Lille vs Le Mans – 29 May 2027

Ligue 1 Gameweek 34 Sat, May 29 · 20:00 Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Lille 4th · 14 pts · 7 played WWLWD

VS— Compare

Le Mans 16th · 6 pts · 7 played DDWLL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel358 kmRest days7.2 · 7.2Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Lille—%

Draw—%

Le Mans—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Lille)

Forecast from 14 May

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Trend Le Mans 86% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Lille

Le Mans

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

54 Current StrengthIn forecast 26

42 AttackIn forecast 27

60 DefenceIn forecast 21

39 Form indexContext 31

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Lille

Attack—

Defense risk—

Le Mans

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Lille

Le Mans

1.43 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.43

0.71 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.14

1.42 xGVia Att/Def 1.50

1.40 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.89

+0.01 Goals minus xGContext -0.07

100% Scored inContext 86%

57% Clean sheetsContext 0%

12.00 ShotsContext 10.14

5.57 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.86

46% On target shareContext 38%

8.14 Shots in the boxContext 6.29

67% Box shareContext 60%

12% ConversionContext 14%

3.00 OffsidesContext 2.40

15.00 Shots allowedContext 16.57

3.57 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.43

3.50 BlocksContext 3.43

2.86 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.14

80% Save rateContext 58%

51% PossessionIn forecast 45%

480 PassesContext 406

417 Accurate passesContext 325

87% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.99 Team ratingContext 6.60

11.57 FoulsContext 14.86

14.43 Fouls sufferedContext 10.00

1.29 Yellow cardsContext 2.43

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.14

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.43

1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.14

1.24 xGVia Att/Def 1.50

1.36 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.89

-0.04 Goals minus xGContext -0.07

80% Scored inContext 86%

40% Clean sheetsContext 0%

10.50 ShotsContext 10.14

4.89 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.86

42% On target shareContext 38%

7.00 Shots in the boxContext 6.29

63% Box shareContext 60%

11% ConversionContext 14%

3.11 OffsidesContext 2.40

14.80 Shots allowedContext 16.57

4.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.43

4.00 BlocksContext 3.43

2.90 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.14

69% Save rateContext 58%

51% PossessionIn forecast 45%

480 PassesContext 406

417 Accurate passesContext 325

87% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.86 Team ratingContext 6.60

10.90 FoulsContext 14.86

14.30 Fouls sufferedContext 10.00

1.40 Yellow cardsContext 2.43

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.14

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 7 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Lille WLWLD

Rest7.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel8 km503 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 39 · 7 pts vs 8.2 for an average club · -1.6 vs expected

D17 OctH · Stade Brestois 291–11.8 xPts
L13 OctA · Arsenal0–30.4 xPts
W10 OctH · LE Havre1–02.2 xPts
L20 SepA · Nice1–21.9 xPts
W13 SepH · Estac Troyes2–02.4 xPts

Le Mans DDWLL

Rest7.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel358 km877 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 31 · 5 pts vs 7.2 for an average club · -0.2 vs expected

L16 OctH · Toulouse0–31.4 xPts
L10 OctA · Paris Saint Germain1–30.3 xPts
W19 SepH · Lorient2–11.5 xPts
D13 SepH · Lens2–20.9 xPts
D5 SepA · Nice1–11.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Lille	Le Mans
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.2Ligue 1 2026-2027, 22 May	7.2Ligue 1 2026-2027, 22 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	8 km	358 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	503 km	877 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 2 / 3	0 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	—	—

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Lille Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Stade Brestois 29 (H) 1–1, 17 Oct

12O. Gill(G)

15R. Perraud 23T. Nianzou 3N. Ngoy 38Maxima Goffi

17N. Mukau 21B. André

7D. Bakwa 10H. Haraldsson 8E. Mbappé

9O. Giroud

Le Mans Last XI · not confirmed

3-1-4-2 · vs Toulouse (H) 0–3, 16 Oct

98N. Kocik(G)

5H. Voyer 17S. Yohou 19D. Sidibé

29Lucas Bretelle

76Y. Larouci 10J. Vercruysse 23D. Traoré 18L. Buadés

14L. Mafouta 25D. Guèye

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Lille Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Le Mans Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Lille · Home 2.00points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 2-2-0
Scored: 1.50
Conceded: 0.75

Le Mans · Away 0.33points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 0-1-2
Scored: 1.33
Conceded: 2.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

Opponent	Lille	Le Mans
Stade Brestois 29	D 1–1 H	D 2–2 H
Nice	L 1–2 A	D 1–1 A
Toulouse	W 1–0 A	L 0–3 H
Paris Saint Germain	D 2–2 H	L 1–3 A
Points	5 of 12 · 1.25 per game	2 of 12 · 0.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Lille	Le Mans
Scored per game	1.43	1.43
Conceded per game	0.71	2.14
Match goals	2.14	3.57
Over 1.5	71%	100%
Over 2.5	29%	86%
Over 3.5	14%	57%
Both teams scored	43%	86%
Clean sheets	57%	0%
Failed to score	0%	14%
Games	7	7

	Lille	Le Mans
Scored per game	1.20	1.43
Conceded per game	1.30	2.14
Match goals	2.50	3.57
Over 1.5	80%	100%
Over 2.5	40%	86%
Over 3.5	20%	57%
Both teams scored	40%	86%
Clean sheets	40%	0%
Failed to score	20%	14%
Games	10	7

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Lille	Le Mans	League
Corners
Corners won	3.83	2.71
Corners conceded	4.83	5.86
Match total	8.66	8.57	9.63
Over 8.5	50% 3/6	43% 3/7
Over 9.5	33% 2/6	43% 3/7
Over 10.5	17% 1/6	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	1.29	2.57
Opponent cards	1.71	1.86
Match total	3.00	4.43	3.47
Over 3.5	43% 3/7	71% 5/7
Over 4.5	14% 1/7	57% 4/7

	Lille	Le Mans	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	2.71
Corners conceded	4.50	5.86
Match total	8.50	8.57	9.63
Over 8.5	50% 4/8	43% 3/7
Over 9.5	38% 3/8	43% 3/7
Over 10.5	13% 1/8	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	1.50	2.57
Opponent cards	1.90	1.86
Match total	3.40	4.43	3.47
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	71% 5/7
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	57% 4/7

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.