–01.4 xPts
  • D18 SepA · Kasimpasa0–01.1 xPts
  • W12 SepH · Trabzonspor1–01.2 xPts
  • L5 SepA · Erzurumspor FK0–11.1 xPts
Erzurumspor FK
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel794 km2,098 km in 14d
Schedule load11%Low
Form 56 · 10 pts vs 9.3 for an average club · +2.7 vs expected
  • W17 OctH · Eyüpspor2–02.2 xPts
  • D10 OctA · Alanyaspor0–01.1 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Samsunspor1–01.6 xPts
  • L11 SepA · Besiktas0–30.7 xPts
  • W5 SepH · Konyaspor1–01.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Konyaspor Erzurumspor FK
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 11
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 7 Feb7Süper Lig 2026-2027, 7 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km794 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways946 km2,098 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Konyaspor Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Amed (A) 0–1, 17 Oct
13B. Güngördü(G)
26A. Masuaku 15C. Awaziem 22R. Baniya 17Y. Andzouana
8M. Jevtović 77M. İbrahimoğlu
7Diogo Gonçalves 66R. Tóth 9D. Türüç
11J. Muleka
Erzurumspor FK Last XI · not confirmed
5-3-2 · vs Eyüpspor (H) 2–0, 17 Oct
1M. Taşkıran(G)
15G. Giorbelidze 18N. Mujakić 22M. Yumlu 4A. Gerxhaliu 53O. Ovacıklı
65M. Rodríguez 42E. Owusu 6B. Baiye
20Miguel Cardoso 10E. Tozlu

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Konyaspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Erzurumspor FK Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Konyaspor · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
0.50
Conceded
0.75
Erzurumspor FK · Away 0.50points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
0-2-2
Scored
0.25
Conceded
1.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

OpponentKonyasporErzurumspor FK
Amed L 0–1 A L 0–3 A
Points0 of 3 · 0.00 per game0 of 3 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

0 Konyaspor wins0 draws1 Erzurumspor FK wins
Goals per game0.00 – 1.00 Over 2.50% Both scored0% Clean sheets0% · 100%
  • 5 Sep 2026Erzurumspor FK1–0Konyaspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

KonyasporErzurumspor FKForecast
Scored per game 0.500.63
Conceded per game 1.131.38
Match goals 1.632.00
Over 1.5 25%63%
Over 2.5 25%38%
Over 3.5 13%13%
Both teams scored 25%13%
Clean sheets 38%50%
Failed to score 63%50%
Games88
KonyasporErzurumspor FKForecast
Scored per game 0.500.63
Conceded per game 1.401.38
Match goals 1.902.00
Over 1.5 40%63%
Over 2.5 40%38%
Over 3.5 10%13%
Both teams scored 30%13%
Clean sheets 30%50%
Failed to score 60%50%
Games108

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

KonyasporErzurumspor FKLeague
Corners
Corners won2.503.43
Corners conceded5.503.14
Match total8.006.579.12
Over 8.538% 3/80% 0/7
Over 9.525% 2/80% 0/7
Over 10.50% 0/80% 0/7
Cards
Cards2.501.38
Opponent cards1.882.13
Match total4.383.514.04
Over 3.575% 6/850% 4/8
Over 4.563% 5/850% 4/8
KonyasporErzurumspor FKLeague
Corners
Corners won2.803.43
Corners conceded4.903.14
Match total7.706.579.12
Over 8.530% 3/100% 0/7
Over 9.520% 2/100% 0/7
Over 10.50% 0/100% 0/7
Cards
Cards2.501.38
Opponent cards1.602.13
Match total4.103.514.04
Over 3.570% 7/1050% 4/8
Over 4.550% 5/1050% 4/8

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Konyaspor8 games · scored 4 · conceded 9
2 1 0-15
2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
1 3 76-90
Erzurumspor FK8 games · scored 5 · conceded 11
1 0-15
2 3 16-30
1 1 31-45
2 1 46-60
3 61-75
2 76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 5 · conceded 14
2 2 0-15
2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 3 46-60
3 61-75
1 3 76-90
Erzurumspor FK8 games · scored 5 · conceded 11
1 0-15
2 3 16-30
1 1 31-45
2 1 46-60
3 61-75
2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Süper Lig

View all fixtures →
Besiktas Fenerbahce Feb 1412:00 Konyaspor Erzurumspor FK Feb 1412:00 Galatasaray Istanbul Basaksehir Feb 1412:00 Alanyaspor Rizespor Feb 1412:00 Genclerbirligi Trabzonspor Feb 1412:00 Gazişehir Gaziantep Goztepe Feb 1412:00 Amed Kasimpasa Feb 1412:00 Eyüpspor Çorum FK Feb 1412:00 Samsunspor Kocaelispor Feb 1412:00