KVC Westerlo
Attack—
Defense risk—
KVC Westerlo
11th · 21 pts · 18 played
LDDWD
First leg0–0
2–1Full time
RAAL La Louvière
13th · 19 pts · 18 played
LLDLD
Our take
KVC Westerlo were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. KVC Westerlo usually keep the ball (48% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. KVC Westerlo had 6 days of rest, RAAL La Louvière 7 and had to travel 84 km.
Away travel84 kmRest days6 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 1
KVC Westerlo44%
Draw28%
RAAL La Louvière28%
KVC Westerlo44%
Draw27%
RAAL La Louvière29%
KVC Westerlo44%
Draw28%
RAAL La Louvière28%
KVC Westerlo37%
Draw28%
RAAL La Louvière35%
KVC Westerlo44%
Draw27%
RAAL La Louvière29%
Over 2.5 47%
Both score 52%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Westerlo)
No weather data yet
RefereeAnthony Letellier
- Cards per match 3.0
- Penalties per match 0.00
- Matches 3
Team strength
KVC WesterloRAAL La Louvière
26
L90 StrengthIn forecast
25
33
Current StrengthIn forecast
17
42
AttackIn forecast
15
32
DefenceIn forecast
15
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisRAAL La Louvière
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KVC WesterloRAAL La Louvière
1.44
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.78
1.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.06
1.61
xGVia Att/Def
0.79
1.32
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.23
-0.17
Goals minus xGContext
-0.01
61%
Scored inContext
56%
33%
Clean sheetsContext
39%
15.17
ShotsContext
8.83
4.82
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.65
30%
On target shareContext
28%
10.61
Shots in the boxContext
6.29
68%
Box shareContext
69%
10%
ConversionContext
9%
1.38
OffsidesContext
2.00
12.11
Shots allowedContext
11.78
4.33
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.71
4.00
BlocksContext
3.06
3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.65
69%
Save rateContext
78%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
34%
370
PassesContext
254
297
Accurate passesContext
177
80%
Pass accuracyContext
70%
6.90
Team ratingContext
6.76
11.33
FoulsContext
11.83
11.89
Fouls sufferedContext
11.50
1.61
Yellow cardsContext
1.83
0.06
Red cardsContext
0.06
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.70
0.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
1.57
xGVia Att/Def
0.82
1.37
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.17
-0.57
Goals minus xGContext
-0.12
50%
Scored inContext
50%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
40%
14.40
ShotsContext
8.30
4.22
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.67
26%
On target shareContext
29%
10.10
Shots in the boxContext
6.33
66%
Box shareContext
73%
7%
ConversionContext
8%
1.44
OffsidesContext
1.88
11.30
Shots allowedContext
11.60
4.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.33
3.75
BlocksContext
3.00
3.30
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.22
83%
Save rateContext
74%
51%
PossessionIn forecast
34%
377
PassesContext
255
305
Accurate passesContext
181
81%
Pass accuracyContext
71%
6.96
Team ratingContext
6.75
10.50
FoulsContext
11.40
12.50
Fouls sufferedContext
10.10
1.70
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
KVC Westerlo
Rest6 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km87 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
RAAL La Louvière
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel84 km140 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| KVC Westerlo |
RAAL La Louvière |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 6Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 14 Dec | 7Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 13 Dec |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 84 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 87 km | 140 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 4 | 1 / 1 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7.1 | 6.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
KVC Westerlo
Confirmed XI
99A. Jungdal(G)
25T. Rommens
4A. Lapage
40E. Bayram
22B. Reynolds
46A. Piedfort
34D. Haspolat
39T. Van den Keybus
13I. Sakamoto
7A. Sayyadmanesh
90Nacho Ferri
RAAL La Louvière
Confirmed XI
21M. Peano(G)
25D. Lamego
99Y. Okou
13M. Maisonneuve
8S. Gueulette
5T. Lutonda
98Owen Maes
15S. Lahssaini
19Darío Benavides
7P. Fall
22J. Afriyie
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences KVC Westerlo
Absences are shown before kick-off
RAAL La Louvière
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- KVC Westerlo+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- RAAL La Louvière+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
KVC Westerlo · Home
1.56points per game · 9 home games
- W-D-L
- 4-2-3
- Scored
- 1.33
- Conceded
- 0.67
RAAL La Louvière · Away
0.78points per game · 9 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-4-4
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 1.44
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 14 this season
| Opponent | KVC Westerlo | RAAL La Louvière |
|---|---|---|
| Genk | D 1–1 AL 0–1 H | D 1–1 A |
| Anderlecht | W 4–0 HL 2–5 A | L 0–1 H |
| Dender | D 2–2 AD 1–1 H | L 1–2 HD 0–0 A |
| Gent | D 0–0 H | L 0–1 A |
| Charleroi | L 0–2 A | D 0–0 AW 1–0 H |
| OH Leuven | W 2–0 H | W 2–1 A |
| Union St. Gilloise | L 0–2 A | D 0–0 H |
| Club Brugge KV | D 5–5 A | W 1–0 H |
| Standard Liege | L 0–2 H | L 0–2 H |
| St. Truiden | W 3–0 A | L 1–2 A |
| Antwerp | W 2–0 H | L 1–3 A |
| Cercle Brugge | L 1–4 A | W 2–1 H |
| KV Mechelen | L 0–1 H | L 2–3 A |
| Zulte Waregem | W 3–1 H | D 2–2 AD 0–0 H |
| Points | 20 of 51 · 1.18 per game | 18 of 51 · 1.06 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
0 KVC Westerlo wins1 draws0 RAAL La Louvière wins
Goals per game0.00 – 0.00
Over 2.50%
Both scored0%
Clean sheets100% · 100%
- 18 Oct 2025RAAL La Louvière0–0KVC Westerlo
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| KVC Westerlo | RAAL La Louvière | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.44 | 0.78 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.50 | 1.06 | |
| Match goals | 2.94 | 1.83 | 2.54 |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 39% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 17% | |
| Both teams scored | 39% | 44% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 39% | |
| Failed to score | 39% | 44% | |
| Games | 18 | 18 |
| KVC Westerlo | RAAL La Louvière | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 0.70 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.90 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.54 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% | 52% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 50% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| KVC Westerlo | RAAL La Louvière | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.22 | 3.78 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.83 | 3.78 | |
| Match total | 10.05 | 7.56 | 9.60 |
| Over 8.5 | 67% 12/18 | 33% 6/18 | |
| Over 9.5 | 61% 11/18 | 28% 5/18 | |
| Over 10.5 | 61% 11/18 | 22% 4/18 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.67 | 1.89 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.89 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 3.56 | 3.39 | 4.01 |
| Over 3.5 | 56% 10/18 | 44% 8/18 | |
| Over 4.5 | 33% 6/18 | 28% 5/18 | |
| KVC Westerlo | RAAL La Louvière | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.20 | 3.60 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.00 | 4.10 | |
| Match total | 10.20 | 7.70 | 9.60 |
| Over 8.5 | 70% 7/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 70% 7/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 70% 7/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.80 | 2.10 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.90 | 1.60 | |
| Match total | 3.70 | 3.70 | 4.01 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Anthony Letellier 3 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.00league 3.78
Red cards0.00league 0.18
Cards 5+0%league 41%
Fouls22.3league 22.9
Penalties0.00league 0.29
Home wins33%league 40%
KVC Westerlo2 with this referee
Record0-1-1
Cards · opp.1.5 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- D25 Oct 25H · Dender1–12
- L17 Aug 25A · Cercle Brugge1–41
RAAL La Louvière1 with this referee
Record0-1-0
Cards · opp.3.0 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- D28 Sep 25A · Dender0–03
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
KVC Westerlo18 games · scored 26 · conceded 27
5
1
0-15
2
3
16-30
4
9
31-45
6
3
46-60
6
4
61-75
3
7
76-90
RAAL La Louvière18 games · scored 14 · conceded 19
1
3
0-15
5
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
7
76-90
KVC Westerlo10 games · scored 10 · conceded 9
2
1
0-15
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
2
76-90
RAAL La Louvière10 games · scored 7 · conceded 10
1
1
0-15
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
46-60
2
61-75
3
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
